湖北省城鎮(zhèn)化水平與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的關(guān)系研究
本文選題:湖北省 切入點(diǎn):城鎮(zhèn)化 出處:《廣西大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文
【摘要】:產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的調(diào)整可以促進(jìn)城鎮(zhèn)化水平,城鎮(zhèn)化水平提高也可以促進(jìn)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的調(diào)整。因此,城鎮(zhèn)化水平與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)之間存在相互的相關(guān)性和協(xié)調(diào)性。 本文以湖北省為例,研究城鎮(zhèn)化水平與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的相關(guān)性和協(xié)調(diào)性。首先,將城鎮(zhèn)化水平指標(biāo)和產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)水平指標(biāo)分為質(zhì)量指標(biāo)和數(shù)量指標(biāo),選取人均GDP為質(zhì)量城鎮(zhèn)化水平的指標(biāo)、城鎮(zhèn)人口比重為數(shù)量城鎮(zhèn)化水平的指標(biāo)、產(chǎn)業(yè)產(chǎn)值比重為產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的質(zhì)量指標(biāo)、產(chǎn)業(yè)就業(yè)人口比重為產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的數(shù)量指標(biāo)。再建立質(zhì)量城鎮(zhèn)化水平指標(biāo)與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的質(zhì)量指標(biāo)以及數(shù)量城鎮(zhèn)化水平指標(biāo)與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的數(shù)量指標(biāo)的回歸模型。采用EVIEWS軟件對(duì)湖北省2000年到2012年的經(jīng)濟(jì)數(shù)據(jù)分析后,發(fā)現(xiàn)湖北省質(zhì)量城鎮(zhèn)化水平與第一、二、三產(chǎn)業(yè)產(chǎn)值比重分別存在顯著的正相關(guān)性、顯著的正相關(guān)性以及不顯著的正相關(guān)性;湖北省數(shù)量城鎮(zhèn)化水平與第一、二、三產(chǎn)業(yè)就業(yè)人口比重分別存在顯著的負(fù)相關(guān)性、不顯著的正相關(guān)性和顯著的正相關(guān)性。接著,采用AHP層次分析法和綜合水平的公式,計(jì)算出湖北省城鎮(zhèn)化的綜合水平和產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)綜合水平,將兩者的數(shù)值比較后發(fā)現(xiàn),湖北省城鎮(zhèn)化的綜合水平遠(yuǎn)低于產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)綜合水平。然后,再根據(jù)協(xié)調(diào)度計(jì)算公式和協(xié)調(diào)性判定標(biāo)準(zhǔn),發(fā)現(xiàn)湖北省城鎮(zhèn)化水平與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)協(xié)調(diào)性沒達(dá)到優(yōu)質(zhì)階段。進(jìn)一步分析發(fā)現(xiàn),湖北省城鎮(zhèn)化水平不高的原因主要是第二產(chǎn)業(yè)數(shù)量水平不高和第三產(chǎn)業(yè)質(zhì)量水平不高;產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)層次低的原因主要是第三產(chǎn)業(yè)質(zhì)量水平低以及第二、三產(chǎn)業(yè)數(shù)量水平低。最后,提出大力發(fā)展第二、三產(chǎn)業(yè)以及城鄉(xiāng)一體化以提高湖北省城鎮(zhèn)化水平和產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整,最終促進(jìn)兩者協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展。
[Abstract]:The adjustment of industrial structure can promote the level of urbanization, and the improvement of urbanization level can also promote the adjustment of industrial structure. Therefore, there is mutual correlation and coordination between urbanization level and industrial structure.
This paper takes Hubei Province as an example, correlation and coordination of urbanization and industrial structure. Firstly, the urbanization level index and industrial structure level index is divided into quality and quantity indicators, select the per capita GDP as the quality of the urbanization level index, the proportion of urban population is the number of the urbanization level index, industrial output value the proportion for the quality index of industrial structure, the industrial employment proportion as quantitative indicators of the industrial structure. Then establish a regression model quality index index and the level of quality of urban industrial structure and quantity index number index and the level of urban industrial structure. The analysis of the economic data of Hubei Province from 2000 to 2012 after using EVIEWS software. Hubei province quality urbanization level and the first, second, three industries were significant positive correlation, a significant positive correlation and no significant positive Correlation; and the level of first, second the number of cities and towns in Hubei Province, the three industry employment proportion respectively. There was a significantly negative correlation, positive correlation is not significant and significant positive correlation. Then, using the AHP analytic hierarchy process and the comprehensive level of the formula to calculate the comprehensive level and the industrial structure of Hubei province urbanization comprehensive level, the two the numerical comparison showed that the comprehensive level of urbanization in Hubei province is far lower than the comprehensive level of the industrial structure. Then, then standard formula and coordination calculation based on coordination degree, Hubei Province found that the level of urbanization and industrial structure coordination did not reach the quality stage. Further analysis showed that the cause of Hubei province urbanization level is not high mainly the number is not high level of the second industry and the third industry quality level is not high; the main reason of low level of industrial structure is low and the quality level of the third industry second, third The number of industries is low. Finally, it is proposed to develop the second, third industry and the integration of urban and rural areas, so as to improve the level of urbanization and industrial structure adjustment in Hubei, and ultimately promote the coordinated development of them.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:廣西大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2014
【分類號(hào)】:F299.27;F121.3
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