發(fā)布時間：2018-04-23 21:01

  本文選題：商品房價格 + 土地價格��； 參考：《東北大學》2013年碩士論文

【摘要】：1998年“國務(wù)院關(guān)于進一步深化城鎮(zhèn)住房制度改革加快住房建設(shè)的通知”得以實施,標志著中國樓市市場化運作開始的,我國經(jīng)濟加速發(fā)展,居民收入不斷增加,同時房價也快速上漲。不只是房價,隨著土地出讓制度不斷改革深化,地價也開始一路上漲。城市商品房價格與土地價格作為房地產(chǎn)價格的兩個重要組成部分,兩者自身的影響因素和兩者之間相互關(guān)系都對房地產(chǎn)市場研究有著重要的意義。本文旨在分別通過定性和定量研究房價與地價關(guān)系,給出房價與地價適宜水平的判斷及地價占房價的適宜比例。分別就政府宏觀調(diào)控、供地方面和企業(yè)開發(fā)投資提出相應(yīng)的對策建議。本文首先對我國房地產(chǎn)市場構(gòu)成及其影響因素、房地產(chǎn)開發(fā)程序及其對房地產(chǎn)開發(fā)的影響、商品房價格與土地價格二者的構(gòu)成及各自的影響因素做了系統(tǒng)的介紹。然后,先定性地研究了商品房價格與土地價格之間的關(guān)系。緊接著定量地研究了商品房價格與土地價格之間的關(guān)系。定量研究方法是通過建立聯(lián)立方程模型,用Eviews軟件分析其結(jié)果,得出房價與地價之間是聯(lián)立性的,即房價與地價存在雙向關(guān)系,并得出了兩者之間的關(guān)系公式。根據(jù)聯(lián)立性方程,得出的結(jié)論是：地價對房價的參數(shù)估計結(jié)果是0.07。即在其他條件不變的情況下,地價上升或者下降1萬元/m2,房價相應(yīng)上升或者下降700元／m2。房價對地價的參數(shù)估計結(jié)果是0.16,即在其他條件不變的情況下,房價上升或者下降1萬元／m2,地價相應(yīng)上升或者下降1600元／m2。接著,通過對沈陽市商品房價格、土地價格、GDP.CPI及人均可支配收入等數(shù)據(jù)的收集,并對其同比增長進行比較分析,判斷房價與地價的適宜水平。其中,商品房價格適宜水平的判斷方程為：HP=1006.878+1.98GDP+14.46CPI-0.357PDI;土地價格適宜水平的判斷方程為：LP=1657.454+0.106GDP+0.082HP。根據(jù)實際項目資料判斷出地價占房價適宜比例,得出土地費用在商品房價格中所占的平均比例為28.36%,采用1倍標準差測算的比例區(qū)間為10.85%～45.86%。面對一路高歌的地價,房地產(chǎn)宏觀調(diào)控正面臨著空前的壓力。地價作為房價的絕對性支出,想要真正的控制房價,應(yīng)該從控制地價入手。最后,根據(jù)研究分析,針對政府宏觀調(diào)控、供地方面和企業(yè)投資開發(fā)方面提出了相應(yīng)的對策建議。
[Abstract]:In 1998, the "Circular of the State Council on further deepening the Reform of Urban Housing system and speeding up Housing Construction" was implemented, marking the beginning of the market-oriented operation of China's real estate market, the accelerated economic development of our country and the continuous increase in residents' income. At the same time, housing prices are also rising rapidly. Not only house prices, as the land transfer system continues to reform and deepen, land prices are also starting to rise. As two important components of real estate price, urban commercial housing price and land price have great significance to the study of real estate market. Through the qualitative and quantitative study of the relationship between house price and land price, this paper gives the judgment of the appropriate level of house price and land price and the appropriate proportion of land price to house price. The corresponding countermeasures and suggestions on government macro-control, land supply and enterprise development investment are put forward respectively. In this paper, the composition of real estate market and its influencing factors, the process of real estate development and its influence on real estate development, the composition of commodity house price and land price, and their respective influencing factors are introduced systematically in this paper. Then, the relationship between commodity house price and land price is studied qualitatively. Then the relationship between commercial housing price and land price is studied quantitatively. The quantitative research method is to establish the simultaneous equation model and analyze the results with Eviews software. It is concluded that there is a bidirectional relationship between house price and land price, and the relationship formula between them is obtained. According to the simultaneous equation, the conclusion is that the parameter estimate of land price to house price is 0. 07. That is, when other conditions remain unchanged, land prices rise or fall by 10,000 yuan / m2, and house prices rise or fall by 700 yuan / m2. The parameter estimate of house price to land price is 0.16, that is, when other conditions remain unchanged, the price of house price rises or falls 10, 000 yuan / m ~ 2, and the price of land price rises or decreases 1600 yuan / m ~ (2). Then, through collecting the data of commodity house price, land price and per capita disposable income in Shenyang, the paper compares and analyzes the relative increase of housing price and land price, and judges the appropriate level of house price and land price. Among them, the judgment equation of the suitable level of commercial housing price is: 1: HPX 1006.878 1.98GDP 14.46CPI-0.357PDI, and the judgment equation of land price suitability level is 1: LPn 1657.454 0.106GDP 0.082HP. According to the actual project data, the suitable proportion of land price to house price is determined, and the average proportion of land cost in commercial housing price is 28.36. The proportion range measured by standard deviation is 10.85% and 45.86%. In the face of the high price of land, real estate macro-control is facing unprecedented pressure. Land price is the absolute expenditure of house price. Finally, according to the research and analysis, the corresponding countermeasures and suggestions are put forward for the government macro-control, land supply and enterprise investment and development.
【學位授予單位】：東北大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F299.23;F301.3

【參考文獻】

中國期刊全文數(shù)據(jù)庫 前1條

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本文編號：1793607