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  本文選題：飼草料儲備　切入點：防災(zāi)抗災(zāi)　出處：《內(nèi)蒙古大學(xué)》2015年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：近年來,由于水土流失和草原退化程度加劇,草原生態(tài)系統(tǒng)抗災(zāi)能力變?nèi)?在全球氣候變化影響下,雪災(zāi)、旱災(zāi)等自然災(zāi)害頻繁發(fā)生,這些潛在的威脅嚴(yán)重制約著草原畜牧業(yè)以及牧區(qū)經(jīng)濟社會的健康發(fā)展。本文以牧戶飼草料儲備量變化為視角,以錫林浩特市和蘇尼特右旗兩地區(qū)50多戶面對面實地訪談數(shù)據(jù)為基礎(chǔ),以面板數(shù)據(jù)回歸分析法等計量分析法分析了近些年飼草料儲備量和其它變量的關(guān)系,深入闡明了飼草料在草原畜牧業(yè)生產(chǎn)中發(fā)揮的重要影響和作用機制,例如：冬季飼草、飼料儲備量與牧戶總收入、凈收入及出欄畜產(chǎn)品收入的關(guān)系；冬季飼草、飼料儲備量對12月基礎(chǔ)母羊平均重量及綿羊羔成活率的影響；12月基礎(chǔ)母羊平均重量與牧戶生產(chǎn)效率的關(guān)系。研究結(jié)果表明：調(diào)研地區(qū)牧戶冬季飼草、料儲備量逐年上升,且飼料相對于飼草對牧戶總收入和凈收入增加的影響更加顯著；牧戶飼草料總量和單位羊日均飼草料量對12月基礎(chǔ)母羊平均重量存在顯著影響,且主要影響來自于飼草量而不是飼料量的供給；12月基礎(chǔ)母羊平均重量增加使綿羊羔成活率上升,而使大綿羊死亡率呈現(xiàn)顯著下降趨勢；綿羊羔出欄平均毛重及出欄收入隨12月基礎(chǔ)母羊平均重量上升而提高,進而使牧戶畜牧業(yè)總收入和凈收入呈上升趨勢。本文研究結(jié)果進一步證實了飼草料是草原畜牧業(yè)進行生產(chǎn)經(jīng)營的物質(zhì)基礎(chǔ)和保障,對實現(xiàn)規(guī)�；�、集約化、現(xiàn)代化和可持續(xù)的草原畜牧業(yè)發(fā)展產(chǎn)生重要影響,在草原畜牧業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)變現(xiàn)代化生產(chǎn)方式、防御冬夏自然災(zāi)害、提高牲畜質(zhì)量等方面都起到十分顯著的促進作用。而且飼草和飼料對牧戶增強抗災(zāi)能力的作用有較大的區(qū)別,所以本文建議進一步結(jié)合舍飼和放牧方式,系統(tǒng)分析在高風(fēng)險條件下牧戶的可持續(xù)經(jīng)營模式。
[Abstract]:In recent years, due to the increasing degree of soil erosion and grassland degradation, the resilience of grassland ecosystems to disasters has become weaker. Under the influence of global climate change, natural disasters such as snow disasters, drought and other natural disasters occur frequently. These potential threats have seriously restricted the healthy development of grassland animal husbandry and the economic and social development of pastoral areas. Based on the face-to-face interview data of more than 50 households in Xilinhot and Sunita right Banner, the relationship between forage reserves and other variables in recent years was analyzed by panel data regression analysis and other econometric methods. In this paper, the important influence and mechanism of forage in grassland animal husbandry are expounded, for example, the relationship between forage stock in winter and total income, net income and income of livestock products, forage in winter, forage in winter, forage in winter, forage in winter, forage in winter, The effect of feed reserve on the average weight and survival rate of lambs in December and the relationship between the average weight of basic ewe and the productivity of herdsmen in December were studied. The results showed that the forage stock increased year by year in winter. The effect of forage on the total income and net income of herdsmen was more significant than that of forage, and the total forage amount and the average daily forage amount per sheep had a significant effect on the average weight of the basic ewe in December. In December, the average weight of ewe increased the survival rate of lambs increased, but the mortality rate of large sheep decreased significantly. The average gross weight and income of lambs increased with the increase of the average weight of the basic ewe in December. Therefore, the gross income and net income of pastoral animal husbandry are on the rise. The results of this study further confirm that forage is the material basis and guarantee for grassland animal husbandry to carry out production and management. Modernization and sustainable development of grassland animal husbandry have an important impact on the transformation of grassland animal husbandry into modern production methods and the prevention of natural disasters in winter and summer. The improvement of livestock quality has played a very significant role in promoting livestock quality, and there is a great difference between forage and fodder in enhancing the ability of pastoral households to resist disasters. Therefore, this paper suggests to further combine the methods of house feeding and grazing. This paper systematically analyzes the sustainable management model of herdsmen under high risk conditions.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：內(nèi)蒙古大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2015
【分類號】：S816;F326.3

【引證文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)會議論文 前1條

1 師尚禮;曹文俠;;甘肅省防災(zāi)減災(zāi)牧草生產(chǎn)儲備與使用狀況[A];2012第二屆中國草業(yè)大會論文集[C];2012年

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本文編號：1604272