本文關(guān)鍵詞：事故預(yù)測(cè)數(shù)學(xué)模型的研究與實(shí)踐，由筆耕文化傳播整理發(fā)布。

事故預(yù)測(cè)數(shù)學(xué)模型的研究與實(shí)踐 Research and Practice of Accident Prediction Mathematical Models

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摘要：

依據(jù)收集統(tǒng)計(jì)的、真實(shí)可靠的事故數(shù)據(jù),運(yùn)用數(shù)學(xué)方法及建立的多種事故預(yù)測(cè)模型,在工作中理論與實(shí)際相結(jié)合,提出并建立了事故預(yù)測(cè)數(shù)學(xué)模型,給出具體方法與步驟,以及應(yīng)用中應(yīng)遵循的原則和規(guī)律,從而做到對(duì)將來發(fā)生的事故未卜先知,用以指導(dǎo)安全生產(chǎn)活動(dòng),預(yù)防事故發(fā)生.同時(shí),根據(jù)我國(guó)近18年來各類事故死亡人員的數(shù)據(jù)建立事故預(yù)測(cè)數(shù)學(xué)模型,并運(yùn)用確立的最佳事故預(yù)測(cè)數(shù)學(xué)模型而預(yù)測(cè)出的事故數(shù)據(jù),探討我國(guó)傷亡事故發(fā)生的趨勢(shì).

Abstract： 

Based on the real and reliable accident data collected statistically, related mathematical methods and accident prediction models, an accident prediction mathematical model is proposed and built. Meanwhile, the concrete method and steps, and the principles and rules followed during application are given. Based on the casualty data of various types of accidents in recent 18 years, an accident prediction mathematical model is established, and the related accident data in the future is predicted. Finally, the accident trend in China is discussed according to the predication data.

  本文關(guān)鍵詞：事故預(yù)測(cè)數(shù)學(xué)模型的研究與實(shí)踐，，由筆耕文化傳播整理發(fā)布。