發(fā)布時(shí)間：2018-01-02 23:22

  本文關(guān)鍵詞：調(diào)控政策下我國房地產(chǎn)上市公司財(cái)務(wù)績效評(píng)價(jià)　出處：《成都理工大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

  更多相關(guān)文章： 宏觀調(diào)控政策 房地產(chǎn)上市公司 因子分析法 財(cái)務(wù)績效評(píng)價(jià)

【摘要】：房地產(chǎn)是我國轉(zhuǎn)型過程中的特殊商品,在社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展中扮演著舉足輕重的角色,素來有“晴雨表”和“風(fēng)向標(biāo)”之稱。從總體上講,房地產(chǎn)業(yè)在整個(gè)經(jīng)濟(jì)體系中處于支柱性的地位,其繁榮與否直接關(guān)系到經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展速度的快慢。房地產(chǎn)上市公司作為整個(gè)行業(yè)的運(yùn)行載體,代表了地產(chǎn)業(yè)的綜合實(shí)力,反映了整個(gè)房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)的發(fā)展全貌。房地產(chǎn)上市公司的健康發(fā)展是近年來學(xué)術(shù)界和業(yè)界共同關(guān)注的一個(gè)焦點(diǎn),尤其是在緊鑼密鼓出臺(tái)調(diào)控政策的宏觀背景下。原因就在于我國宏觀調(diào)控趨勢(shì)變化與我國房地產(chǎn)上市公司的發(fā)展息息相關(guān),這種政策變動(dòng)對(duì)房地產(chǎn)上市公司產(chǎn)生的影響是難以預(yù)測(cè)且無法改變的。宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)環(huán)境的波動(dòng),對(duì)房地產(chǎn)企業(yè)乃至整個(gè)行業(yè)的影響是不可估量的,不僅僅能夠促進(jìn)地產(chǎn)業(yè)的崛起,也能在瞬間導(dǎo)致整個(gè)樓市的癱瘓。因此,科學(xué)評(píng)價(jià)房地產(chǎn)業(yè)上市公司的財(cái)務(wù)績效,建立專門針對(duì)房地產(chǎn)上市公司的一套財(cái)務(wù)績效評(píng)價(jià)系統(tǒng),深入研究不同調(diào)控階段的績效差異性,及時(shí)分析出經(jīng)營發(fā)展中存在的問題,對(duì)企業(yè)本身提升核心競(jìng)爭力和國家做出正確決策就顯得尤為重要。 在方法選擇上,首先評(píng)述了經(jīng)典績效評(píng)價(jià)方法中的杜邦分析法、沃爾分析法、EVA評(píng)價(jià)體系和多指標(biāo)綜合評(píng)價(jià)法,對(duì)各個(gè)方法進(jìn)行比較,指出每種方法的優(yōu)勢(shì)與劣勢(shì)。在此基礎(chǔ)上,提煉出本文采用的分析方法—因子分析法,重點(diǎn)陳述了該方法的原理、特點(diǎn)以及基本步驟,說明了其應(yīng)用于房地產(chǎn)上市公司財(cái)務(wù)績效評(píng)價(jià)的適用性,為財(cái)務(wù)績效評(píng)價(jià)體系的指標(biāo)篩選和結(jié)果分析工作做了工具準(zhǔn)備。 在實(shí)證研究上,本文在借鑒前人研究和分析我國房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)發(fā)展基本特征的基礎(chǔ)上,以上海證券交易所的40家和深圳證券交易所的31家房地產(chǎn)上市公司作為研究樣本,借助SPSS統(tǒng)計(jì)分析軟件,根據(jù)2008-2013年度我國房地產(chǎn)行業(yè)上市公司的年報(bào)數(shù)據(jù),選取盈利能力、償債能力、營運(yùn)能力、發(fā)展能力四個(gè)維度的12個(gè)指標(biāo)進(jìn)行因子分析,計(jì)算出因子得分,得到較可靠的分析結(jié)果,辨析目前近六年來我國房地產(chǎn)上市公司財(cái)務(wù)績效水平的變化趨勢(shì),找出房地產(chǎn)上市公司總體存在的問題。 在結(jié)論總結(jié)上,本文利用詳實(shí)數(shù)據(jù)分析政策制定對(duì)房地產(chǎn)企業(yè)的調(diào)控效果,得出以下結(jié)論：(1)調(diào)控政策對(duì)房地產(chǎn)業(yè)公司財(cái)務(wù)績效具有外部時(shí)滯性影響；(2)反復(fù)性調(diào)控政策對(duì)房地產(chǎn)行業(yè)上市公司財(cái)務(wù)績效影響大；(3)財(cái)務(wù)績效下降催生重資產(chǎn)時(shí)代的結(jié)束。在得出實(shí)證分析結(jié)果的基礎(chǔ)上,借鑒國外先進(jìn)經(jīng)驗(yàn)、結(jié)合我國實(shí)際,提出我國房地產(chǎn)行業(yè)宏觀調(diào)控政策的制定要著眼于平穩(wěn)和長遠(yuǎn),同時(shí)指出房地產(chǎn)上市公司作為績效評(píng)價(jià)的主體,應(yīng)認(rèn)清形勢(shì),合理應(yīng)對(duì)；資產(chǎn)重組,由重轉(zhuǎn)輕；加強(qiáng)管理,優(yōu)化自身；多元戰(zhàn)略,規(guī)避風(fēng)險(xiǎn)。
[Abstract]:Real estate is a special commodity in China's transition, plays an important role in the development of social economy, has always been a "barometer" and "wind vane" said. Generally speaking, the real estate industry is a pillar role in the whole economic system, its prosperity is directly related to the speed of economic development the speed of operation. Real estate listed companies as the carrier of the whole industry, represents the comprehensive strength of the industry, reflecting the whole picture of the development of the real estate market. The healthy development of the real estate listed companies is a focus in recent years both academic and industry attention, especially in the background of macro control policy introduced by wildly beating gongs and drums. The reason lies in the development of China's macroeconomic trends and changes of China's real estate listed companies is closely related to the impact of policy changes of the real estate companies is difficult to predict Which cannot be changed. The fluctuation of macroeconomic environment, the impact on the real estate enterprises and the whole industry is immeasurable, not only can promote the rise of the industry, can also lead to paralysis of the entire property market at the moment. Therefore, the scientific evaluation of the real estate industry listed company's financial performance, establish a set of financial performance evaluation system for the real estate listed companies, in-depth study of the performance differences between different stages of control, timely analysis of existing business problems in the development of the enterprise itself to enhance the core competitiveness of countries and make the right decisions is particularly important.
In the method, first reviewed the classical performance evaluation method of DuPont analysis, Waldo analysis, EVA evaluation system and multi index comprehensive evaluation method, the comparison of the various methods, points out the advantages and disadvantages of each method. On this basis, refined analysis method factor analysis method used in this paper, the key statement of the principle of the method, characteristics and basic steps, illustrates the applicability of its application in the real estate financial performance evaluation of listed companies, financial performance evaluation system of index selection and result analysis work tools.
In the empirical research, this paper based on the previous research and analysis of China's real estate market development characteristics, with the Shanghai stock exchange and Shenzhen stock exchange in 40 of the 31 real estate listed companies as the research sample, using SPSS statistical analysis software, according to the annual report data of 2008-2013 years of China's listed companies in real estate industry the selection of profitability, solvency, operating capacity, 12 indicators of four dimensions of development capacity factor analysis, calculated the factor scores, get more reliable results, analysis of the current trends of financial performance of real estate listed companies in China for nearly six years, to find out the overall real estate listed companies the problem.
In conclusion, this paper use detailed data analysis of policy effect of regulation on real estate enterprises, draw the following conclusions: (1) control policy of external time lag on the financial performance of real estate companies; (2) effects of repetitive control policies on the real estate industry listed company financial performance; (3) financial performance the end of the birth weight decreased. Based on the age of assets on the results of the empirical analysis, draw lessons from foreign advanced experience, combined with China's reality, put forward the development of China's real estate industry in the macro-control policy should focus on the smooth and long, also pointed out that the real estate listed companies as the subject of performance evaluation, should understand the situation, a reasonable response; asset restructuring, from heavy to light; strengthen the management, optimize; diversified strategy to avoid risks.

【學(xué)位授予單位】：成都理工大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號(hào)】：F299.233.42

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