發(fā)布時(shí)間：2018-01-02 03:36

  本文關(guān)鍵詞：出租車運(yùn)營(yíng)模式與運(yùn)力規(guī)模優(yōu)化研究　出處：《蘭州交通大學(xué)》2016年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

  更多相關(guān)文章： 出租車 運(yùn)營(yíng)模式 運(yùn)力規(guī)模 BP神經(jīng)網(wǎng)路

【摘要】：近年來(lái),國(guó)內(nèi)出租車交通得到快速發(fā)展,已經(jīng)覆蓋所有城市及較發(fā)達(dá)鄉(xiāng)鎮(zhèn),成為群眾出行的重要交通方式。2008年大部門體制改革之后,運(yùn)輸部門從政策、標(biāo)準(zhǔn)等不同方面著手,出臺(tái)了多項(xiàng)出租車相關(guān)的規(guī)章制度,加強(qiáng)對(duì)出租車行業(yè)的監(jiān)管,以期提高大眾的滿意度,促進(jìn)行業(yè)的有序發(fā)展。但在出租車發(fā)展歷程中因發(fā)展思路不一致、政策措施不明確,導(dǎo)致出租車行業(yè)存在一些突出的問(wèn)題,制約著整個(gè)行業(yè)的有序發(fā)展。其中出租車以怎樣的運(yùn)營(yíng)模式經(jīng)營(yíng)、投放多大的運(yùn)力規(guī)模都對(duì)行業(yè)的有序發(fā)展有著很大的影響。因此有必要對(duì)出租車的運(yùn)營(yíng)管理模式和運(yùn)力規(guī)模的投放進(jìn)行分析,尋找規(guī)律,探索方向,形成適合我國(guó)國(guó)情的出租車管理思路。首先,文中對(duì)出租車的服務(wù)特性做了詳細(xì)的描述,并分析了其在城市運(yùn)輸中所發(fā)揮的職能,從而確立出租車行業(yè)未來(lái)的發(fā)展方向,并在分析出租車市場(chǎng)上表現(xiàn)出來(lái)的各種不合理現(xiàn)象的基礎(chǔ)上,找到阻礙出租車交通有序發(fā)展的原因。其次,由于運(yùn)營(yíng)模式的選取,關(guān)系到整個(gè)出租車行業(yè)的發(fā)展方向,影響著出租車的服務(wù)質(zhì)量和政府的管理效率,同時(shí)也涉及公司和司機(jī)之間的切身利益,因此,文中探討了我國(guó)現(xiàn)有的幾種出租車運(yùn)營(yíng)模式,在分析其影響因素的基礎(chǔ)上,從不同利益方的立場(chǎng)出發(fā)對(duì)各種運(yùn)營(yíng)模式的優(yōu)劣做出比較,并選取適當(dāng)?shù)脑u(píng)價(jià)指標(biāo)(管理要求、產(chǎn)權(quán)關(guān)系、單車運(yùn)營(yíng)成本、事故承擔(dān)能力和乘客滿意度等),構(gòu)建不同運(yùn)營(yíng)模式應(yīng)用于特定都市條件下的優(yōu)劣程度評(píng)定模型,為運(yùn)輸部門選取合理有效的模式提供理論依據(jù)。再次,在現(xiàn)階段我國(guó)的國(guó)情條件下,人口密度很大、道路資源緊缺、環(huán)境承載力較弱,運(yùn)力規(guī)模的投放必須由運(yùn)管部門進(jìn)行干預(yù)。因此,文中將制約出租車運(yùn)力規(guī)模的各個(gè)因素進(jìn)行綜合考慮,從中挖掘出起決定作用的因子,了解其對(duì)運(yùn)力規(guī)模的影響機(jī)理,并在考慮不同預(yù)測(cè)方法優(yōu)劣度的基礎(chǔ)上,以因子分析法的原理結(jié)合BP神經(jīng)網(wǎng)絡(luò)理論,構(gòu)建出租車運(yùn)力規(guī)模預(yù)測(cè)模型。最后,以蘭州市為分析對(duì)象,在考慮因素可量化和數(shù)據(jù)易收集的基礎(chǔ)上,確定適當(dāng)數(shù)目的影響因素并從相關(guān)部門收集數(shù)據(jù),用因子分析法對(duì)關(guān)聯(lián)性較大的各因素進(jìn)行統(tǒng)計(jì)分析,重新生成數(shù)量較少且無(wú)關(guān)聯(lián)性的因子,將其作為BP神經(jīng)網(wǎng)絡(luò)的輸入,訓(xùn)練網(wǎng)絡(luò)并對(duì)其性能進(jìn)行測(cè)試,并用其預(yù)測(cè)蘭州市規(guī)劃年內(nèi)合理的出租車運(yùn)力規(guī)模。
[Abstract]:In recent years, the domestic taxi traffic has developed rapidly, has covered all cities and more developed towns, and has become an important mode of transportation for the masses. In 2008, after the reform of the large sector system, the transport sector started from the policy. Standards and other aspects of different aspects of the introduction of a number of taxi related rules and regulations to strengthen the taxi industry supervision in order to improve public satisfaction. Promote the orderly development of the industry, but in the course of taxi development due to inconsistent development ideas, policies and measures are not clear, leading to some outstanding problems in the taxi industry. It restricts the orderly development of the whole industry. Among them, what kind of operation mode does the taxi operate. Therefore, it is necessary to analyze the operation management mode and capacity scale of taxi, to find out the law and explore the direction. First of all, the paper describes the characteristics of taxi service in detail, and analyzes its functions in urban transportation. In order to establish the future direction of development of the taxi industry, and on the basis of analyzing the various unreasonable phenomena in the taxi market, find out the reasons that hinder the orderly development of taxi traffic. Secondly. Because of the choice of operation mode, related to the development direction of the whole taxi industry, affecting the taxi service quality and government management efficiency, but also involving the immediate interests of the company and drivers, so. Based on the analysis of the influencing factors, this paper compares the advantages and disadvantages of various taxi operation modes from the standpoint of different stakeholders. And select appropriate evaluation indicators (management requirements, property relations, bicycle operating costs, accident bearing capacity and passenger satisfaction, etc.). Construction of different operational models applied to specific urban conditions of the evaluation model of the pros and cons for the transport sector to select a reasonable and effective model to provide a theoretical basis. Thirdly, in the current situation of our national conditions. The population density is very large, the road resources are scarce, the environmental carrying capacity is weak, the transportation capacity scale must be intervened by the transportation management department. Therefore, the paper will restrict the taxi capacity scale each factor to carry on the comprehensive consideration. The factors that play a decisive role are excavated, and the influence mechanism of the factors on the capacity scale is understood. On the basis of considering the advantages and disadvantages of different forecasting methods, the principle of factor analysis is combined with the BP neural network theory. Finally, taking Lanzhou City as an analysis object, on the basis of quantifiable factors and easy data collection, determine the appropriate number of factors and collect data from relevant departments. The factor analysis method is used to analyze the factors with high correlation. The factors with less and no correlation are regenerated and used as the input of BP neural network to train the network and test its performance. It predicts the reasonable scale of taxi capacity in the planning year of Lanzhou City.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：蘭州交通大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2016
【分類號(hào)】：F572

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