發(fā)布時間：2018-04-16 07:57

  本文選題：中部城市群 + 經濟增長��； 參考：《湖南大學》2014年碩士論文

【摘要】：21世紀以來，中部地區(qū)各省紛紛建立城市群作為區(qū)域經濟增長極，旨在帶動區(qū)域經濟增長，促進中部崛起。同時，“兩型社會”建設和“五位一體”布局對經濟與環(huán)境協(xié)調發(fā)展提出了更高要求。那么，中部地區(qū)城市群建設是否真正提高了要素產出效益，推動區(qū)域經濟協(xié)調發(fā)展？中部地區(qū)城市群經濟增長過程中是否有效保證了環(huán)境效益？中部地區(qū)城市群建設是否實現(xiàn)了經濟與環(huán)境協(xié)調可持續(xù)發(fā)展？ 本文根據(jù)集聚經濟理論、增長極理論和環(huán)境空間溢出機制，運用空間計量經濟學方法對中部地區(qū)576個市縣的經濟效益、環(huán)境影響及其溢出作用進行分析。首先，以相關區(qū)域經濟增長理論作為理論基礎，梳理城市群經濟效益的來源，城市群經濟增長的空間溢出機制。以相關環(huán)境與經濟增長的理論及環(huán)境空間溢出的相關研究為基礎，梳理了污染排放與經濟增長關系，以及環(huán)境（污染排放）的空間溢出機制；其次，本文利用2003-2011年中部地區(qū)576個三類市縣(地級市、縣級市和未設市的縣)的面板數(shù)據(jù)構建經濟增長空間滯后模型，并對其進行兩階段最小二乘法固定效應模型分析其經濟效益及其溢出作用，同時，利用其中80個地級以上城市數(shù)據(jù)，采用擴展的EKC空間滯后模型來分析城市群建設的環(huán)境效益及其空間溢出作用。其中，經濟增長空間滯后模型分析結果表明：城市群建設使城市群內中心城市獲得了更高的資本產出；但公共服務設施的過度集中，已產生明顯的擁擠效應和集聚不經濟；城市群經濟增長對地級市經濟有顯著的擴散作用，對縣級市和縣則有明顯的回流作用，城市群經濟增長抑制了縣一級城市的發(fā)展。擴展的EKC空間滯后模型結果顯示：2003-2011年期間，二氧化硫排放與人均產出呈倒U型關系，且當前人均GDP已超過拐點，而人均工業(yè)廢水則與人均產出呈平方減少，但二者都說明中部地區(qū)經濟增長有助于減少污染排放；FDI存量有效的減少城市群內中心地級城市二氧化硫和工業(yè)廢水排放，但是增加了其他城市的工業(yè)廢水排放；教育程度的提高有利于降低城市環(huán)境污染，但公共服務的過分集中已產生明顯的環(huán)境負外部性；當前中部城市城市群建設過程中二氧化硫排放具有正的空間溢出作用，盡管工業(yè)廢水排放空間溢出作用不顯著，但總體來說城市群建設的環(huán)境效益呈良性的空間溢出，城市群內中心城市的環(huán)境質量提高有利于其他地級城市環(huán)境質量的提高。再次，結合城市群建設經濟效益和環(huán)境效益進行綜合分析說明：城市群建設有效帶動地級市經濟增長；且從人均二氧化硫和人均工業(yè)廢水排放來看經濟增長能夠有效減少污染排放，說明當前中部城市群在發(fā)展經濟的同時也改善了城市的環(huán)境；其中城市群內地級城市人均二氧化硫排放具有正的溢出作用，工業(yè)廢水正溢出可能由于污染產業(yè)的轉移而抵消，，但總體來說中部城市群既保護了環(huán)境又促進了經濟發(fā)展；最后，本文在前面理論和實證分析的基礎上提出針對性的政策建議并對全文進行了總結。
[Abstract]:Since twenty-first Century, the central provinces have established the city agglomeration as the growth pole of regional economy, to promote regional economic growth, promoting the rise of central China. At the same time, the "two oriented society" construction and layout of "five in one" has put forward higher requirements on the coordinated development of economy and environment. Then, the construction of city groups in the central area is really improved output benefit factors, promote the coordinated development of regional economy? City groups in the central area in the process of economic growth will effectively ensure the environmental benefits of the construction of city groups in the central area? Whether can achieve the coordination of economic and environmental sustainable development?
According to the agglomeration theory, growth pole theory and environment spatial spillover mechanism, economic benefits of using spatial econometric methods to 576 cities and counties in the central region, analyze the environmental impact and spillover effects. Firstly, related to the regional economic growth theory as the theoretical basis and source of economic benefit of combing the city group, city group economic spatial spillover mechanism growth. With the related theories of environmental and spatial spillover related environmental and economic growth as the basis, clarifies the relationship between pollution and economic growth, and environmental (pollution) spatial spillover mechanism; secondly, the central region 2003-2011 years 576 three counties (county-level city and county of the prefecture level city is not set city, the construction of the panel data) economic growth spatial lag model, and the two stage least squares fixed effect model to analyze the economic benefits and overflow The role of, at the same time, with more than 80 prefecture level city data, by using the extended EKC space to analyze the environmental effects and spatial spillover effects of city group construction lag model. Among them, the economic growth spatial lag model analysis shows that: the city group construction group within the city center city has more capital output; but the public service facilities over centralized, have obvious crowding effect and agglomeration economy; economic growth of city clusters have significant effect on the proliferation of city economy, has obvious effect on return of the county-level city and county, the development of city group economic growth inhibition of county level city. The extended EKC spatial lag model results showed that: during the 2003-2011 years, sulfur dioxide emissions in inverted U relationship between the per capita output, and the per capita GDP has exceeded the inflection point, while the per capita industrial wastewater and reduce the per capita output square, But the two shows that the economic growth of the central region helps to reduce pollution emissions; effectively reduce the FDI stock of city groups in the central city of sulfur dioxide and industrial wastewater emissions, but the increase in other city industrial wastewater discharge; the higher level of education is conducive to reducing environmental pollution in city, but the public service has produced excessive concentration of negative environment obvious externalities; with spatial spillover effects is the construction process of sulfur dioxide emissions in the central city group in the city, although the industrial wastewater discharge spatial spillover effect is not significant, but the overall construction of city agglomeration environment spatial spillover benefits was benign, the environmental quality of city groups in the center of the city is conducive to the improvement of other prefecture level city environment quality improve. Again, combined with the construction of city agglomeration economic benefit and environmental benefit analysis: city group construction with effective The dynamic economic growth and per capita from the prefecture level city; sulfur dioxide and industrial wastewater discharge per capita economic growth can effectively reduce pollution emissions, indicating that the current central city group in the development of economy but also improve the environment of the city; the city group in the city per capita two oxidation sulfur emissions has positive spillover effects, industrial wastewater may be due to positive spillover the transfer of industrial pollution and offset, but overall the central city group to protect environment and promote economic development; finally, based on the above theoretical and empirical analysis put forward specific policy recommendations and a summary of the full text.

【學位授予單位】：湖南大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：X22;F299.27

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本文編號：1757963