PPP模式下西安市城中村改造項目的風險評價和利益分配
發(fā)布時間:2018-04-02 20:27
本文選題:城中村 切入點:改造項目 出處:《長安大學》2015年碩士論文
【摘要】:城中村是我國城鄉(xiāng)二元體制下工業(yè)化進程及城市發(fā)展過程中產(chǎn)生的一種特有的現(xiàn)象。隨著經(jīng)濟的快速增長,城中村改造已經(jīng)成為我國政府在推行城市化進程中的重要難題,而且,對這一難題的解決迫在眉睫。然而,城中村改造項目具有投資大、建設周期長、難度大等一系列特征,對管理技術和資金要求較高。且政府部門對于教育、醫(yī)療等行業(yè)的投資力度不斷加大,所以傳統(tǒng)的由政府出資進行城中村改造,資金問題就難以保障,導致我國城市化建設的節(jié)奏緩慢;诖,探究一種新型的改造模式就顯得尤為重要。西方國家早已將PPP模式廣泛應用于公共基礎設施建設中,取得了很好的效果,有許多成功的案例,顯示出較強的優(yōu)勢,為我國城中村改造項目提供了借鑒作用。PPP模式是將政府部門、私人開發(fā)商的優(yōu)勢結合起來,既減輕了政府的財政壓力,提高了整個項目的建設速度,又使得私人開發(fā)商得到穩(wěn)定的收益,本文基于國內外的相關研究成果的基礎上,對西安市城中村的政策、建設狀況及目前存在的問題進行了總結,分析了將PPP模式引入城中村改造項目中的必要性和可行性,為引入此模式提供了一定的理論依據(jù)。為了確保城中村改造的順利進行,運用WBS-RBS風險識別法,識別出城中村改造過程中,項目可能存在的主要風險因素,分析了項目風險的多維屬性特征,給出了城中村改造項目的四維屬性風險因素,建立了PPP模式下城中村改造項目評價風險指標體系,通過構建多維函數(shù),確定出各單個風險因素的風險度,進而給出整個項目的綜合風險度,給出了總目標的權重值,根據(jù)所確定的權重值,為項目進行風險評價提供了依據(jù)。此外,本文對傳統(tǒng)的層次分析法進行改進,不再需要進行一致性檢驗。根據(jù)得出的風險結果,利用風險分擔效用理論,構建出基于PPP模式下城中村改造項目基于風險分擔的效益分配模型,求出最終的納什均衡解,即為最佳分配方案。最后,還進行實證分析,為PPP模式下城中村改造項目的風險評價和利益分配提供了參考。
[Abstract]:The village in city is a special phenomenon in the process of industrialization and urban development under the dual system of urban and rural in China.With the rapid economic growth, the transformation of villages in cities has become an important problem in the process of urbanization, and it is urgent to solve this problem.However, a series of characteristics such as large investment, long construction period and great difficulty are the characteristics of the village reconstruction project in the city, which requires high management technology and capital.And the government investment in education, medical treatment and other industries is increasing, so the traditional transformation of villages in the city funded by the government is difficult to guarantee, leading to the slow pace of urbanization construction in China.Based on this, it is particularly important to explore a new mode of transformation.The PPP model has been widely used in the construction of public infrastructure in western countries for a long time, and has achieved good results. There have been many successful cases, showing strong advantages.The model of PPP is to combine the advantages of government departments and private developers, which not only lightens the financial pressure of the government, but also improves the construction speed of the whole project.This paper summarizes the policy, construction situation and existing problems of the village in Xi'an city based on the domestic and foreign research results.This paper analyzes the necessity and feasibility of introducing the PPP model into the urban village reconstruction project, which provides a theoretical basis for the introduction of the model.In order to ensure the smooth progress of urban village reconstruction, the main risk factors that may exist in the process of urban village reconstruction are identified by using WBS-RBS risk identification method, and the multi-dimensional attribute characteristics of project risk are analyzed.In this paper, the four dimensional attribute risk factors of urban village reconstruction project are given, the evaluation risk index system of urban village reconstruction project under PPP mode is established, and the risk degree of each individual risk factor is determined by constructing multidimensional function.Furthermore, the comprehensive risk degree of the whole project is given, and the weight value of the total objective is given. According to the determined weight value, it provides the basis for the risk evaluation of the project.In addition, this paper improves the traditional analytic hierarchy process, no longer need to check consistency.According to the result of risk, using the theory of risk sharing utility, the benefit allocation model based on risk sharing of village reconstruction project in city based on PPP mode is constructed, and the final Nash equilibrium solution, that is, the best allocation scheme, is obtained.Finally, an empirical analysis is carried out, which provides a reference for the risk evaluation and benefit distribution of the village reconstruction project in the city under PPP mode.
【學位授予單位】:長安大學
【學位級別】:碩士
【學位授予年份】:2015
【分類號】:F283;F299.27
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