發(fā)布時間：2018-01-10 05:26

  本文關(guān)鍵詞：光伏發(fā)電自消費商業(yè)模式及其激勵政策研究　出處：《中國礦業(yè)大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

  更多相關(guān)文章： 光伏發(fā)電 商業(yè)模式 激勵政策 數(shù)值仿真

【摘要】：隨著不可再生能源的日趨枯竭，能源供應(yīng)可持續(xù)發(fā)展以及由此引發(fā)的國家能源安全問題已得到各國高度關(guān)注。太陽能光伏發(fā)電行業(yè)作為可再生能源開發(fā)利用行業(yè)中的佼佼者，近年來在美國、德國、日本等發(fā)達國家光伏發(fā)電市場的推動下得到飛速發(fā)展。我國光伏發(fā)電市場開始于20世紀70年代，經(jīng)過40余年的發(fā)展我國光伏發(fā)電產(chǎn)業(yè)初具規(guī)模，2013年新增裝機容量達10GW，累計裝機容量突破18GW。這主要得益于政府的一系列激勵政策，同時也離不開光伏發(fā)電企業(yè)從未停歇的商業(yè)模式探索。合理的商業(yè)模式是我國光伏發(fā)電應(yīng)用市場大規(guī)模發(fā)展的關(guān)鍵。 首先，本文對商業(yè)模式和光伏發(fā)電激勵政策的相關(guān)研究進行總結(jié)與分析，為下文研究光伏發(fā)電的商業(yè)模式奠定了理論基礎(chǔ)。 其次，本文回顧了世界光伏產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展歷程、發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀，并分析了我國光伏產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展的現(xiàn)狀、前景與發(fā)展趨勢。研究結(jié)果表明當前我國光伏發(fā)電市場發(fā)展迅速，但同時存在商業(yè)模式模糊、補貼機制不明確、并網(wǎng)難等問題。 再次，本文研究了當前國際上流行的光伏發(fā)電的兩種商業(yè)模式——上網(wǎng)電價模式和自消費模式，并分別對其進行了簡單的分析。光伏發(fā)電的自消費商業(yè)模式簡單的說就是自建（發(fā)）自用，余電上網(wǎng)。從產(chǎn)生、特點、類型到相關(guān)激勵政策，本文重點研究了自消費商業(yè)模式。特別是對自消費商業(yè)模式的應(yīng)用研究，為我國光伏發(fā)電采用自消費商業(yè)模式提供了借鑒。研究結(jié)果顯示，自消費商業(yè)模式是現(xiàn)在光伏市場上普遍采用的模式，也是未來光伏發(fā)電商業(yè)模式的主要方向。 接著，在自消費商業(yè)模式研究的基礎(chǔ)，，建立自消費光伏發(fā)電項目的收益決策模型，考察激勵政策的不同因素對光伏發(fā)電投資者的影響程度。根據(jù)數(shù)值仿真分析結(jié)果得出，上網(wǎng)電價補貼水平及其有效期、建設(shè)成本補貼水平、上網(wǎng)電價和成本的波動情況等因素都影響著投資者的投資決策。補貼有效期的影響程度要大于上網(wǎng)電價補貼水平的影響程度，而上網(wǎng)電價波動率和投資成本波動率的影響又大于補貼有效期的影響。由于本文模型的不足，不能夠區(qū)分上網(wǎng)電價波動率和投資成本波動率的影響程度。 最后，根據(jù)光伏發(fā)電商業(yè)模式研究和數(shù)值仿真結(jié)果，從企業(yè)層面和政府層面提出光伏發(fā)電產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展的建議。企業(yè)要選擇合理的商業(yè)模式，政府也要為光伏發(fā)電行業(yè)的發(fā)展制定相應(yīng)的激勵政策，同時加強政府對市場的監(jiān)管，以促進光伏發(fā)電應(yīng)用市場的迅速擴大。
[Abstract]:With the depletion of non-renewable energy. The sustainable development of energy supply and the national energy security problems caused by it have been highly concerned by many countries. As a leader in renewable energy development and utilization industry, solar photovoltaic power generation industry has been in the United States in recent years. Developed countries such as Germany, Japan and other developed countries have been promoted by the rapid development of photovoltaic power market. China's photovoltaic power market began in 1970s, after more than 40 years of development of photovoltaic power generation industry in China has begun to take shape. In 2013, the new installed capacity reached 10GW, and the cumulative installed capacity exceeded 18GW. this is mainly due to a series of incentive policies of the government. At the same time, it is also inseparable from the exploration of the business model of photovoltaic power generation enterprises, which is the key to the large-scale development of photovoltaic power application market in China. First of all, this paper summarizes and analyzes the relevant research on the business model and photovoltaic incentive policy, which lays a theoretical foundation for the following research on the photovoltaic business model. Secondly, this paper reviews the development of photovoltaic industry in the world, the development of the status quo, and analyzes the current situation of the development of photovoltaic industry in China. The research results show that the photovoltaic power generation market in China is developing rapidly, but there are some problems such as vague business model, unclear subsidy mechanism and difficulty in connecting to the grid. Thirdly, this paper studies the current international popular photovoltaic generation of two business models-Internet pricing mode and self-consumption mode. And it is analyzed separately. The self-consumption business model of photovoltaic power generation is simply self-building (generating) self-use, surplus electricity online. From the generation, characteristics, types to the relevant incentive policies. This paper focuses on the study of self-consumption business model, especially the application of self-consumption business model, which provides a reference for photovoltaic power generation to adopt self-consumption business model. The results show that. Self-consumption business model is widely used in the current photovoltaic market, and is also the main direction of the future photovoltaic business model. Then, based on the research of self-consumption business model, the income decision-making model of self-consumption photovoltaic power generation project is established. According to the results of numerical simulation, it is concluded that the price subsidy level and its validity period, construction cost subsidy level. The fluctuation of electricity price and cost influence the investor's investment decision. The effect of subsidy period is greater than that of the price subsidy level. However, the influence of price volatility and investment cost volatility is greater than that of the validity period of subsidies. Because of the shortage of the model in this paper, it is impossible to distinguish the influence degree between the volatility of electricity price and the volatility of investment cost. Finally, according to the research of photovoltaic power generation business model and numerical simulation results, from the enterprise level and the government level to propose the development of photovoltaic power generation industry, enterprises should choose a reasonable business model. The government should also make corresponding incentive policies for the development of photovoltaic power generation industry and strengthen government supervision of the market in order to promote the rapid expansion of photovoltaic power application market.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：中國礦業(yè)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F426.61;F721

【參考文獻】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前10條

1 曾楚宏;朱仁宏;李孔岳;;基于價值鏈理論的商業(yè)模式分類及其演化規(guī)律[J];財經(jīng)科學(xué);2008年06期

2 吉興全,文福拴;發(fā)電投資的實物期權(quán)決策方法[J];電力系統(tǒng)自動化;2005年11期

3 劉敏;吳復(fù)立;;基于實物期權(quán)理論的風(fēng)電投資決策[J];電力系統(tǒng)自動化;2009年21期

4 曹石亞;李瓊慧;;德國太陽能光伏發(fā)電新政解讀[J];國家電網(wǎng);2012年01期

5 王斌;張俊芳;;光伏企業(yè)商業(yè)模式分析:以賽維為例[J];科學(xué)學(xué)與科學(xué)技術(shù)管理;2012年08期

6 曾鳴;李晨;劉超;周黎莎;歐陽邵杰;;考慮電價補貼政策的風(fēng)電投資決策模型與分析[J];電力系統(tǒng)保護與控制;2012年23期

7 陳文俊;賀正楚;尋舸;周震虹;;湖南省新能源產(chǎn)業(yè)商業(yè)模式創(chuàng)新研究[J];經(jīng)濟地理;2013年01期

8 江林;;分布式光伏發(fā)電并網(wǎng)的國內(nèi)外政策分析與啟示[J];江蘇電機工程;2013年03期

9 ;家庭光伏發(fā)電的德國經(jīng)驗[J];石油化工應(yīng)用;2013年03期

10 原磊;;國外商業(yè)模式理論研究評介[J];外國經(jīng)濟與管理;2007年10期

相關(guān)博士學(xué)位論文 前2條

1 俞萍萍;激勵政策下發(fā)電企業(yè)可再生能源戰(zhàn)略投資研究[D];浙江工商大學(xué);2011年

2 馬國慶;綠色能源發(fā)電側(cè)定價機制研究[D];河北工業(yè)大學(xué);2010年

本文編號：1404044