發(fā)布時(shí)間：2018-05-02 08:18

  本文選題：后危機(jī)時(shí)代 + 國(guó)際熱錢　； 參考：《東北師范大學(xué)》2012年碩士論文

【摘要】：隨著先進(jìn)經(jīng)濟(jì)體和新興經(jīng)濟(jì)體的經(jīng)濟(jì)情況逐漸向好，金融危機(jī)帶來的恐慌在人民的心中慢慢散去，“后危機(jī)時(shí)代”這一名詞越來越多地走入了我們的視野。為了應(yīng)對(duì)這次波及全球的金融危機(jī)，各國(guó)政府均采取了積極的財(cái)政政策和寬松的貨幣政策，來抑制金融危機(jī)的蔓延，刺激經(jīng)濟(jì)復(fù)蘇。由于投資實(shí)體經(jīng)濟(jì)收益效果較慢，市場(chǎng)上大量的貨幣成為了熱錢，而這些熱錢勢(shì)必會(huì)在新的世界經(jīng)濟(jì)環(huán)境下，在全球范圍內(nèi)尋求新的獲利機(jī)會(huì)。在國(guó)內(nèi)宏觀形勢(shì)較為樂觀，國(guó)外先進(jìn)經(jīng)濟(jì)體復(fù)蘇乏力的情況下，國(guó)際熱錢逐步顯現(xiàn)出了加速流入中國(guó)的表象。本文就是以“后危機(jī)時(shí)代”為背景，結(jié)合國(guó)際熱錢流入我國(guó)的實(shí)際情況，就后危機(jī)時(shí)代熱錢流入中國(guó)這一問題進(jìn)行了較為系統(tǒng)的探討。 本文從對(duì)后危機(jī)時(shí)代的界定入手，明確了后危機(jī)時(shí)代的起始時(shí)間，，并指出這一時(shí)代具有經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)乏力且不均衡、主權(quán)債務(wù)危機(jī)顯現(xiàn)以及貨幣流動(dòng)性過剩，這三個(gè)重要特點(diǎn)。隨后對(duì)國(guó)際熱錢這一概念進(jìn)行了較為系統(tǒng)的分析，進(jìn)而指出了后危機(jī)時(shí)代同國(guó)際熱錢流入我國(guó)之間的關(guān)系。本文接著分析了熱錢流入的主體、動(dòng)因、流入渠道、流入規(guī)模的估算方法以及流入領(lǐng)域。在動(dòng)因分析時(shí)指出了熱錢的流入是美國(guó)為了確保其世界經(jīng)濟(jì)霸主地位而發(fā)動(dòng)的一場(chǎng)具有戰(zhàn)略意義的“貨幣戰(zhàn)爭(zhēng)”，在對(duì)對(duì)熱錢流入規(guī)模進(jìn)行的估測(cè)上重新整理的相關(guān)公式。 本文結(jié)合近年來我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)運(yùn)行的實(shí)際情況，就熱錢流入給我國(guó)物價(jià)水平、資本市場(chǎng)以及匯率水平帶來的影響進(jìn)行了闡述。最后，在上述分析結(jié)果的基礎(chǔ)上，提出了防治熱錢的相關(guān)對(duì)策，提出加大對(duì)資本市場(chǎng)及貨幣市場(chǎng)的監(jiān)管力度、統(tǒng)籌控制匯率和利率、強(qiáng)化外匯現(xiàn)鈔管制、加強(qiáng)熱錢流入渠道監(jiān)管、構(gòu)建相應(yīng)的協(xié)調(diào)監(jiān)管機(jī)制以及奪取主權(quán)信用評(píng)級(jí)話語權(quán)等建議。
[Abstract]:As the economic situation of advanced and emerging economies has gradually improved, the panic caused by the financial crisis has gradually dissipated in the minds of the people, and the term "post-crisis era" has increasingly come into our view. In response to the global financial crisis, governments have adopted active fiscal policies and loose monetary policies to curb the spread of the financial crisis and stimulate economic recovery. Due to the slow effect of the economic returns of the investment entities, a large number of currencies in the market have become hot money, which is bound to seek new profit opportunities in the new world economic environment. While the domestic macro situation is more optimistic and the recovery of advanced foreign economies is weak, international hot money gradually shows the appearance of accelerating the inflow into China. Based on the background of "post-crisis era" and the actual situation of international hot money flowing into China, this paper makes a systematic discussion on the problem of hot money flowing into China in post-crisis era. This paper begins with the definition of the post-crisis era, clarifies the starting time of the post-crisis era, and points out that this era has three important characteristics: weak and unbalanced economic growth, the emergence of sovereign debt crisis and the excess of monetary liquidity. Then the concept of international hot money is systematically analyzed and the relationship between the post-crisis era and the inflow of international hot money into China is pointed out. This paper then analyzes the main body of hot money inflow, the motivation, the inflow channel, the method of estimating the inflow scale and the inflow field. In this paper, the author points out that the inflow of hot money is a strategic "currency war" launched by the United States in order to ensure its dominant position in the world economy. Combined with the actual situation of China's economic operation in recent years, this paper expounds the influence of hot money inflow on China's price level, capital market and exchange rate level. Finally, on the basis of the above analysis results, the paper puts forward the relevant countermeasures to prevent and cure hot money, and proposes to strengthen the supervision of the capital market and the money market, to control the exchange rate and interest rate as a whole, and to strengthen the control of foreign exchange cash. Strengthening the supervision of hot money inflow channels, constructing the corresponding coordination supervision mechanism and seizing the voice of sovereign credit rating, etc.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：東北師范大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2012
【分類號(hào)】：F832.6

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