21世紀以來越南對中國長期貿易逆差的成因及影響—越南的視角
發(fā)布時間：2018-10-31 07:03
【摘要】：世界和區(qū)域經濟一體化是發(fā)展中國家的客觀和必然的趨勢,讓各國之間的經貿關系日益密切。因此,經濟對外政策被越南政府視為是經濟發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略的一個重要問題,尤其是與大國中國的雙邊關系。隨著20世紀以來中越兩國外交關系的發(fā)展,貿易關系也不斷增長,滿足越南生產和消費的需求,對促進越南經濟猛烈增長有著顯著的作用。但隨著兩國貿易的增長,越中貿易赤字也逐漸明顯,而越南也經常處于貿易逆差狀態(tài)。該問題在一定程度上會阻礙甚至危害到越中貿易關系的穩(wěn)定發(fā)展。所以,越南對中國長期貿易逆差問題已經吸引了越南國內眾多學者以及越南政府的關注。因此,研究該問題,并找出解決措施帶著重大的意義。據(jù)越南海關總局統(tǒng)計,近年來,越南對中國的貿易赤字日趨嚴重,這讓越南經濟在很大程度上過于依賴中國,從而失去主動位置,對宏觀經濟平衡狀態(tài)和經濟的可持續(xù)發(fā)展有著顯著消極的影響。貿易逆差不僅對越南有消極的影響,而且對處于順差地位的中國也有一定的負面影響。為了全面概述了解越中貿易逆差問題,本文主要采取2000-2016年越中兩國的經貿指數(shù)、GDP指數(shù)、投資合作等方面的數(shù)據(jù)進行對比、對照,分析兩國之間貿易實力的互相影響。通過研究,筆者認為要解決越中兩國之間的貿易赤字問題,不能只依賴逆差方的越南單方面的努力,這需要兩國的努力合作才能徹底解決。所以在促進兩國貿易發(fā)展的同時,中國政府應當對推動越南商品在中國國內的銷售作出一些引導、鼓勵,提高越南對中國的出口幅度。另外,中方也要支持中國企業(yè)赴越投資興業(yè),也為越南企業(yè)來華開拓市場創(chuàng)造更便利條件。這樣不僅能促使兩國經貿合作迅速發(fā)展,而且對雙方今后貿易關系不平衡問題的解決也會起到一定的作用�？傊性絻蓢g的貿易平衡問題只有在雙方共同努力下才能妥善解決。
[Abstract]:World and regional economic integration is an objective and inevitable trend of developing countries, which makes the economic and trade relations between countries closer and closer. Therefore, economic foreign policy is regarded by the Vietnamese government as an important issue in economic development strategy, especially bilateral relations with China. With the development of the diplomatic relations between China and Vietnam since the 20th century, the trade relations have been growing constantly. To meet the needs of Vietnam's production and consumption, it has played a significant role in promoting the fierce growth of Vietnam's economy. But with the growth of trade between the two countries, Vietnam and China trade deficit is also gradually clear, and Vietnam is often in a trade deficit. To some extent, this problem will hinder and even endanger the stable development of Vietnam-China trade relations. Therefore, Vietnam's long-term trade deficit with China has attracted the attention of many scholars and the Vietnamese government. Therefore, it is of great significance to study the problem and find out the solution. According to statistics from Vietnam's General Administration of Customs, Vietnam's trade deficit with China has become increasingly serious in recent years, which has left Vietnam's economy heavily dependent on China, thus losing its active position. It has a significant negative effect on the state of macroeconomic balance and the sustainable development of the economy. The trade deficit not only has a negative impact on Vietnam, but also has a negative impact on China, which is in surplus position. In order to understand the trade deficit between Vietnam and China, this paper compares the economic and trade index, GDP index and investment cooperation between Vietnam and China from 2000 to 2016, and analyzes the mutual influence of trade strength between the two countries. Through the research, the author thinks that to solve the trade deficit problem between Vietnam and China, we can not only rely on the unilateral efforts of Vietnam, which needs the cooperation of the two countries to solve the problem. Therefore, while promoting the development of trade between the two countries, the Chinese government should give some guidance to promote the sales of Vietnamese goods in China, encourage and increase the extent of Vietnam's exports to China. In addition, China should also support Chinese enterprises to invest in Vietnam and create more convenient conditions for Vietnamese enterprises to open up markets in China. This will not only promote the rapid development of economic and trade cooperation between the two countries, but also play a certain role in resolving the imbalance of trade relations between the two sides in the future. In short, the issue of trade balance between China and Vietnam can only be properly resolved through joint efforts.
【學位授予單位】：上海外國語大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：F752.7;F753.33
本文編號：2301335
[Abstract]:World and regional economic integration is an objective and inevitable trend of developing countries, which makes the economic and trade relations between countries closer and closer. Therefore, economic foreign policy is regarded by the Vietnamese government as an important issue in economic development strategy, especially bilateral relations with China. With the development of the diplomatic relations between China and Vietnam since the 20th century, the trade relations have been growing constantly. To meet the needs of Vietnam's production and consumption, it has played a significant role in promoting the fierce growth of Vietnam's economy. But with the growth of trade between the two countries, Vietnam and China trade deficit is also gradually clear, and Vietnam is often in a trade deficit. To some extent, this problem will hinder and even endanger the stable development of Vietnam-China trade relations. Therefore, Vietnam's long-term trade deficit with China has attracted the attention of many scholars and the Vietnamese government. Therefore, it is of great significance to study the problem and find out the solution. According to statistics from Vietnam's General Administration of Customs, Vietnam's trade deficit with China has become increasingly serious in recent years, which has left Vietnam's economy heavily dependent on China, thus losing its active position. It has a significant negative effect on the state of macroeconomic balance and the sustainable development of the economy. The trade deficit not only has a negative impact on Vietnam, but also has a negative impact on China, which is in surplus position. In order to understand the trade deficit between Vietnam and China, this paper compares the economic and trade index, GDP index and investment cooperation between Vietnam and China from 2000 to 2016, and analyzes the mutual influence of trade strength between the two countries. Through the research, the author thinks that to solve the trade deficit problem between Vietnam and China, we can not only rely on the unilateral efforts of Vietnam, which needs the cooperation of the two countries to solve the problem. Therefore, while promoting the development of trade between the two countries, the Chinese government should give some guidance to promote the sales of Vietnamese goods in China, encourage and increase the extent of Vietnam's exports to China. In addition, China should also support Chinese enterprises to invest in Vietnam and create more convenient conditions for Vietnamese enterprises to open up markets in China. This will not only promote the rapid development of economic and trade cooperation between the two countries, but also play a certain role in resolving the imbalance of trade relations between the two sides in the future. In short, the issue of trade balance between China and Vietnam can only be properly resolved through joint efforts.
【學位授予單位】：上海外國語大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：F752.7;F753.33
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