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21世紀(jì)以來(lái)越南對(duì)中國(guó)長(zhǎng)期貿(mào)易逆差的成因及影響—越南的視角

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-10-31 07:03
【摘要】:世界和區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)一體化是發(fā)展中國(guó)家的客觀和必然的趨勢(shì),讓各國(guó)之間的經(jīng)貿(mào)關(guān)系日益密切。因此,經(jīng)濟(jì)對(duì)外政策被越南政府視為是經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略的一個(gè)重要問(wèn)題,尤其是與大國(guó)中國(guó)的雙邊關(guān)系。隨著20世紀(jì)以來(lái)中越兩國(guó)外交關(guān)系的發(fā)展,貿(mào)易關(guān)系也不斷增長(zhǎng),滿足越南生產(chǎn)和消費(fèi)的需求,對(duì)促進(jìn)越南經(jīng)濟(jì)猛烈增長(zhǎng)有著顯著的作用。但隨著兩國(guó)貿(mào)易的增長(zhǎng),越中貿(mào)易赤字也逐漸明顯,而越南也經(jīng)常處于貿(mào)易逆差狀態(tài)。該問(wèn)題在一定程度上會(huì)阻礙甚至危害到越中貿(mào)易關(guān)系的穩(wěn)定發(fā)展。所以,越南對(duì)中國(guó)長(zhǎng)期貿(mào)易逆差問(wèn)題已經(jīng)吸引了越南國(guó)內(nèi)眾多學(xué)者以及越南政府的關(guān)注。因此,研究該問(wèn)題,并找出解決措施帶著重大的意義。據(jù)越南海關(guān)總局統(tǒng)計(jì),近年來(lái),越南對(duì)中國(guó)的貿(mào)易赤字日趨嚴(yán)重,這讓越南經(jīng)濟(jì)在很大程度上過(guò)于依賴中國(guó),從而失去主動(dòng)位置,對(duì)宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)平衡狀態(tài)和經(jīng)濟(jì)的可持續(xù)發(fā)展有著顯著消極的影響。貿(mào)易逆差不僅對(duì)越南有消極的影響,而且對(duì)處于順差地位的中國(guó)也有一定的負(fù)面影響。為了全面概述了解越中貿(mào)易逆差問(wèn)題,本文主要采取2000-2016年越中兩國(guó)的經(jīng)貿(mào)指數(shù)、GDP指數(shù)、投資合作等方面的數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行對(duì)比、對(duì)照,分析兩國(guó)之間貿(mào)易實(shí)力的互相影響。通過(guò)研究,筆者認(rèn)為要解決越中兩國(guó)之間的貿(mào)易赤字問(wèn)題,不能只依賴逆差方的越南單方面的努力,這需要兩國(guó)的努力合作才能徹底解決。所以在促進(jìn)兩國(guó)貿(mào)易發(fā)展的同時(shí),中國(guó)政府應(yīng)當(dāng)對(duì)推動(dòng)越南商品在中國(guó)國(guó)內(nèi)的銷售作出一些引導(dǎo)、鼓勵(lì),提高越南對(duì)中國(guó)的出口幅度。另外,中方也要支持中國(guó)企業(yè)赴越投資興業(yè),也為越南企業(yè)來(lái)華開(kāi)拓市場(chǎng)創(chuàng)造更便利條件。這樣不僅能促使兩國(guó)經(jīng)貿(mào)合作迅速發(fā)展,而且對(duì)雙方今后貿(mào)易關(guān)系不平衡問(wèn)題的解決也會(huì)起到一定的作用。總之中越兩國(guó)間的貿(mào)易平衡問(wèn)題只有在雙方共同努力下才能妥善解決。
[Abstract]:World and regional economic integration is an objective and inevitable trend of developing countries, which makes the economic and trade relations between countries closer and closer. Therefore, economic foreign policy is regarded by the Vietnamese government as an important issue in economic development strategy, especially bilateral relations with China. With the development of the diplomatic relations between China and Vietnam since the 20th century, the trade relations have been growing constantly. To meet the needs of Vietnam's production and consumption, it has played a significant role in promoting the fierce growth of Vietnam's economy. But with the growth of trade between the two countries, Vietnam and China trade deficit is also gradually clear, and Vietnam is often in a trade deficit. To some extent, this problem will hinder and even endanger the stable development of Vietnam-China trade relations. Therefore, Vietnam's long-term trade deficit with China has attracted the attention of many scholars and the Vietnamese government. Therefore, it is of great significance to study the problem and find out the solution. According to statistics from Vietnam's General Administration of Customs, Vietnam's trade deficit with China has become increasingly serious in recent years, which has left Vietnam's economy heavily dependent on China, thus losing its active position. It has a significant negative effect on the state of macroeconomic balance and the sustainable development of the economy. The trade deficit not only has a negative impact on Vietnam, but also has a negative impact on China, which is in surplus position. In order to understand the trade deficit between Vietnam and China, this paper compares the economic and trade index, GDP index and investment cooperation between Vietnam and China from 2000 to 2016, and analyzes the mutual influence of trade strength between the two countries. Through the research, the author thinks that to solve the trade deficit problem between Vietnam and China, we can not only rely on the unilateral efforts of Vietnam, which needs the cooperation of the two countries to solve the problem. Therefore, while promoting the development of trade between the two countries, the Chinese government should give some guidance to promote the sales of Vietnamese goods in China, encourage and increase the extent of Vietnam's exports to China. In addition, China should also support Chinese enterprises to invest in Vietnam and create more convenient conditions for Vietnamese enterprises to open up markets in China. This will not only promote the rapid development of economic and trade cooperation between the two countries, but also play a certain role in resolving the imbalance of trade relations between the two sides in the future. In short, the issue of trade balance between China and Vietnam can only be properly resolved through joint efforts.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:上海外國(guó)語(yǔ)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2017
【分類號(hào)】:F752.7;F753.33

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