今年以來我國固定資產(chǎn)投資特征及展望
發(fā)布時間:2018-10-22 14:03
【摘要】:1~7月份,我國固定資產(chǎn)投資增長11.2%,增速分別較上年同期和全年放緩5.8和4.5個百分點,月度之間呈現(xiàn)"跌勢明顯、近期趨穩(wěn)"的態(tài)勢。展望下半年后幾個月,投資重大工程包擴圍、盤活存量財政資金、房地產(chǎn)市場回暖、金融服務(wù)實體經(jīng)濟能力增強等,將是穩(wěn)投資的重要因素。但是,企業(yè)自主投資意愿不強、地方政府及融資平臺投資能力受限、PPP模式實質(zhì)性進(jìn)展較慢、資金尚未有效流入實體經(jīng)濟等因素,仍將困擾著投資形勢好轉(zhuǎn)。綜合判斷,全年固定資產(chǎn)投資增速有望達(dá)到12%左右,制造業(yè)投資和房地產(chǎn)開發(fā)投資低增速,基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施投資高增速。建議加快推進(jìn)重點項目建設(shè)、加快推進(jìn)PPP模式、降低長期融資成本以及深化投資審批制度改革。
[Abstract]:China's fixed asset investment rose 11.2 percent in July, down 5.8 and 4.5 percentage points from the same period last year and the whole year, respectively, showing a "significant decline and stabilising in the near future" between the months. Looking forward to the second half of the year, major investment projects will be expanded, the stock of financial funds will be revitalized, the real estate market will recover, and the financial services entity economic capacity will be strengthened, which will be an important factor in stabilizing investment. However, the lack of independent investment willingness of enterprises, the limited investment capacity of local governments and financing platforms, the slow progress of the PPP model, and the fact that funds have not been effectively flowing into the real economy will still plague the investment situation. Overall, fixed asset investment growth is expected to reach about 12 percent, investment in manufacturing and real estate development is low, and infrastructure investment is high. It is suggested to speed up the construction of key projects, accelerate the PPP model, reduce the long-term financing cost and deepen the reform of the investment approval system.
【作者單位】: 中國金融四十人論壇;國家信息中心;
【分類號】:F124
[Abstract]:China's fixed asset investment rose 11.2 percent in July, down 5.8 and 4.5 percentage points from the same period last year and the whole year, respectively, showing a "significant decline and stabilising in the near future" between the months. Looking forward to the second half of the year, major investment projects will be expanded, the stock of financial funds will be revitalized, the real estate market will recover, and the financial services entity economic capacity will be strengthened, which will be an important factor in stabilizing investment. However, the lack of independent investment willingness of enterprises, the limited investment capacity of local governments and financing platforms, the slow progress of the PPP model, and the fact that funds have not been effectively flowing into the real economy will still plague the investment situation. Overall, fixed asset investment growth is expected to reach about 12 percent, investment in manufacturing and real estate development is low, and infrastructure investment is high. It is suggested to speed up the construction of key projects, accelerate the PPP model, reduce the long-term financing cost and deepen the reform of the investment approval system.
【作者單位】: 中國金融四十人論壇;國家信息中心;
【分類號】:F124
【參考文獻(xiàn)】
相關(guān)期刊論文 前2條
1 張丹丹;;我國各地區(qū)八大行業(yè)的固定資產(chǎn)投資分析[J];商;2013年02期
2 張U,
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