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Ρ⽻еćHƶȸ

l(f)rg2016-11-01 12:54

  P(gun)I~⽻еćHƶȸl(f)


ժ Ҫݷքeͽڰԙ(qun)Ї(gu)ɮ(dng)H⽻_ϵăɴĽɫ2008ȫΣCıl(f)ˮXɇćHڵλl(f)෴׃ЇĽλ揊Ľڰԙ(qun)λt@Nλ׃wʹЇȡˡM(jn)ȡ͡Ľ⽻ȡˡس͡Ľ⽻ɇ֮gĽ⽻ҪF(xin)@HƶȵͿƁչ_һЇŬƄӇHfƶȵĸĸeOc(do)HƶȵĽO(sh)Է(w)ЇćHƶҪһsKHfƶȵĸĸҵЇM(jn)ЇHƶȵĽO(sh)Ժl(wi)سɵļƶȰԙ(qun)֮gdćHƶȸǃɇڙ(qun)λڹƷoԼƶȺϷԵĸdzʬF(xin)߀ǻ@H֮a(chn)h(yun)Ӱ

P(gun)I~ݽ ڰԙ(qun) سͽ⽻ M(jn)ȡͽ⽻ Hƶȸ

 ߣΡЇW(xu)HP(gun)ϵW(xu)Ժڣ100871

2008l(f)ΣC2009Ї_ŇHM(jn)Լ2010Wނ(w)ΣC?ni)߹ͬ?gu)ˇHwϵM(jn)һP(gun)IԷˮXĂy(tng)ڰԙ(qun)ĵλ⵽Їdĵλڲ_HI(lng)@NY(ji)(gu)׃o^ȥһֱl(f)_(d)(do)ćH֘(gu)˛_ıF(xin)ԲDɭ֕hԁm(x)70ćHP(gun)ƶwϵ_ʼNɄ
һЇڇHI(lng)ȡˡM(jn)ȡ͡assertivećHƶ⽻ڸ׃ЇڼƶwϵеIJλһ棬Ї׃ćHƶȱؓ(f)tȡˡس͡defensivećHƶ⽻ԇDS֬F(xin)еćHƶȲ׃H⽻_ϵăɴĽɫЇƶȱؓ(f)ƶسڽI(lng)һHƶȸĻB(ti)⽻еćHƶȸ⡰Yġ֮һ݆HؽṩһȫµČW(xu)g(sh)ҕǡ
һHڵλ׃w
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⽻еćHƶȸ

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2008֮ԪλӑՓW(xu)Ҋʡ^J(rn)Јď·هԼoɱȔMĽЈṩġͶYáԪλo(zhn) ^J(rn)ԪĻA(ch)δH؛wϵܿʬF(xin)ԪWԪ㶦ĸ Ǹ(j)H؛ŵλɿҲ׽y(tng)Ӌăɂ(sh)(j)ԪڇH؛wϵеĪԵλ_]аl(f)׃RЈԪķ~ռ60%ڶĚWԪ30%RЈԪķ~Ȼռ80%ϣ~200%ڶĚWԪӽ40% wԪİԙ(qun)λĿǰȻ](zhn)LځԪ|(zh)ɕĄHЈ֧
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ƄϺϽMںϺMĄ(chung)Ͱl(f)չЇHƶȽO(sh)ʷϵҪ⽻ƪ£ڷ(wn)Ї(zhn)ԭh(hun)l(f)]˘OҪ200510ϺϽMy“(lin)wԔUɆTI(y)ͽڙC(gu)֮g“(lin)ϵc@(bio)־ϺϽMں_ˡ ĿǰЇŽׂƄϺϽMµĽ؛ź
ȣͨ^ӿɆT؛ŻQӏ^(q)ԾșCƽO(sh)mrp߅؛ŻQϺϽM¶߅؛ŻQp߅Ӵχ֮g໥ԮSo(h)ҽڷ(wn)؛Űȫش ΣC(yng)֮֮gͨ^؛ŻQõČ؛ע뱾wϵ֧ČM(jn)ڵƷ鏊؛ŵŵćHʹ
Σ^(q)Q(mo)׺ͶYĽY(ji)֧wϵmȻЇcϺϽMɆTıQ(mo)׽Y(ji)Ҏ(gu)ģĔUԼy“(lin)wµJҎ(gu)ģԽԽϺϽMҪһ߅µĽY(ji)֧wϵ@؛źҪ(ni)ݣǼӏ(jng)(j)ĻA(ch) (gu)ϺϽM^(q)ȯЈҲڳɞЇƄӳɆTں‡Lԇ
ƄϺϽM_l(f)yбM콨2010ЇhоϺM_l(f)yԞɆT“(lin)ͨca(chn)I(y)ṩY֧@һhδܵõ_˹ٝɶrRáȻ(dng)ǰЁԴ(jng)Q(mo)İl(f)չB(ti)ʹϺϽM_l(f)yеĽl(f)СMƄϺϽM_l(f)yеij׺ɞvϺϽMԪ׺ͿıՄ(ni)
(chung)޻A(ch)O(sh)ʩͶYyЇڽI(lng)ĽŬ˲Ŀ201310°l(f)޻A(ch)O(sh)ʩͶYyУQͶСڴ˺һĕrgչ_˷eOĽ⽻TࡰHѡ끆ͶĿǰͶѽ(jng)ʽ\IЇĽȺ(dn)LO(sh)ڱ
Ƚu_l(f)yͶЌӴЇӡ@һ͇HڙC(gu)Ї(do)M(jn)ЇHƶȽO(sh)Ҫ¼ҲչʾЇڇHI(lng)еćH΄ӆTͶеĄ(chung)ʼY1000|ԪҎ(gu)15%ͶƱ(qun)ͬȷoЄ(chung)ʼɆTЇĹə(qun)30%ͶƱ(qun)~26%@һƶO(sh)ӋC˲ֳYٵć܉и߳YͶƱ(qun)ĶˁͶеĺϷԡͶеشQҪ75%ij(sh)ͨ^@Ҳ_Їеƶ(do)(qun) uՓJ(rn)飬δҲܕɞһҡcyќ_l(f)yзͥYȫڙC(gu)
֮uC|10+3CơϺḾͶгɞЇƄӇHںĴƶƽ_I(lng)(do)ļнƶwϵ(gu)˾޴׃ЇڇH_ϵĽɫȻһıӵ^ߺ͡܇ߣɞƶȲеҪ(zhn)ֺ͇HҪ؟(z)γГ(dn)
سͽ⽻
еćHƶwϵJ(rn)ġԙ(qun)֮挦ЇڇHI(lng)򏊴ġơŬ͡ơЄӣ]зeO협(yng)΄ݵ׃ˑB(ti)DZF(xin)l(wi)ЇHƶȵıˑB(ti)(jng)(j)W(xu)ɴA(y)yLJH؛wϵĸص M(jn)ԓДıǚWԪMճ(zhn)Ԫԙ(qun)ŒHHڇH؛ŸĸHƶwϵǡwϵSߺؙ(qun)ߡ M(jn)Ը⿴wϵĸ׃
挦20o(j)70DɭwϵԁЇHƶwϵΣCȡس͵Ľ⽻cЇM(jn)ȡͽ⽻hS@P(gun)Ҫġ(qun)ۓpһ棬挦ЇġơŬ|(zh)ԸĸeʼK̓cίͨ^O(yng)һ挦ЇġơЄӣҲһֱ򰵵ֵM(jn)е
һЇĸҪ
2008֮ǰȫڰԙ(qun)λҪʽͷʽƶwϵ֧քeǣI(lng)(do)ȫƽ_߇F(tun)G7(do)yСH؛ŻM͇HyОćHC(gu)ѽ(jng)Јγˏ·هԪwϵ @һN(f)͵ćHƶȼܘ(gu)ę(qun)ƿߺոߡ
2008ΣC2010Wނ(w)ΣCȺ󱬰l(f)(do)ļЇHƶwϵѽ(jng)yԽQWĽڲYcͬrI(lng)(do)ȫY(ji)(gu)ҲȫoM猦ȫڹa(chn)ƷĹoҪ@߹ͬwF(xin)ĿЧΣCdҵȺwԽԽMȫwϵę(qun)Y(ji)(gu)@wF(xin)ĺϷΣC(do)HƶwϵR޴׃
سɵĽƶȰԙ(qun)MڽΣCĸ߳AΣ2008-2010꣩_ͨ^һЩׅf(xi)׌MЇdҵġơҪԓQϺ֧ȫ?q)ȡđ?yng)ΣCĸNHŬhG20hCƣƥƝόȫ(jng)(j)ƽ_ĶλM(jn)˹_ZͬĸIMF~(qun)ͶƱ(qun)Լ؄e(qun)šܺͽY(ji)(gu)ȵȡS˺ΣCĉuЇڵһϵСơVԽԽO(yng)
G7G20څΣCG20ڼw(yng)ΣC^аl(f)]˷eOã2010נ_ǰϦ׌mQьڇH(jng)(j)еcİˇF(tun)D(zhun)˶ʮF(tun) 2011؄e2013_ʼSͶؾìܲӄ_ʼʮF(tun)ųжȫ(jng)(j)аl(f)]ԓCœS顰Մ^څݡG20IJLhXʹ(x)TWԼˡ(ni)f(xi){(dio)ò܁ԸⲿdƼsŒ@һƶ׃w^ζs20o(j)90˹Ą_˹D(zhun)mȻ{_˹ʹ߇F(tun)׃ɰˇF(tun)ؔI(lng)_˹һֱSؔLh@“(lin)ϚWމŔH־ǷdzԛQҲpˌG20֧֣G20״η]ȫκξЌ|(zh)ԵěQh
ΣȫڙC(gu)ķ~(qun)™(qun)ĸM(jn)Lܽ^M(jn)`͙(qun)Č|(zh)ԸĸЇd(jng)(j)wIMFƄӵķ~(qun)ĸһֱڽΣCĉ2010IMFɆT_(d)˸ĸf(xi)h(j)ԓf(xi)hIMFķ~һs6%ķ~лdЈʹԲİl(f)չЇD(zhun)(j)ԓЇQIMFɆTӡ_˹ͰҲM(jn)ǰʮλH™(qun)ĸĸҲM(jn)չWއҌ׌ɂIMF(zh)ж•ϯλwF(xin)dЈͰl(f)չЇҵĴ@һdzҪĸĸ͇sLӌIMFķ~(qun)ĸ﷽ıQ
2012Ĵx꣬WRһЩhTIMFĸ]ЌIMFĸ﷽Q򡣊WRɹB֮_ʼIMFY20133⵽Q2014114ڸ۽£ԺٴηQIMF2010ĸ﷽201412£ɴܽ^ĸ﷽{ܿM(jn)ӑՓ@ʹøĸﲻòϵ2015ȴٴΌٴηQIMFĸ﷽Œ`G20ĝڹRl(f)_(d)(jng)(j)wҪ֧d(jng)(j)wȫаl(f)]Ҳȫ(jng)(j)Г(dn)؟(z) IMF2010ĸ﷽LڜSһ@njIMF•Qh(qun)Եľ޴(zhn)ұӋ2014_һ݆IMF~uҲ˲òһϣ@ˇHձ鲻MM߲HdЈҲy(tng)ĚWѣ編Ӣȫܵ(yn)?f)pRH ֱ2015׵P(gun)ڣԺ(zhn)ĸ﷽
mȻؓ(f)؟(z)y(tng)]ͶYԴȥf顰ҊCwćǸ@Ҳ(dng)ΣCӰuuɢȥ_ʼҪd(jng)(j)wԴ̼(jng)(j)njƶȸĸ׃OeOSo(h)ȴćHƶԼԼе(do)λνY(ji)(gu)ʹÇķ܉ɞһdzõġwƶȸĸ挍Ŀġ
Œ2010ĸĸ﷽Ȼк܏ıԣ@һĸﲢ]|P(gun)ҪһƱQ(qun)} (j)P(gun)ƶҎ(gu)IMFشQh횫@85%ͶƱ(qun)(zhn)ЧIMFԁһֱ^15%ͶƱ(qun)@ǹȻo΂ҵķQ(qun)@ҲIMF(qun)λwF(xin)2010ĸĸ﷽漰ķ~(qun){(dio)ҪǚWއҵIJַ~dD(zhun)ƣ17%ͶƱ(qun)]׃
HҲo׃yL^m(x)ƶԏijԁIMFɚW˓(dn)οy˓(dn)L@wF(xin)W“(lin)ωŔHƶȵ(do)(qun)@ֻһNĵđT]_ķҎ(gu)ՓǿԸ׃2012һLZ(zhn)푣l(f)չЇ״x˅cLd؄eǽuCƳɆT͏ұʾLx(yng)(yng)ڲܣLJ2012µu__(d)ˡgӭl(f)չЇx˸xyL ǕrLQ@Ľ(jng)(j)w(yng)피ćHC(gu)Гһϯ֮ء _(d)ϣеġѪy(tng)^m(x)еİʾMˁdҵľ޴(zhn)nt(y)W(xu)ҽܭ߀Ǯ(dng)xL2011IMFõxӡȺͰdҲԇDȡ׃W˓(dn)εđTҲʧK@HڙC(gu)I(lng)(do)˵ġZ(zhn)һWɈΣCʹŔHƶI(lng)(do)(qun)ġĬ⵽(zhn)һҲ“(lin)ϚWޏҺl(wi)ڇHڙC(gu)еؙ(qun)ҫ@˳ɹ
ٴҲSDRڇH(jng)(j)аl(f)]ãű{SDR؛Ż@ӵӋҲOB(ti)1969꣬H؛ŻM(chung) SDRּڮ(dng)rԪF(xin)ΣC׵ıṩһNµćHYa(chn)ԏaһԪɵćHԲ MSDRҲ֧„(chung)ؔLՌQǡH؛„(w)I(lng)ԲDɭ֕hԁҪһŬ SDRһN(qun)H؛ŵQԪ؛ŵλ߉݋һֱOSDRl(f)չɞһNxϵćH؛ţSDRڳʮһֱ]ڇH؛wϵаl(f)]|(zh)á
2009挦СĄ(chung)(qun)H؛šijhy(tng)WRӲʾԪȻͦ]бҪO(sh)ȫ؛ȡԪ MSDR(jng)^˵݆l(f)ȫR係fSDRȻֻǜ溣һSDRһ@؛ŵĘ(gu)ɸĸҲeO2010߀ܡʹáżSDRĿŒ1973Ԫ@rձ߀YM(jn)Ї(yn)Ĺһֱm(x)1980 2015ϰ꣬挦Їš{(ln)չ_ķeOĸ⽻Ŭ挦IMFӵԼWҪҼB(ti)֧ȻһȻdzO@331ؔLŸR̕LЇfɽl(f)vrQЇ_(d)׌żIMF SDR ؛Ż@ӵԸЇҪM(jn)һͨ^ɻĸMĘ(bio)(zhn)҂ĄЇɱҪĸĸ^ @NģɿɵĕB(ti)@һ}ڵpһϵ挍B(ti)DzԸ^猢ż{SDR؛Ż@š{(ln)،ŵćHλһҲ]гM(jn)й_(dng)rl(f)ځͶІ}ӢI(lng)(do)ġꡱ¼ڹ_Ȼ]لt؛š@ěQֻҪ70%Ķ(sh)Ʊ@һ}ϲ߂һƱQ(qun)ձҌ׷SmȻcһM(jn)ͶƱQ]ʮİֻ^m(x)Լg(sh)M(jn)еy ҲđB(ti)ʼK̫IMF2015°tP(gun)Ƿ@uQ
ͨ^Ї^ȥĽ⽻`Ƅ(do)ćHƶM(jn)Ќ|(zh)ʮyTC(j)ѽ(jng)pSЇĸļнƶwϵSĽ(jng)(j)(f)KΣC澏䌦Їȫ?q)ӴεġơŬʩӵԽԽnjеƶM(jn)һЩg(sh){(dio)Ҳ׿Ϻ(do)µģԲpę(qun)λǰ
ЇĽЄ
F(xin)ЇHwϵĵԼHƶȑ(zhn)ںl(wi)еćHƶș(qun)ԣֹκ·Ұl(f)ĽЄ{нƶwϵ
Ol(wi)ԪH؛wϵĵĵλŵćHHν(jng)(j)W(xu)_ءƽRobert GilpinָԪćHλcĿ˾ĺ˃(yu)һͬ(gu)(zhn)֮ȫԙ(qun)Ļʯ ԪwϵLJHwϵеƶȻA(ch)MԲDɭwϵԺԪwϵʽƶʽ׃?yu)ʽƶʽ@Ӱͨ^Nֶκl(wi)@һƶ
1944ԁԪwϵ܃ɴ·(yn)(zhn)һ20o(j)70ԪSÓ^ΣC1999WԪQԪ(gu)ɵЧ(yng)Kͨ^N؛⽻ֶΰԪcʯ͒^ȴ_ԪwϵƉ 2008挦ΣC(zhn)G20ƽ_f(xi){(dio)P(gun)ҵIJ{(dio)_^m(x)жǴԴ_Ԫλ(jng)(j)ķ(wn)2010꣬ĿǰԪ󸂠ֵĚWԪҲF(xin)ΣC ]Ӱl(f)HhWԪ^(q)^(w)ΣC෴u˾^{(dio)һЩWއҵu^ʹWΣC ćH؛ŸĽǶȿ]@һP(gun)I(ji)cdzҊWԪ韩 ЇȇҰl(f)P(gun)ڸĸH؛wϵӑՓ(yng)ʮ䵭
P(gun)Ҫ挦Ї؛I(lng)ĽЄӡŵćHđB(ti)ҲǷdzֵζԏ2009ԁЇչ_һϵЇH؛⽻ŇHM(jn)wʩ؛ŻQƄӱŽY(ji)źCƄŵֱӽ׵ȵЇ˽һ50ҵ؛ŻW(wng)j(lu)ԓW(wng)j(lu)аӢ‡ȚW޺ćԼn¼Ĵȁ̫l(f)_(d)(jng)(j)w ǣŵćHwϷdzĮɇ񲢛]؛⽻_(d)κʹõćHf(xi)hM]зŇHd_Ҳ֧ŇHŇHζЇYЈ_ţ@cһµڲցއҺ͚WއҵķeOˑB(ti)]вȡκΌHЄӁ֧ŵćHʹãоͰ]вȡκηeOЄ֧P(gun)Ҫ @c(dng)eOĄʩԪHвͬ uՓָЇȫwϵӰ,sl(f)رF(xin)áIJ鲻Ը ŇH, sҲ֧ЇӴνȫćLԇ  Q֮ϣһ_ŵЇYЈsԸ⿴oЇćH؛ř(qun) ŵJ(rn)21o(j)^WԪQ֮شćH؛¼]Ї޴Ľ(jng)(j)Ҏ(gu)ģĵؾӰŵ^(dng)ԪЧ(yng)_Ԫ(do)ćH؛wϵ֪
ΣЇl(f)ā޻A(ch)O(sh)ʩͶYyУQͶСһ_ʼҲ߱_(d)䷴з|M(jn)нڡơЄӵđ(zhn)Ԃy(tng)ϣS֖|؅^(q)Ľ(jng)(j)Ƭ_ԓ؅^(q)Ľ(jng)(j)(do)λֹ|ɞڶһwĚW1997ձh؛ŻMԏaH؛ŻMIJ⵽Ĺ_a(chn) ЇhͶУҲͬ
(dng)ЇͶеijh֮u@yќ_l(f)yеWRنTҲʾ(dn)ЇI(lng)(do)µyЕеڰl(f)Jϵıo(h)ʩ@ЩʩǞ˱CF(xin)ijЩ}O(sh)׷l(f)չʹȺwx_Լ ˹_uҪĵЄӾǘOfԼˇҪ끆Ͷ(j)~sr󡷵ĈځͶ⽻o2014°cһЩЇĝڻM(jn)˽•Մ(j)߼نTP(gun)Ĵ¶ϢنTһֱԳϵěQāf䷴fҪˇҪcСnăɇĸ߼نTʾؔu@yĿќ_l(f)yеĹ֮eɼyǶ(zhn)ćHڙC(gu)ձ(do)AʢD߀J(rn)飬ԓЇÁn|ρҵһιͨ^(jng)(j)Zړ(dn)nI(lng)gһNܛݡ ձnͰĴOfČ@̫(jng)(j)ӁͶУͶеĺϷԺО͕⵽|(zh)Ҳĉ£nͰĴ2014һֱ]гZӁͶֱ20153ҪˇӢ֮nͰĴŹ_B(ti)QһP(gun)IձֱF(xin)Ҳ]
ǣ挦ЇŬƁͶеĽ⽻KʧǰؔL_Ĭ˹H̵،20153Œɞһʧȥȫ(jng)(j)wϵнɫĚvʷr벻ڲDɭֺ߀ʲô¼cȣЇͨ^ŬһҪ™C(gu)δfĔ(sh)ʮλy(tng)Ѳ@C(gu)Ӣ׮(dng)_ ĸfƁͶеʧwF(xin)ڇHwϵеڙ(qun)λ½oڹa(chn)ƷIJƇHƶȵĺϷ|(zh)ɡ
֮LJHƶwϵļȵߺ͙(qun)(do)˳ɞ鏊س挦ЇM(jn)ȡͽ⽻ƶȸ_ȡһϵмg(sh)Ե{(dio)ЇHƶwϵĺϷԺ\Чǿwͨ^سͽ⽻OֹHƶwϵĸ׃
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