本文關(guān)鍵詞：浙江省能源消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)對(duì)能源效率影響研究　出處：《浙江財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

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【摘要】：能源是國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)持續(xù)發(fā)展的重要資源,是中國(guó)崛起的動(dòng)力,然而當(dāng)前日益緊缺的能源已成為制約經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)發(fā)展的重要因素。環(huán)顧全球,提高能源效率水平是緩解能源供需矛盾,確保區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)快速穩(wěn)定發(fā)展的必經(jīng)之路,也是轉(zhuǎn)變經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)方式,世界各國(guó)擺脫能源短缺的唯一路徑,實(shí)現(xiàn)變革的關(guān)鍵點(diǎn)所在�，F(xiàn)如今全世界范圍內(nèi),能源消費(fèi)問(wèn)題已處在面臨重大變革期。浙江省目前正面臨著國(guó)際能源發(fā)展的新變化趨勢(shì),能源供求的新模式,促進(jìn)能源生產(chǎn)和能源消費(fèi)變化,保護(hù)本省能源安全等一系列問(wèn)題,這也正是浙江省能源消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)轉(zhuǎn)型升級(jí)的關(guān)鍵舉措。本文的重點(diǎn)是通過(guò)理論分析和建立協(xié)整關(guān)系模型的分析方法,對(duì)浙江省1995-2014年間能源消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)與能源效率的關(guān)系進(jìn)行協(xié)整檢驗(yàn),得出結(jié)論:得出結(jié)論:天然氣、水核風(fēng)電比重與總體能源效率成正比,即天然氣和水核風(fēng)電的消費(fèi)占能源消費(fèi)總量的比重上升,會(huì)促進(jìn)能源效率提高;煤類、石油比重與總體能源效率成反比關(guān)系,即煤類、石油的消費(fèi)占能源消費(fèi)總量的比重上升,會(huì)引起總體能源效率下降。隨后通過(guò)運(yùn)用計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)方法分析能源消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)對(duì)能源效率的影響,并引入技術(shù)進(jìn)步作為影響因素,從實(shí)證方面給出數(shù)量化的研究理論:煤類能源消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)和油品類能源消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)在科技強(qiáng)度投入高時(shí)對(duì)能源效率具有顯著的促進(jìn)作用,而在科技投入強(qiáng)度低時(shí)不利于能源效率的提升;不管科技投入強(qiáng)度高或者科技投入強(qiáng)度低,天然氣能源消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)和水核風(fēng)電能源消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)對(duì)能源效率都具有顯著的促進(jìn)作用。最后,本文提出了浙江省提升能源效率水平的對(duì)策建議:一是大力鼓勵(lì)天然氣和可再生能源的開(kāi)發(fā)和利用,拓展天然氣的使用范圍;二是加快轉(zhuǎn)變經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)方式,繼續(xù)優(yōu)化產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu);三是推進(jìn)能源科技創(chuàng)新;四是推進(jìn)油氣體制市場(chǎng)化改革。
[Abstract]:Energy is an important resource for the sustainable development of the national economy and a driving force for the rise of China. However, the increasingly scarce energy has become an important factor restricting the economic and social development. Improving the level of energy efficiency is the only way to ease the contradiction between supply and demand of energy and to ensure the rapid and stable development of regional economy. It is also the only way to change the mode of economic growth and get rid of the energy shortage in the world. Nowadays, the problem of energy consumption is in the period of great change in the world. Zhejiang Province is facing the new trend of international energy development and the new mode of energy supply and demand. Promote energy production and energy consumption change, protect the province's energy security and a series of issues. This is also the key measure of energy consumption structure transformation and upgrading in Zhejiang Province. The cointegration test on the relationship between energy consumption structure and energy efficiency from 1995 to 2014 in Zhejiang Province is carried out, and the conclusion is drawn: the proportion of natural gas and water core wind power is directly proportional to the overall energy efficiency. That is, the proportion of natural gas and water core wind power consumption in total energy consumption will increase, which will promote energy efficiency. Coal, the proportion of petroleum and overall energy efficiency is inversely proportional, that is, coal, the proportion of oil consumption in the total energy consumption increased. Then the econometric method is used to analyze the impact of energy consumption structure on energy efficiency, and the technological progress is introduced as the influencing factor. From the empirical aspect, the quantitative research theory is given: coal energy consumption structure and oil energy consumption structure play a significant role in promoting energy efficiency when the investment of science and technology intensity is high. When the intensity of science and technology input is low, it is not conducive to the improvement of energy efficiency. Whether the intensity of science and technology input is high or the intensity of science and technology investment is low, the structure of natural gas energy consumption and the energy consumption structure of hydro-core wind power have significant effect on energy efficiency. Finally. This paper puts forward countermeasures and suggestions to improve energy efficiency in Zhejiang Province: first, to encourage the development and utilization of natural gas and renewable energy, and to expand the scope of natural gas use; Second, speed up the transformation of economic growth mode and continue to optimize the industrial structure; Third, to promote energy science and technology innovation; Fourth, promote the marketization reform of oil and gas system.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：浙江財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號(hào)】：F426.2

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