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浙江省能源消費結(jié)構(gòu)對能源效率影響研究

發(fā)布時間:2018-01-09 09:22

  本文關(guān)鍵詞:浙江省能源消費結(jié)構(gòu)對能源效率影響研究 出處:《浙江財經(jīng)大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文 論文類型:學(xué)位論文


  更多相關(guān)文章: 能源消費結(jié)構(gòu) 能源效率 實證分析


【摘要】:能源是國民經(jīng)濟持續(xù)發(fā)展的重要資源,是中國崛起的動力,然而當前日益緊缺的能源已成為制約經(jīng)濟社會發(fā)展的重要因素。環(huán)顧全球,提高能源效率水平是緩解能源供需矛盾,確保區(qū)域經(jīng)濟快速穩(wěn)定發(fā)展的必經(jīng)之路,也是轉(zhuǎn)變經(jīng)濟增長方式,世界各國擺脫能源短缺的唯一路徑,實現(xiàn)變革的關(guān)鍵點所在,F(xiàn)如今全世界范圍內(nèi),能源消費問題已處在面臨重大變革期。浙江省目前正面臨著國際能源發(fā)展的新變化趨勢,能源供求的新模式,促進能源生產(chǎn)和能源消費變化,保護本省能源安全等一系列問題,這也正是浙江省能源消費結(jié)構(gòu)轉(zhuǎn)型升級的關(guān)鍵舉措。本文的重點是通過理論分析和建立協(xié)整關(guān)系模型的分析方法,對浙江省1995-2014年間能源消費結(jié)構(gòu)與能源效率的關(guān)系進行協(xié)整檢驗,得出結(jié)論:得出結(jié)論:天然氣、水核風(fēng)電比重與總體能源效率成正比,即天然氣和水核風(fēng)電的消費占能源消費總量的比重上升,會促進能源效率提高;煤類、石油比重與總體能源效率成反比關(guān)系,即煤類、石油的消費占能源消費總量的比重上升,會引起總體能源效率下降。隨后通過運用計量經(jīng)濟學(xué)方法分析能源消費結(jié)構(gòu)對能源效率的影響,并引入技術(shù)進步作為影響因素,從實證方面給出數(shù)量化的研究理論:煤類能源消費結(jié)構(gòu)和油品類能源消費結(jié)構(gòu)在科技強度投入高時對能源效率具有顯著的促進作用,而在科技投入強度低時不利于能源效率的提升;不管科技投入強度高或者科技投入強度低,天然氣能源消費結(jié)構(gòu)和水核風(fēng)電能源消費結(jié)構(gòu)對能源效率都具有顯著的促進作用。最后,本文提出了浙江省提升能源效率水平的對策建議:一是大力鼓勵天然氣和可再生能源的開發(fā)和利用,拓展天然氣的使用范圍;二是加快轉(zhuǎn)變經(jīng)濟增長方式,繼續(xù)優(yōu)化產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu);三是推進能源科技創(chuàng)新;四是推進油氣體制市場化改革。
[Abstract]:Energy is an important resource for the sustainable development of the national economy and a driving force for the rise of China. However, the increasingly scarce energy has become an important factor restricting the economic and social development. Improving the level of energy efficiency is the only way to ease the contradiction between supply and demand of energy and to ensure the rapid and stable development of regional economy. It is also the only way to change the mode of economic growth and get rid of the energy shortage in the world. Nowadays, the problem of energy consumption is in the period of great change in the world. Zhejiang Province is facing the new trend of international energy development and the new mode of energy supply and demand. Promote energy production and energy consumption change, protect the province's energy security and a series of issues. This is also the key measure of energy consumption structure transformation and upgrading in Zhejiang Province. The cointegration test on the relationship between energy consumption structure and energy efficiency from 1995 to 2014 in Zhejiang Province is carried out, and the conclusion is drawn: the proportion of natural gas and water core wind power is directly proportional to the overall energy efficiency. That is, the proportion of natural gas and water core wind power consumption in total energy consumption will increase, which will promote energy efficiency. Coal, the proportion of petroleum and overall energy efficiency is inversely proportional, that is, coal, the proportion of oil consumption in the total energy consumption increased. Then the econometric method is used to analyze the impact of energy consumption structure on energy efficiency, and the technological progress is introduced as the influencing factor. From the empirical aspect, the quantitative research theory is given: coal energy consumption structure and oil energy consumption structure play a significant role in promoting energy efficiency when the investment of science and technology intensity is high. When the intensity of science and technology input is low, it is not conducive to the improvement of energy efficiency. Whether the intensity of science and technology input is high or the intensity of science and technology investment is low, the structure of natural gas energy consumption and the energy consumption structure of hydro-core wind power have significant effect on energy efficiency. Finally. This paper puts forward countermeasures and suggestions to improve energy efficiency in Zhejiang Province: first, to encourage the development and utilization of natural gas and renewable energy, and to expand the scope of natural gas use; Second, speed up the transformation of economic growth mode and continue to optimize the industrial structure; Third, to promote energy science and technology innovation; Fourth, promote the marketization reform of oil and gas system.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:浙江財經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2017
【分類號】:F426.2

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