【摘要】：改革開放初期我國就制定出口導(dǎo)向型發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略,對(duì)外貿(mào)易的蓬勃發(fā)展為中國經(jīng)濟(jì)的快速發(fā)展提供了強(qiáng)大的動(dòng)力。隨著對(duì)外貿(mào)易總額的不斷擴(kuò)大,對(duì)外貿(mào)易對(duì)我國GDP的增長(zhǎng)也起著舉足輕重的作用。進(jìn)入21世紀(jì)以來,全球化不斷加深,國際貿(mào)易日趨繁榮,各國也越來越看重在國際市場(chǎng)中的獲利狀況。貿(mào)易條件這一指標(biāo)作為衡量某國在國際市場(chǎng)所獲利潤(rùn)的指數(shù)成為各學(xué)者研究的重要內(nèi)容。改革開放以來伴隨著出口導(dǎo)向型戰(zhàn)略到以質(zhì)取勝再到科學(xué)發(fā)展觀在對(duì)外貿(mào)易戰(zhàn)略層面的歷次轉(zhuǎn)變,中國貿(mào)易條件也先后經(jīng)歷了先改善后惡化的局面。特別是進(jìn)入21世紀(jì)以來我國價(jià)格貿(mào)易條件的持續(xù)惡化引起了學(xué)者的強(qiáng)烈關(guān)注,但伴隨著惡化的同時(shí)是GDP的一路飆升、收入貿(mào)易條件、單要素貿(mào)易條件和雙要素貿(mào)易條件的改善,這種現(xiàn)象與我國獨(dú)特的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展路徑有著怎樣的聯(lián)系?這些變化呈現(xiàn)哪些特點(diǎn)?引起這些變化的影響因素是怎樣改變的?等等這些問題都需要我們認(rèn)真解答,以期為未來我國對(duì)外貿(mào)易的發(fā)展提供借鑒。貿(mào)易條件與一國的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展方式有著直接的關(guān)系,而改革開放這一特殊的歷史時(shí)期對(duì)之后中國的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展模式有著深刻的影響。本文以這一時(shí)間為起點(diǎn)刻畫了改革開放以來各類貿(mào)易條件的變動(dòng)和走向,根據(jù)其所呈現(xiàn)的特點(diǎn)首先將其變遷過程分為三個(gè)階段：第一階段是貿(mào)易條件在波動(dòng)中由改善轉(zhuǎn)為惡化(1978—1991)；第二階段貿(mào)易條件緩慢惡化(1992—1998)；第三階段貿(mào)易條件嚴(yán)重惡化(1999—2013),而后從經(jīng)濟(jì)全球化和經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略層面進(jìn)行了經(jīng)濟(jì)史的回顧和分析。分析認(rèn)為30多年的市場(chǎng)化改革和外向性的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略使中國的貿(mào)易條件從總體上獲得了貿(mào)易利益,但這種貿(mào)易利益的獲得只反映了國家的靜態(tài)福利,并且潛藏危機(jī),難以為繼。
[Abstract]:In the early stage of reform and opening up, China formulated the export-oriented development strategy, and the vigorous development of foreign trade provided a powerful driving force for the rapid development of China's economy. With the continuous expansion of foreign trade, foreign trade also plays an important role in the growth of GDP. Since the beginning of the 21st century, globalization has deepened, international trade has become more and more prosperous, and countries are paying more and more attention to the profit situation in the international market. Terms of trade as a measure of a country's profits in the international market has become an important content of scholars. Since the reform and opening up, China's terms of trade have experienced a situation of first improvement and then deterioration, along with the successive changes from export-oriented strategy to quality winning and then to scientific development view in the foreign trade strategic level. Especially in the 21st century, the continuous deterioration of China's price terms of trade has aroused strong concern of scholars, but along with the deterioration is the soaring GDP, income terms of trade, single factor terms of trade and the improvement of the terms of trade of two factors. What is the connection between this phenomenon and China's unique economic development path? What are the characteristics of these changes? How do the factors that cause these changes change? And so on these questions all need us to answer earnestly, in order to provide the reference for the future development of our country's foreign trade. The terms of trade have a direct relationship with the mode of economic development of a country, and the reform and opening up, a special historical period, has a profound impact on the mode of economic development of China after that. Taking this time as a starting point, this paper describes the changes and trends of various terms of trade since the reform and opening up. According to its characteristics, it is divided into three stages: the first stage is that the terms of trade change from improvement to deterioration in fluctuation (1978-1991); In the second stage, the terms of trade deteriorated slowly (1992-1998); in the third stage, the terms of trade deteriorated seriously (1999-2013), and then the economic history was reviewed and analyzed from the aspects of economic globalization and economic development strategy. It is concluded that the market-oriented reform and the outward economic development strategy of more than 30 years have made China's terms of trade gain trade benefits on the whole, but the gains of this kind of trade benefits only reflect the static welfare of the country, and there is a latent crisis. difficult to continue
【學(xué)位授予單位】：山西大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2015
【分類號(hào)】：F752

【參考文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前4條

1 李漢君;孫旭;;中國價(jià)格貿(mào)易條件變動(dòng)趨勢(shì)與出口商品結(jié)構(gòu)——基于1981-2007年的時(shí)序數(shù)據(jù)的研究[J];國際貿(mào)易問題;2009年03期

2 溫銳,邱貴明;經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展模式選擇與科學(xué)發(fā)展觀——“近世中國經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展模式選擇與實(shí)踐”國際學(xué)術(shù)研討會(huì)掠影[J];當(dāng)代中國史研究;2005年05期

3 華民;;中國貿(mào)易條件惡化的原因與應(yīng)對(duì)的方法[J];世界經(jīng)濟(jì)情況;2010年07期

4 黃滿盈;鄧曉虹;;貿(mào)易條件變動(dòng)對(duì)中國經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)影響的實(shí)證分析[J];商業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)與管理;2009年10期

，

本文編號(hào)：2362415