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“快速通關(guān)”貿(mào)易促進(jìn)效應(yīng)的實(shí)證分析

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-11-18 12:57
【摘要】:在低關(guān)稅的時(shí)代,快速通關(guān)很可能是打破貿(mào)易壁壘,推動(dòng)國際貿(mào)易發(fā)展的重要手段。文章從四個(gè)方面總結(jié)了快速通關(guān)對(duì)國際貿(mào)易的影響機(jī)制,并基于2008-2010年113個(gè)國家相互之間的出口數(shù)據(jù),使用Heckman兩步選擇模型進(jìn)行了實(shí)證研究。結(jié)果顯示,快速通關(guān)對(duì)貿(mào)易參與和貿(mào)易規(guī)模都有著顯著的促進(jìn)作用,從多個(gè)角度進(jìn)行穩(wěn)健性檢驗(yàn)后,該結(jié)論依然成立?焖偻P(guān)可以通過需求偏好效應(yīng)、成本效應(yīng)與全球化生產(chǎn)網(wǎng)絡(luò)效應(yīng)和遏制日益強(qiáng)化的非關(guān)稅貿(mào)易壁壘的負(fù)面效應(yīng),使得多邊談判所形成的關(guān)稅降低的效應(yīng)得以真正發(fā)揮。此外,文章還發(fā)現(xiàn),自由貿(mào)易協(xié)定的建立,提升了通關(guān)效率與邊境管理的透明度,進(jìn)而提高了國家間的貿(mào)易量。文章的研究結(jié)論對(duì)于理解目前中國建立自由貿(mào)易區(qū)以及實(shí)施在貿(mào)易談判中主導(dǎo)快速通關(guān)的措施或建立條款,打破技術(shù)貿(mào)易壁壘具有重要的意義。
[Abstract]:In the era of low tariff, rapid customs clearance may be an important means to break down trade barriers and promote the development of international trade. This paper summarizes the impact mechanism of rapid customs clearance on international trade from four aspects and makes an empirical study based on the export data of 113 countries from 2008 to 2010 using the Heckman two-step selection model. The results show that rapid customs clearance can significantly promote trade participation and trade scale, and the conclusion is still valid after robust test from many angles. Through demand preference effect, cost effect, global production network effect and the negative effect of containing the increasingly strengthened non-tariff barriers to trade, rapid customs clearance can make the effect of tariff reduction formed by multilateral negotiations play a real role. In addition, it is found that the establishment of free trade agreement enhances the efficiency of customs clearance and the transparency of border management, and further increases the volume of trade between countries. The conclusion of this paper is of great significance to understand the establishment of free trade zone in China and to implement the measures or clauses to break down the technical barriers to trade.
【作者單位】: 上海財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)國際工商管理學(xué)院;
【基金】:中國自由貿(mào)易試驗(yàn)區(qū)協(xié)同創(chuàng)新中心資助基金項(xiàng)目(2015110868)
【分類號(hào)】:F745;F742

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