發(fā)布時間：2018-06-05 01:26

  本文選題：產(chǎn)城融合 + 四化同步　； 參考：《山西財經(jīng)大學(xué)》2016年博士論文

【摘要】：工業(yè)化、城鎮(zhèn)化、農(nóng)業(yè)現(xiàn)代化以及信息化經(jīng)過多年的發(fā)展,在取得顯著成就的同時,也存在著大量轉(zhuǎn)移到非農(nóng)產(chǎn)業(yè)的農(nóng)業(yè)勞動力市民化滯后的問題,農(nóng)民工難以融入城市社會;相比起人口城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展速度,土地城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展過快,建設(shè)用地粗放低效;現(xiàn)有城鎮(zhèn)在發(fā)展過程中的空間分布和規(guī)模結(jié)構(gòu)均不太合理,與城鎮(zhèn)現(xiàn)有資源環(huán)境承載能力不匹配;工業(yè)化進(jìn)程和城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展程度不匹配;產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)和就業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)不協(xié)調(diào);就業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)和城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展不協(xié)調(diào);農(nóng)業(yè)現(xiàn)代化滯后于工業(yè)化發(fā)展;信息化和西方發(fā)達(dá)國家相比起步太晚及如何發(fā)揮后發(fā)優(yōu)勢;等一系列問題。在上述問題背景下,本文從四化同步發(fā)展的分析出發(fā)研究了中國經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展進(jìn)程中的產(chǎn)城融合問題。論文從學(xué)科交叉的視角,結(jié)合經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)、產(chǎn)業(yè)組織學(xué)、城市經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)、產(chǎn)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)、管理學(xué)、統(tǒng)計學(xué)、系統(tǒng)工程學(xué)等多學(xué)科,從新型工業(yè)化、新型城鎮(zhèn)化、信息化、農(nóng)業(yè)現(xiàn)代化等四化同步發(fā)展的背景出發(fā),在理論上分析產(chǎn)城融合的經(jīng)濟(jì)理論依據(jù),并給出本文對于產(chǎn)城融合在四化同步進(jìn)程中的概念和內(nèi)涵新界定;建立了四化同步背景下的產(chǎn)城融合經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)理論模型;在理論模型的指導(dǎo)下,利用VAR模型中的格蘭杰因果檢驗(yàn)、方差分析、脈沖響應(yīng)函數(shù)及主成分分析等多種研究方法和工具,分析中國經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展進(jìn)程中產(chǎn)城融合的影響因素、動力機(jī)制、評價模型等;總結(jié)產(chǎn)城融合發(fā)展進(jìn)程中可能存在的問題,并對問題的解決提出可行的建議。論文的主要貢獻(xiàn)在于:首次提出了宏觀視角下的產(chǎn)城融合新定義,并由此界定了實(shí)證研究中產(chǎn)和城的分析范圍;首次構(gòu)建了四化同步進(jìn)程中產(chǎn)城融合的經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)理論模型,既增強(qiáng)了產(chǎn)城融合研究的理論支撐,又能指導(dǎo)后續(xù)的實(shí)證分析和研究;針對產(chǎn)城融合中的空城和空轉(zhuǎn)兩個典型問題從人口、經(jīng)濟(jì)和空間三個視角進(jìn)行了理論分析和探討;在產(chǎn)城融合新定義的指導(dǎo)下,在實(shí)證研究中將研究對象從目前較為集中的高新區(qū)或城市新區(qū)擴(kuò)展到了區(qū)域?qū)用�。論文的主要觀點(diǎn)和結(jié)論如下:1.認(rèn)為產(chǎn)城融合是指在新型城鎮(zhèn)化、新型工業(yè)化、信息化和農(nóng)業(yè)現(xiàn)代化等四化同步發(fā)展的進(jìn)程中,通過四化互促互進(jìn)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展,達(dá)到經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展中產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)合理,城鎮(zhèn)產(chǎn)業(yè)布局優(yōu)化,城鎮(zhèn)各項(xiàng)服務(wù)配套設(shè)施完善,真正做到各次產(chǎn)業(yè)和城鎮(zhèn)互相支撐,互相依托,相互匹配,實(shí)現(xiàn)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展進(jìn)程中四化同步協(xié)調(diào)產(chǎn)城互動的發(fā)展模式;2.認(rèn)為產(chǎn)城融合進(jìn)程中四化相互之間均存在單向或雙向的格蘭杰因果關(guān)系,同時四化發(fā)展過程中均具有自我調(diào)整的機(jī)制,這一觀點(diǎn)通過第3章的實(shí)證研究得到證實(shí)。3.從人口、經(jīng)濟(jì)和空間三個視角對產(chǎn)城融合的兩個典型問題--空城和空轉(zhuǎn)--進(jìn)行了理論分析,認(rèn)為空城和空轉(zhuǎn)均是城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展過程中和產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展在結(jié)構(gòu)以及空間配置方面不均衡所導(dǎo)致的,兩者應(yīng)該在人、經(jīng)濟(jì)、空間三個維度深度融合,才能在一定程度上解決空城和空轉(zhuǎn)的問題。4.認(rèn)為歷年來中國的產(chǎn)城融合度是逐年提升穩(wěn)步增加的,同時根據(jù)產(chǎn)城融合度的不同發(fā)展水平可將全國各地區(qū)分為一、二、三類地區(qū),這一觀點(diǎn)通過第5章的實(shí)證研究得到證實(shí)。5.發(fā)現(xiàn)影響全國歷年來產(chǎn)城融合發(fā)展的主要因素有3類,影響不同地區(qū)產(chǎn)城融合發(fā)展的主要因素有6類。在對全國1978-2014年歷年來以及2014年分地區(qū)的產(chǎn)城融合度進(jìn)行實(shí)證分析時分別提取出了3個和6個主成分因子,這些主成分因子所包含的指標(biāo)都是提升產(chǎn)城融合度的重要影響因素。6.在理論和實(shí)證分析的基礎(chǔ)上,認(rèn)為應(yīng)該通過:推動產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化升級、推動產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)和就業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)進(jìn)一步優(yōu)化協(xié)調(diào)、以產(chǎn)業(yè)鏈延伸為導(dǎo)向進(jìn)行多元化發(fā)展、強(qiáng)化開發(fā)區(qū)和產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚區(qū)建設(shè)、加快新型城鎮(zhèn)化進(jìn)程等對策建議的實(shí)施,促進(jìn)未來經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展中四化同步協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展以及產(chǎn)城融合度的提高。當(dāng)然,論文在實(shí)證分析的工具選擇、指標(biāo)選取的完善程度、理論分析的靜態(tài)向動態(tài)轉(zhuǎn)化等方面還有待于未來進(jìn)一步深入研究。
[Abstract]:After many years of development, industrialization, urbanization, agricultural modernization and information technology have achieved remarkable achievements, while there are also a large number of agricultural labors which have been transferred to non-agricultural industries. The rural migrant workers are difficult to integrate into the urban society. Compared with the speed of urbanization, the urbanization of the land has developed rapidly and the construction land is rough. The spatial distribution and the scale structure of the existing cities and towns are not very reasonable in the process of development, not matching the existing resources and environmental bearing capacity of the cities and towns; the industrialization process and the urbanization development degree do not match; the industrial structure and the employment structure are not coordinated; the employment structure and the urbanization development are not coordinated; the agricultural modernization lags behind the industrialization development. In the background of the above problems, this paper studies the problem of production city integration in the process of China's economic development under the background of the above problems. From the perspective of interdisciplinary, the thesis combines economics, industrial organization, and urban economy. From the background of the four modernizations such as new industrialization, new urbanization, information technology and agricultural modernization, the economic theory basis is analyzed theoretically, and the concept and new field of integration in the four chemical synchronization process are given in this paper. Based on the theoretical model, we use the Grainger causality test, variance analysis, impulse response function and principal component analysis in the VAR model to analyze the influence factors, dynamic mechanism and evaluation of the middle city integration in China's economic development process. Price model and so on; summarize the possible problems that may exist in the development process of production city integration, and put forward feasible suggestions to solve the problem. The main contribution of this paper is: first put forward the new definition of production city integration under the macro perspective, and then define the scope of the empirical study of middle and city. The combined economic theory model not only strengthens the theoretical support of the study of the production city integration, but also guides the follow-up empirical analysis and research. The two typical problems of the empty city and the empty rotation in the production city integration are analyzed and discussed from three perspectives of population, economy and space; under the guidance of the new definition of the production city integration, in the empirical study The main views and conclusions of the study are as follows: 1. the main points and conclusions are as follows: the integration of production cities refers to the coordinated development of four modernizations, such as new urbanization, new industrialization, information and agricultural modernization, and through the coordinated development of four modernizations and mutual promotion to achieve economic development. The industrial structure of the exhibition is reasonable, the layout of the urban industry is optimized, the urban service facilities are perfect, and each industry and town support each other, depending on each other, and matching each other to realize the interactive development mode of the four chemical and synchronous coordinated production cities in the process of economic development. 2. The two-way Grainger causality has the mechanism of self adjustment in the course of the development of the four modernizations. Through the empirical study of the third chapters, it has been proved that.3. from the three perspectives of population, economy and space has made a rational analysis of the two typical problems of the integration of the production city, empty city and empty rotation, and that the empty city and the empty turn are both urban and urban development. The process and the uneven distribution of the industrial development in the structure and space allocation, the two should be in the three dimensions of human, economic and space integration, to a certain extent, to solve the problem of empty cities and airspace to a certain extent.4. think that the degree of urban integration in China has increased steadily year by year. The same development level can be divided into one, two and three regions of the country. Through the empirical study of the fifth chapters, it has been confirmed that there are 3 main factors affecting the integration and development of production cities throughout the country in the past fifth years. There are 6 main factors affecting the integration and development of the production cities in different regions. In the past 1978-2014 years and in the 2014, there are 6 types of factors affecting the integration and development of production cities in different regions. 3 and 6 principal component factors are extracted from the empirical analysis of the degree of production city integration in the district. The main factors included in these factors are the important factors to improve the degree of integration of the production city.6.. Based on the theoretical and empirical analysis, it is believed that the industrial structure and employment structure should be promoted and the industrial structure and employment structure are promoted. Further optimization and coordination, with the extension of the industrial chain to diversify, strengthen the construction of the development zone and industrial agglomeration, speed up the implementation of the new urbanization process and other countermeasures, promote the coordinated and coordinated development of four chemicals in the future economic development and the improvement of the degree of urban integration. The degree of perfection, the static and dynamic transformation of theoretical analysis need to be further studied in the future.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：山西財經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：博士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2016
【分類號】：F124
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本文編號：1979778