發(fā)布時(shí)間：2018-03-03 19:39

  本文選題：生育意愿　切入點(diǎn)：實(shí)際生育意愿　出處：《吉林大學(xué)》2015年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：伴隨著我國經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)快速發(fā)展，人口計(jì)生政策的有效落實(shí)，現(xiàn)代人們的生育觀念發(fā)生了較大轉(zhuǎn)變，生育水平已經(jīng)大幅下降。生育意愿的強(qiáng)弱可以反映出生育水平的高低，因此，深入研究石家莊市的生育意愿可以間接地了解這種生育變化。同時(shí)，論文從實(shí)際數(shù)據(jù)出發(fā)，得出了許多有用的結(jié)論，為石家莊市提供合理化的人口公共服務(wù)提供依據(jù)。 論文所用331份數(shù)據(jù)來源于實(shí)際調(diào)查，調(diào)查過程得到了當(dāng)?shù)赜?jì)生部門的大力支持。首先借助統(tǒng)計(jì)軟件SPSS19.0整理錄入已有數(shù)據(jù)，，進(jìn)行簡(jiǎn)單分析。接著對(duì)已婚育齡婦女理想生育意愿和實(shí)際生育意愿分別進(jìn)行比較分析，詳細(xì)全面地反映了兩者之間存在的差異和共同點(diǎn)。最后運(yùn)用統(tǒng)計(jì)學(xué)的思路，分析了影響實(shí)際意愿子女?dāng)?shù)和性別的單因素、多因素以及各因素的作用大小，客觀反映出影響因素和生育意愿之間的相互關(guān)系。 通過對(duì)石家莊市育齡已婚婦女生育意愿的研究，探討了生育意愿和各種相關(guān)因素對(duì)生育意愿的影響，得出如下結(jié)論：第一、是否考慮客觀因素對(duì)已婚育齡婦女意愿生育性別和理想子女?dāng)?shù)方面均有顯著性差異性，在沒有外部客觀條件的限制下，人們?cè)敢舛嗌�孩子；第二、�?dú)生子女、非獨(dú)生子女多數(shù)都期望得到兩個(gè)孩子，農(nóng)村婦女、城市婦女對(duì)實(shí)際理想子女?dāng)?shù)，對(duì)實(shí)際生育性別均存在顯著性差別，農(nóng)村婦女的平均理想子女?dāng)?shù)1.74要大于城市婦女1.57個(gè)，農(nóng)村婦女的實(shí)際生育意愿要比城市婦女高，但也不會(huì)多要，基本上還是以兩個(gè)為主；第三、各年齡階段、職業(yè)、文化程度、住房和生育政策對(duì)婦女實(shí)際理想子女?dāng)?shù)和生育性別的影響均有顯著性差異；第四、不同的收入階段對(duì)實(shí)際理想子女?dāng)?shù)的影響，有著顯著性差異，但對(duì)實(shí)際出生性別的影響則沒有顯著差異；第五、石家莊市已婚育齡婦女現(xiàn)行生育二胎的影響因素，主要受制于生活成本，撫養(yǎng)孩子的成本太高，其次要受到計(jì)劃生育政策和生育年齡的影響，年齡越大越不想生育第２個(gè)孩子，第三個(gè)因素主要受住房貸款的影響。
[Abstract]:With the rapid development of our country's economy and society and the effective implementation of the population and family planning policy, modern people's conception of fertility has changed greatly, and the fertility level has dropped significantly. The strength of fertility will can reflect the level of fertility, so, Further study on the fertility will of Shijiazhuang can indirectly understand the fertility change. At the same time, based on the actual data, the paper draws many useful conclusions to provide the basis for the rational public service of population in Shijiazhuang. The data used in this paper come from the actual investigation, and the investigation process is strongly supported by the local family planning department. Firstly, the existing data are compiled and entered by the statistical software SPSS19.0. Then the ideal and actual reproductive wishes of married women of childbearing age are compared and analyzed respectively, reflecting in detail the differences and common points between the two. Finally, statistical thinking is used. This paper analyzes the single, multi-factors and the size of each factor that influence the number and sex of the children of practical will, and objectively reflects the interrelationship between the influencing factors and the fertility intention. Based on the study of fertility intention of married women of childbearing age in Shijiazhuang City, this paper discusses the influence of fertility intention and various related factors on it, and draws the following conclusions: first, Whether to consider the objective factors has significant difference on the sex and ideal number of children of married women of childbearing age. Without external objective conditions, people are willing to have more children; second, the only child, Most of the non-only children expect to have two children, rural women, urban women have significant differences in the actual ideal number of children, and the actual sex of birth, the average number of ideal children of rural women is 1.74 more than that of urban women 1.57. Rural women's actual desire to have children is higher than that of urban women, but they do not want more. Basically, they are mainly two. Third, they have different ages, occupations, and educational levels. The effect of housing and birth policy on the number of women's actual ideal children and the number of children born to women were significantly different, and in 4th, there were significant differences in the effect of different income stages on the actual number of ideal children. However, there was no significant difference on the actual sex of birth. In 5th, the factors affecting the current second child of married women of childbearing age in Shijiazhuang were mainly restricted by the cost of living, and the cost of raising children was too high. Secondly, it will be affected by the family planning policy and reproductive age, the older the older the more do not want to have the second child, the third factor is mainly affected by housing loans.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：吉林大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2015
【分類號(hào)】：C924.21;D669.68

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