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浙江城市化進(jìn)程與流通產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展的互動性研究

發(fā)布時間:2018-05-30 12:27

  本文選題:浙江 + 城市化進(jìn)程 ; 參考:《浙江工商大學(xué)》2015年碩士論文


【摘要】:城市化是人類社會發(fā)展到一定階段的必然產(chǎn)物,我國六十多年的城市化進(jìn)程,尤其是改革開放以來的三十多年,波瀾壯闊、成就斐然。世界銀行在《2020年的中國》這一研究報告中指出,中國正在經(jīng)歷兩個轉(zhuǎn)變,即從指令性經(jīng)濟(jì)向市場經(jīng)濟(jì)轉(zhuǎn)變和從農(nóng)村社會向城市、工業(yè)社會的轉(zhuǎn)變。21世紀(jì)更是城市化大發(fā)展的世紀(jì),前世界銀行首席經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家、諾貝爾經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)獎獲得者斯蒂格利茨說到21世紀(jì)影響世界進(jìn)程和改善世界面貌有兩件事:“一是美國高科技產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展,二是中國的城市化進(jìn)程!秉h的十八大報告提出“堅持走中國特色新型工業(yè)化、信息化、城鎮(zhèn)化、農(nóng)業(yè)現(xiàn)代化道路!笨梢灶A(yù)計,在未來相當(dāng)長的時間內(nèi),中國城市化將迎來新的發(fā)展機遇。如何把握城市化在經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展不同階段的源動力,并且通過不同的措施推進(jìn)這些因素的發(fā)展,直接關(guān)系未來中國城市化的健康推進(jìn)。在城市化進(jìn)程方興未艾的同時,流通產(chǎn)業(yè)作為第三產(chǎn)業(yè)的重要組成部分,伴隨著中國經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展、城市化進(jìn)程的推進(jìn),也得到了快速發(fā)展,并且必將在中國未來城市化進(jìn)程中發(fā)揮更大的作用。本文從流通產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展的視角切入,探索探尋浙江城市化進(jìn)程影響因素基礎(chǔ)上研究二者互動發(fā)展關(guān)系。本文首先對國內(nèi)外大量的文獻(xiàn)進(jìn)行梳理,界定研究對象為浙江城市化進(jìn)程與商貿(mào)流通產(chǎn)業(yè),二者是緊密相連的兩個概念。城市的產(chǎn)生源自商品交換,交易效率提高導(dǎo)致了城市形成。通過產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)演進(jìn)規(guī)律所反映的三次產(chǎn)業(yè)對經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展貢獻(xiàn)的變化,揭示流通產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展在城市化進(jìn)程中的重要意義,從理論分析的角度總結(jié)了流通產(chǎn)業(yè)與城市化之間的內(nèi)在聯(lián)系,商業(yè)貫穿于整個城市化的發(fā)展,集聚與規(guī)模的壯大導(dǎo)致的企業(yè)集中催生了勞動力的集中,而人口的集中為第三產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展提供了條件,而對于工業(yè)化的中后期,商貿(mào)流通業(yè)在國民經(jīng)濟(jì)中的比重逐步上升,為工業(yè)化和城市化提供了基礎(chǔ)條件和服務(wù)環(huán)境,賦予了城市化“市”的意義,并探索二者間的相關(guān)機理。隨后對2012年的浙江省各地區(qū)的截面數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行城市化影響因素的回歸分析,檢驗得出工業(yè)化是現(xiàn)今影響浙江省城市化率的最主要因素,選取相應(yīng)指標(biāo)對浙江省1978年至2012年的城市化率與商貿(mào)流通業(yè)進(jìn)行實證檢驗,在格蘭杰因果檢驗中僅表現(xiàn)為單向的關(guān)系,即商貿(mào)流通業(yè)的發(fā)展并未對城市化的進(jìn)程構(gòu)成格蘭杰原因,這與理論分析存在一定出入。并且對比分析了典型代表國家的城市化歷程,以及列舉大量相關(guān)數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行比較,結(jié)果發(fā)現(xiàn)我省流通產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展不僅落后于發(fā)達(dá)國家更是落后于發(fā)展中國家。最后在重新認(rèn)識互動發(fā)展這一問題的基礎(chǔ)上,著重以流通產(chǎn)業(yè)對城市化的發(fā)展提出對策建議。
[Abstract]:Urbanization is the inevitable outcome of the development of human society to a certain stage. China's urbanization process of more than 60 years, especially since the reform and opening up more than 30 years, magnificent achievements. According to the World Bank's China 2020 study, China is undergoing two transformations: from a mandatory economy to a market economy and from a rural society to a city. The transformation of industrial society. The 21st century is the century of great development of urbanization. The former chief economist of the World Bank, Nobel laureate Stiglitz said there are two things that affect the world and improve the world in the 21st century: "one is the development of American high-tech industry, the other is the urbanization of China." The report of the 18th National Congress of the Communist Party of China (CPC) proposed that "adhere to the road of new industrialization, informatization, urbanization and agricultural modernization with Chinese characteristics." It can be expected that China's urbanization will usher in new development opportunities for a long time to come. How to grasp the source power of urbanization in different stages of economic development and how to promote the development of these factors through different measures will directly affect the healthy progress of urbanization in China in the future. While urbanization is in the ascendant, circulation industry as an important part of the tertiary industry, along with the development of China's economy, the advancement of urbanization process, has also been rapid development. And will certainly play a greater role in China's future urbanization process. From the perspective of the development of circulation industry, this paper probes into the influence factors of urbanization process in Zhejiang Province and studies the relationship between them. This paper firstly combs a large number of literatures at home and abroad, and defines the research object as Zhejiang urbanization process and trade circulation industry. The two concepts are closely linked. The generation of cities originates from the exchange of commodities, and the improvement of trade efficiency leads to the formation of cities. Through the changes of three industries' contribution to economic development reflected by the evolution law of industrial structure, the significance of circulation industry's development in the process of urbanization is revealed, and the internal relationship between circulation industry and urbanization is summarized from the angle of theoretical analysis. Business runs through the development of the whole urbanization. The concentration of enterprises caused by agglomeration and scale leads to the concentration of labor force, while the concentration of population provides the conditions for the development of the tertiary industry. The proportion of commercial circulation industry in the national economy is rising step by step, which provides the basic conditions and service environment for industrialization and urbanization, endows the meaning of "city" of urbanization, and probes into the related mechanism between the two. Then, the regression analysis of urbanization influencing factors was carried out on the cross-section data of Zhejiang Province in 2012. The results show that industrialization is the most important factor that affects the urbanization rate in Zhejiang Province. This paper selects the corresponding indicators to test the urbanization rate and trade circulation in Zhejiang Province from 1978 to 2012, and shows a one-way relationship in the Granger causality test. That is, the development of trade circulation does not constitute Granger reason for the process of urbanization, which is different from theoretical analysis. It also compares the urbanization process of typical representative countries and enumerates a large number of relevant data. The results show that the development of circulation industry in our province lags behind not only developed countries but also developing countries. Finally, on the basis of rethinking the problem of interactive development, the author puts forward countermeasures and suggestions on the development of urbanization by circulation industry.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:浙江工商大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2015
【分類號】:F299.27;F727

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