發(fā)布時(shí)間：2018-06-06 13:26

  本文選題：油氣行業(yè) + 供需��； 參考：《國(guó)際石油經(jīng)濟(jì)》2017年01期

【摘要】：2016年,全球經(jīng)濟(jì)持續(xù)復(fù)蘇,主要經(jīng)濟(jì)體走勢(shì)分化;全球能源消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)轉(zhuǎn)型加快;國(guó)際油價(jià)觸底反彈;歐佩克與部分非歐佩克產(chǎn)油國(guó)達(dá)成聯(lián)合減產(chǎn)協(xié)議;世界天然氣市場(chǎng)供需寬松;全球工程技術(shù)服務(wù)市場(chǎng)規(guī)模進(jìn)一步萎縮;世界煉油能力緩慢增長(zhǎng),乙烯新增產(chǎn)能大幅減少;全球成品油供需持續(xù)寬松;油氣公司經(jīng)營(yíng)業(yè)績(jī)繼續(xù)下滑;油氣招標(biāo)總體遇冷,并購(gòu)市場(chǎng)繼續(xù)低迷;油氣合作經(jīng)營(yíng)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)上升。中國(guó)能源結(jié)構(gòu)進(jìn)一步優(yōu)化;石油消費(fèi)增速大幅放緩;天然氣供需總體寬松;市場(chǎng)化改革加快推進(jìn);國(guó)內(nèi)原油產(chǎn)量跌破2億噸,天然氣產(chǎn)量增速繼續(xù)放緩;煉油能力略有增加,地?zé)捠袌?chǎng)份額大增;三大石油公司生產(chǎn)指標(biāo)小幅下降;海外油氣權(quán)益產(chǎn)量穩(wěn)中有增,民營(yíng)企業(yè)和地方國(guó)企"走出去"取得新成效;中國(guó)陸續(xù)發(fā)布能源領(lǐng)域"十三五"發(fā)展規(guī)劃;市場(chǎng)化改革的方向和路徑更加明晰。2017年,國(guó)際油價(jià)將實(shí)質(zhì)性回升;全球天然氣供需寬松加劇;世界煉油和乙烯能力將繼續(xù)增長(zhǎng)。中國(guó)三大油品供應(yīng)過(guò)剩加劇;中國(guó)天然氣市場(chǎng)總體寬松,國(guó)家有望全面放開(kāi)非居民用氣價(jià)格;煉油過(guò)剩形勢(shì)更加嚴(yán)峻;油氣行業(yè)市場(chǎng)化改革將全面深入推進(jìn)。
[Abstract]:In 2016, the global economy continued to recover, major economies diverged; the transformation of global energy consumption structure accelerated; international oil prices bottomed out; OPEC and some non-OPEC oil producers reached a joint reduction agreement; The world natural gas market is loose in supply and demand; the scale of the global engineering and technical service market is further shrinking; the world refining capacity is growing slowly and the new production capacity of ethylene has been greatly reduced; the global supply and demand of refined oil has continued to be loose; the operating performance of oil and gas companies has continued to decline; Oil and gas bidding overall unexpected, M & A market continued to be depressed; oil and gas cooperation risk increased. China's energy structure has been further optimized; the growth rate of oil consumption has slowed substantially; the supply and demand of natural gas have generally been relaxed; market-oriented reform has accelerated; domestic crude oil production has fallen below 200 million tons, and the growth rate of natural gas production has continued to slow down; and the refining capacity has increased slightly. The production index of the three major oil companies has decreased slightly, the output of overseas oil and gas rights and interests has increased steadily, private enterprises and local state-owned enterprises have made new achievements in "going out", and China has successively issued the "13th Five-Year Plan" in the field of energy resources. The direction and path of market-oriented reform will become clearer. In 2017, international oil prices will recover substantially; global natural gas supply and demand will ease up; and the world's oil refining and ethylene capacity will continue to grow. China's three major oil supply oversupply intensified; China's natural gas market is generally loose, the country is expected to fully liberalize non-resident gas prices, refining surplus situation is more severe, oil and gas industry market-oriented reform will be comprehensively and deeply promoted.
【作者單位】： 中國(guó)石油集團(tuán)經(jīng)濟(jì)技術(shù)研究院;
【分類號(hào)】：F416.22

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