發(fā)布時間：2018-06-04 21:55

  本文選題：碳排放峰值目標(biāo) + 合同能源管理�。� 參考：《重慶工商大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文

【摘要】：2015年12月12日聯(lián)合國氣候變化大會已正式通過了《巴黎協(xié)定》,在這個協(xié)定里,中國預(yù)測二氧化碳排放將在2030年左右達(dá)到峰值,并且自主承諾盡早迎接這一峰值的到來。這給節(jié)省能源進(jìn)而減排溫室氣體的全面布局工作帶來了史無前例的挑戰(zhàn)。盡管隨著節(jié)能減排政策的深入貫徹落實(shí),合同能源管理模式已經(jīng)得到了跨越式的發(fā)展。但是由于合同能源管理項(xiàng)目的內(nèi)在特點(diǎn),比如,在項(xiàng)目準(zhǔn)備前期,投資者需要籌集較多的資金;在投資過程中,他們又需要等待較長的資金回籠時間;在工程落實(shí)后,參與者還要應(yīng)對眾多的節(jié)能效益分享影響因素等,作為整個項(xiàng)目的關(guān)鍵性籌劃者,節(jié)能服務(wù)公司在此過程中往往承擔(dān)著絕大部分的融資風(fēng)險(xiǎn)。然而節(jié)能服務(wù)公司絕大多數(shù)都是中小企業(yè),他們整體規(guī)模相對較小、缺少抵押擔(dān)保,這就導(dǎo)致了申請商業(yè)貸款的難度相當(dāng)大。全球范圍內(nèi)的各節(jié)能服務(wù)公司在實(shí)際進(jìn)行合同能源管理項(xiàng)目的過程中,不可避免地面對同樣的問題——融資風(fēng)險(xiǎn)和融資困難。本文針對碳排放峰值下合同能源管理項(xiàng)目的融資風(fēng)險(xiǎn)進(jìn)行評價(jià)研究,主要以項(xiàng)目融資理論、合同能源管理運(yùn)作模式、合同能源管理項(xiàng)目融資和風(fēng)險(xiǎn)理論為研究基礎(chǔ)。本文在分析我國合同能源管理項(xiàng)目融資現(xiàn)狀的基礎(chǔ)上,探索了碳排放峰值目標(biāo)對其融資風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的影響。本文的研究重點(diǎn)主要集中在三個方面:一是結(jié)合前人的研究成果,并利用工作流程分解法對考慮碳排放峰值目標(biāo)時的合同能源管理項(xiàng)目融資風(fēng)險(xiǎn)進(jìn)行識別,發(fā)現(xiàn)五個影響因素:節(jié)能服務(wù)公司自身風(fēng)險(xiǎn)、政策風(fēng)險(xiǎn)、金融風(fēng)險(xiǎn)、市場風(fēng)險(xiǎn)、用能單位風(fēng)險(xiǎn);除此之外,文章還解構(gòu)了這五大風(fēng)險(xiǎn),并分別得到各自的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)子因素。二是根據(jù)識別出的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)要素,基于指標(biāo)的設(shè)定原則,建立起指標(biāo)評價(jià)體系,并對指標(biāo)進(jìn)行量化分析。三是考慮合同能源管理項(xiàng)目融資風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的特點(diǎn),選用模糊層次綜合評價(jià)法合理構(gòu)建碳排放峰值目標(biāo)下的項(xiàng)目融資風(fēng)險(xiǎn)評價(jià)模型;針對碳排放峰值目標(biāo)下的某發(fā)電公司余熱回收節(jié)能改造項(xiàng)目進(jìn)行綜合評價(jià),得出其融資風(fēng)險(xiǎn)為中等,依據(jù)該評價(jià)結(jié)果,結(jié)合節(jié)能服務(wù)公司的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)偏好進(jìn)行項(xiàng)目決策,以期做出科學(xué)判斷。本文在整個研究過程中,考慮到碳排放峰值目標(biāo),對新背景下影響合同能源管理項(xiàng)目融資風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的本質(zhì)因素進(jìn)行深入探索。在分析方法上,采用了系統(tǒng)分析、訪談、統(tǒng)計(jì)學(xué)、案例分析相結(jié)合的方法。
[Abstract]:On December 12, 2015, the United Nations Climate change Conference formally adopted the Paris Accord, in which China predicted that carbon dioxide emissions would peak around 2030, and promised to meet the peak as soon as possible. This brings unprecedented challenges to saving energy and reducing greenhouse gas emissions. Although with the implementation of energy conservation and emission reduction policy, the contract energy management model has been developed by leaps and bounds. However, because of the inherent characteristics of the contract energy management project, for example, in the early stage of project preparation, investors need to raise more funds; in the investment process, they will have to wait for a longer time to recover the funds; after the implementation of the project, As the key planners of the whole project, energy-saving service companies often bear most of the financing risks in the process. However, the majority of energy-saving service companies are small and medium-sized enterprises, their overall scale is relatively small, lack of mortgage guarantee, which makes it quite difficult to apply for commercial loans. In the process of carrying out the contract energy management project, the global energy-saving service companies inevitably face the same problem-financing risk and financing difficulty. Based on the theory of project financing, the operation mode of contract energy management, the project financing and risk theory of contract energy management, this paper studies the financing risk of contract energy management project under the peak carbon emission value, which is based on project financing theory, contract energy management operation mode, contract energy management project financing and risk theory. Based on the analysis of the current financing situation of contract energy management projects in China, this paper explores the impact of the peak carbon emission target on its financing risk. The research focus of this paper is mainly on three aspects: first, combining with the previous research results, and using the workflow decomposition method to identify the financing risk of contract energy management projects considering the target of peak carbon emissions. Five factors are found: the risk of energy-saving service company, the policy risk, the financial risk, the market risk and the energy unit risk. In addition, the paper deconstructs the five risks and obtains the respective risk sub-factors. Secondly, according to the identified risk factors and the principle of setting up the index, the evaluation system of the index is established, and the quantitative analysis of the index is carried out. Thirdly, considering the characteristics of the project financing risk of contract energy management, the project financing risk evaluation model under the target of peak carbon emissions is constructed reasonably by using the fuzzy hierarchy comprehensive evaluation method. According to the comprehensive evaluation of a power generation company's energy saving project of waste heat recovery under the target of peak carbon emission, the financing risk is medium. According to the evaluation result, the project decision is made by combining the risk preference of energy-saving service company. In order to make a scientific judgment. In the whole research process, considering the target of peak carbon emission, the essential factors that affect the financing risk of contract energy management project under the new background are deeply explored in this paper. In the analysis method, the system analysis, interview, statistics, case analysis method.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：重慶工商大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：F206;F426.61;F406.7

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本文編號：1978956