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̫ƽůغ?d)ͨQļ(ji)(ni)ʎ

l(f)r(sh)g2020-11-18 18:24
NOAAƽĺͨYȱ^ȫķʮ̫ƽ؅^(q)ͨlķֲl(f)F(xin)ĸͨб^@ļ(ji)ļ(g)(ji)ԲͻQlat(ͨ)Qsw(̲ݗͨ)Ę(bio)(zhn)͘(bio)(zhn)ļ(ji)^@QlatQswںͨQ^пҪY(ji)10m߶L(fng)l(f)F(xin)ļһ(g)ļ(ji)(ni)ʎ^(dng)Qlat_(d)OСֵ(Oֵ)r(sh)̫ƽůصĴƬ?yn)Qlatlؓ(f)()ֵ^(q)ͬλ10m߶L(fng)ĵlF(xin)һ@ķ()ʽͨ^(g)ͨcQnet(ͨ)֮gP(gun)ϵl(f)F(xin)QlatQnetP(gun)ڵlѭh(hun)ĸ(g)AOlat(ؓ(f))Ĵֵ^(q)ʼKcQnet(ؓ(f))Ĵֵ^(q)(yng)ߵλûغҔ(sh)ֵСҲSѭh(hun)ͬߜpС ڳȥ߶ȵķԺij(g)ͨļ(ji)(ni)׃Կѭh(hun)׃͵lʎɲֽM(g)ͨѭh(hun)(g)(ji)(ni)׃ؕI(xin)lؕI(xin)(j)1979-2004(26)ǰNino3.4ָ(sh)_ENSOů4-8g̫ƽů؅^(q)Q^еĸ(g)ͨ׃ENSOů֮g@IJ@ЩҪȡQQlatQswwENSOи(qing)ĵlʎl(f)ĵlʎ6-7gr(sh)gʎ(qing)()ůt4-5(qing)ĵlʎ8ůл෴ĵlʎڅ (j)LݗOLR׃x(qing)Y(ji)Qnetļ(ji)(ni)׃^ڏ(qing)IJͬ䡢ůENSOһҲҪQlatOsw@ɷNͬB(ti)е@eɵQnetڏ(qing)gIJSr(sh)g׃ͬOLRڏ(qing)gIJSr(sh)g׃һP(gun)ԣF(xin)OLR 30-60lؓ(f)()ֵ^(q)Qnet(ؓ(f))ֵ^(q)һһ(yng)ĺõğ(p)r(sh)ϿյČ(dng)ӏ(qing)(p)(sh)ֵOLRQnetʬF(xin)^õؓ(f)P(gun)Qlat(g)ύQ^е(do)λcOLRP(gun)Ҳ^
W(xu)λλЇƌW(xu)g(sh)W(xu)
W(xu)λ(j)eTʿ
W(xu)λݡ2006
ЈDP732
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D,ֲͨ,̲ݗ,


Ꭷ̫ƽ؅^(q)60W/mһ2ķ͏(qing)Ȅt@Ӵ2.2.3ͨD2һ2(a)ͨD@ʾ:ֵ^(q)40ONϵQlatֵ󲿷120w/mһ2ֵעǣ90OEԖ|ֱ|̫ƽһMLĵֵ|̫ƽ60W/2ĵֵ(D2һ2(b))120wn/l2ĸֵ^(q)wλ30ONĵֵD@ļ(D2һ2()c)ֵ^(q)wM(jn)һω_(d)

,λՓ,ЇƌW(xu),ͨ


ЇƌW(xu)Fg(sh)W(xu)TʿλՓ25oN(D2һ2(d)(e))һʮ12ow/n2ą^(q)cr365һdayoverLatentHeotddistributionof:FIUx(w/m2)18

^(q)ֲ,ǘ(bio),̲ݗ,ƽ


Пͨ̓LݗͨĘ(bio)}i(ji)t^Сwքe:A̲ݗͨ(bio)(zhn)>8Ĵֵ^(q)ķ(D2һ3(b))1o0Nһ35ON֮gļ(D2һ3(e))ֵ^(q)򱱔U(ku)չ55N(D2һ3(d)(e))ֵ^(q)sp1o0Nһ25N֮gքeǵķֲ@ӵķֲ׃wF(xin)̫ݗ伾(ji)׃QswӰBLݗͨ(bio)(zhn)>3ą^(q)ֲ(ji)^Сֻϴֵ^(q)׃(D)Cͨ(bio)(zhn)>16Ĵֵ^(q)ļ(D2һ4()c)r(sh)СҪֲۼjذ̫ƽ͖|̫ƽ؅^(q);(D2һ4(b))Ġrӽrֻǘ(bio)(zhn)>24ą^(q)^ɢ;(D2һ4(d)(e))ɼ(bio)(zhn)>16ą^(q)1o0NһֱU(ku)չ̫ƽĴƬ(bio)(zhn)>24ķҲ@|U(ku)չ
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P(gun)ڿՓ ǰ9l

1 y,;Ꭷ⼾(ji)(ni)ʎĮc1997El Ni?o ¼İl(f)[J];ƌW(xu);200105

2 ;Ꭷ͌Ӵ3060l(dng)ܵH׃cENSOѭh(hun)[J];ƌW(xu);200106

3 y܁Ƽ;ᎧеĜ(zhn)pܣ1020죩ʎ[J];ƌW(xu);199504

4 ܰl(f)L,ߘs;Ϻαˮصļ(ji)(ni)׃[J];ƌW(xu)ͨ(bo);200121

5 ޱ,”,;ģʽм(ji)(ni)ʎͬ؏(qing)Ȉ푑(yng)[J];uW(xu)W(xu)(bo)(ȻƌW(xu));200201

6 G,̺VQ;Ї؅^(q)ƌؚϵy(tng)Lݗ(OLR)(qing)ȵĚо[J];ƌW(xu);200101

7 Ys,ν,|,g,鐿,ҦA;ϺļL(fng)l(f)ǰ-ύQ[J];W(xu)(bo);200402

8 Ys;ᎧCISKRossby3050ʎ[J];W(xu)(bo);199606

9 y;l(f)L(fng)C(j)ƵM(jn)һо[J];ᎧW(xu)(bo);199603



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