溫江區(qū)居民消費結(jié)構(gòu)變動的統(tǒng)計研究
發(fā)布時間：2019-01-10 11:12
【摘要】：改革開放以來,我國經(jīng)濟實現(xiàn)了快速發(fā)展,但高投資、高出口、低消費的“兩高一低”現(xiàn)象嚴(yán)重,在拉動經(jīng)濟增長的“三駕馬車”中,消費是最穩(wěn)定、最持久的動力。消費結(jié)構(gòu)既是經(jīng)濟結(jié)構(gòu)的重要組成部分,也是消費領(lǐng)域的核心,它是衡量一個國家社會經(jīng)濟狀況是否良性循環(huán)的關(guān)鍵,也是反映居民生活質(zhì)量變化的重要指標(biāo)之一。所以,消費結(jié)構(gòu)的研究,對促進社會和諧發(fā)展、全面建設(shè)小康社會具有重要意義。 近年來,國內(nèi)學(xué)者對中國居民消費結(jié)構(gòu)進行了較多的研究,形成許多不同的觀點。但專門對溫江區(qū)居民消費作較為全面、系統(tǒng)的研究成果,就筆者視野所及,尚不多見。本文將理論與實踐相結(jié)合,對1987年以來溫江區(qū)居民傳統(tǒng)八大類消費支出和歸并后的三大類消費支出進行分析,找出其變動的規(guī)律性和影響因素。溫江區(qū)作為成都市城鄉(xiāng)一體化的第一批試點地區(qū),本文力圖找出其居民消費結(jié)構(gòu)變動與其城鄉(xiāng)一體化進程的關(guān)系,通過對溫江區(qū)居民二十五年來消費結(jié)構(gòu)變動的歷史、現(xiàn)狀和發(fā)展趨勢的研究,為溫江區(qū)今后更好更快地發(fā)展提供參考。 對溫江區(qū)居民消費結(jié)構(gòu)的研究,主要有以下幾方面的內(nèi)容：在對消費結(jié)構(gòu)的內(nèi)涵進行界定以后,本文將傳統(tǒng)八大類消費歸納合并為生存型、享樂型和發(fā)展型這三個層次的消費。為了更好的分析和闡述消費結(jié)構(gòu)的變動,本文運用聚類分析法將1987年至2011年這25年來溫江區(qū)居民消費結(jié)構(gòu)劃分為三個階段,并對八大類消費支出演變趨勢進行闡述。隨后,本文對溫江區(qū)城鄉(xiāng)居民三大類消費進行了階段性規(guī)律特征的分析,并根據(jù)各類消費支出占比對溫江區(qū)居民消費結(jié)構(gòu)變動的特點進行了探究。在研究溫江區(qū)居民消費結(jié)構(gòu)變動與其城鄉(xiāng)一體化的關(guān)系時,將非農(nóng)業(yè)人口比例作為衡量城市化進程的指標(biāo),對比不同時期居民收支水平、平均消費傾向等方面的演進趨勢。采用ELES模型,對溫江區(qū)居民邊際消費傾向、基本需求支出、需求收入彈性等角度,研究溫江區(qū)居民的消費水平以及消費結(jié)構(gòu)的特征。運用雙殘差模型,對溫江區(qū)非農(nóng)業(yè)人口比重對居民消費支出的影響進行回歸分析。最后,對溫江區(qū)居民消費結(jié)構(gòu)的變動進行總結(jié)。 居民消費結(jié)構(gòu)值得關(guān)注和研究的內(nèi)容很多,問題也很復(fù)雜,由于作者能力和水平所限,只能得到一些膚淺的認(rèn)識。本文還存在許多有待于繼續(xù)深入研究和改進的地方,比如做更加深入實際的調(diào)查研究、將溫江區(qū)居民消費結(jié)構(gòu)與其他省市、尤其是發(fā)達地區(qū)的居民消費結(jié)構(gòu)進行比較等。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, China's economy has achieved rapid development, but the phenomenon of "two high and one low" with high investment, high export and low consumption is serious. Consumption is the most stable and lasting driving force in the "troika" of economic growth. Consumption structure is not only an important part of economic structure, but also the core of consumption field. It is the key to measure whether a country's social and economic situation is virtuous or not, and it is also one of the important indicators to reflect the change of residents' quality of life. Therefore, the study of consumption structure is of great significance to promote the harmonious development of society and build a well-off society in an all-round way. In recent years, domestic scholars have made more research on the consumption structure of Chinese residents and formed many different views. However, it is rare for the author to make a comprehensive and systematic research on the residents' consumption in Wenjiang area. Combining theory with practice, this paper analyzes the traditional eight categories of consumer expenditure and the merged three categories of consumer expenditure in Wenjiang District since 1987, and finds out the regularity and influencing factors of their changes. As the first pilot area of urban-rural integration in Chengdu, this paper tries to find out the relationship between the change of resident consumption structure and the process of urban-rural integration. The research of present situation and development trend provides reference for better and faster development of Wenjiang district in the future. The research on the consumption structure of the residents in Wenjiang district mainly includes the following aspects: after defining the connotation of the consumption structure, this paper combines the traditional eight categories of consumption into three levels of consumption: survival type, hedonic type and developmental type. In order to better analyze and expound the change of consumption structure, this paper uses cluster analysis to divide the consumption structure of Wenjiang district into three stages in the 25 years from 1987 to 2011, and expounds the evolvement trend of eight categories of consumer expenditure. Then, this paper analyzes the characteristics of the three major categories of consumption of urban and rural residents in Wenjiang District, and probes into the characteristics of the change of consumption structure of residents in Wenjiang District according to the proportion of various kinds of consumption expenditure. In the study of the relationship between the change of resident consumption structure and the integration of urban and rural areas in Wenjiang District, the ratio of non-agricultural population is taken as an index to measure the process of urbanization, and the evolution trend of residents' income and expenditure level and average consumption tendency in different periods are compared. Based on ELES model, the characteristics of consumption level and consumption structure of residents in Wenjiang area are studied from the perspectives of marginal consumption tendency, basic demand expenditure, demand income elasticity and so on. Based on the double residuals model, a regression analysis was carried out on the effect of the proportion of non-agricultural population on the consumption expenditure of residents in Wenjiang District. Finally, the change of consumption structure of residents in Wenjiang district is summarized. The consumption structure of the residents deserves much attention and research, and the problems are very complicated. Due to the limitation of the author's ability and level, he can only get some superficial understanding. There are still many places to be further studied and improved in this paper, such as making more in-depth investigation and research, comparing the consumption structure of residents in Wenjiang with that of other provinces and cities, especially in developed regions, and so on.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：西南財經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F126.1;F224
本文編號：2406237
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, China's economy has achieved rapid development, but the phenomenon of "two high and one low" with high investment, high export and low consumption is serious. Consumption is the most stable and lasting driving force in the "troika" of economic growth. Consumption structure is not only an important part of economic structure, but also the core of consumption field. It is the key to measure whether a country's social and economic situation is virtuous or not, and it is also one of the important indicators to reflect the change of residents' quality of life. Therefore, the study of consumption structure is of great significance to promote the harmonious development of society and build a well-off society in an all-round way. In recent years, domestic scholars have made more research on the consumption structure of Chinese residents and formed many different views. However, it is rare for the author to make a comprehensive and systematic research on the residents' consumption in Wenjiang area. Combining theory with practice, this paper analyzes the traditional eight categories of consumer expenditure and the merged three categories of consumer expenditure in Wenjiang District since 1987, and finds out the regularity and influencing factors of their changes. As the first pilot area of urban-rural integration in Chengdu, this paper tries to find out the relationship between the change of resident consumption structure and the process of urban-rural integration. The research of present situation and development trend provides reference for better and faster development of Wenjiang district in the future. The research on the consumption structure of the residents in Wenjiang district mainly includes the following aspects: after defining the connotation of the consumption structure, this paper combines the traditional eight categories of consumption into three levels of consumption: survival type, hedonic type and developmental type. In order to better analyze and expound the change of consumption structure, this paper uses cluster analysis to divide the consumption structure of Wenjiang district into three stages in the 25 years from 1987 to 2011, and expounds the evolvement trend of eight categories of consumer expenditure. Then, this paper analyzes the characteristics of the three major categories of consumption of urban and rural residents in Wenjiang District, and probes into the characteristics of the change of consumption structure of residents in Wenjiang District according to the proportion of various kinds of consumption expenditure. In the study of the relationship between the change of resident consumption structure and the integration of urban and rural areas in Wenjiang District, the ratio of non-agricultural population is taken as an index to measure the process of urbanization, and the evolution trend of residents' income and expenditure level and average consumption tendency in different periods are compared. Based on ELES model, the characteristics of consumption level and consumption structure of residents in Wenjiang area are studied from the perspectives of marginal consumption tendency, basic demand expenditure, demand income elasticity and so on. Based on the double residuals model, a regression analysis was carried out on the effect of the proportion of non-agricultural population on the consumption expenditure of residents in Wenjiang District. Finally, the change of consumption structure of residents in Wenjiang district is summarized. The consumption structure of the residents deserves much attention and research, and the problems are very complicated. Due to the limitation of the author's ability and level, he can only get some superficial understanding. There are still many places to be further studied and improved in this paper, such as making more in-depth investigation and research, comparing the consumption structure of residents in Wenjiang with that of other provinces and cities, especially in developed regions, and so on.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：西南財經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F126.1;F224
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