發(fā)布時間：2018-03-10 00:04

  本文選題：出口品技術含量　切入點：勞動力流動　出處：《浙江工商大學》2013年碩士論文　論文類型：學位論文

【摘要】：產業(yè)轉型升級是我國“十二五”規(guī)劃的重點問題�，F(xiàn)階段我國主要產業(yè)類型集中在第二產業(yè),且勞動資源密集型產業(yè)占較大比重,位于全球價值鏈(GVC)的低端。根據(jù)我們前期研究結果顯示,出口產品技術含量提升穩(wěn)健地促進產業(yè)的轉型升級,與此同時,帶動了勞動力在產業(yè)間和區(qū)域間的流動。那么,出口品技術含量的提升與產業(yè)升級之間的關聯(lián)機制如何?這可以得到理論關聯(lián)與我國現(xiàn)實的論證。研究我國出口品技術含量提升與產業(yè)升級的關聯(lián)機制具有重要的理論與政策含義。 本文基于新經濟地理學理論,對cp模型進行拓展,從理論上研究出口品技術含量與產業(yè)轉型升級之間的關系。理論分析表明出口品技術含量變動會引起工人工資變化,從而引致勞動力流動,進而形成產業(yè)集聚,最終助推產業(yè)轉型升級。本文將深入討論我國東中西部各省產業(yè)升級之間的現(xiàn)實狀況、影響因素及各省產業(yè)升級差異的原因。 影響產業(yè)升級的原因諸多,本文側重研究出口品技術含量提升對產業(yè)轉型升級的影響。在我國東中西部地區(qū)比較優(yōu)勢不同的基礎上,對我國東中西部31個省市、自治區(qū)的出口品技術含量進行測算。當相對出口品技術含量發(fā)生變化時,用相對就業(yè)率變動來表征勞動力流動,用第二產業(yè)的相對產值的增加幅度低于第三產業(yè)的相對產值增加幅度來表征產業(yè)升級。通過對“入世”以來我國東中西部各省的相對出口品技術含量變化,東中西部各省相對就業(yè)率與東中西部各省第二第三產業(yè)相對產值和相對就業(yè)率的統(tǒng)計分析,發(fā)現(xiàn)兩者者之間存在明顯的關聯(lián)性。 本文采用了我國31個省市、自治區(qū)的數(shù)據(jù)(2002—2008年),使用系統(tǒng)GMM計量分析方法,來驗證出口品技術含量與產業(yè)轉型升級之間的關聯(lián)機制。實證結果發(fā)現(xiàn)二者之間存在明顯的關聯(lián)性,當出口品技術含量提升,第三產業(yè)產值也有較明顯的提升。有基于此,本文提出進一步提升出口品技術含量,促進產業(yè)升級的對策建議。 本文內容分為五部分：文章第一部分緒論主要闡述選題背景,研究意義以及國內外文獻研究綜述,對文章的研究方法、研究框架、創(chuàng)新論點以及難點進行闡述說明。第二部分從理論上分析出口品技術含量的提升與產業(yè)轉型升級之間的關聯(lián)機制。第三部分為論文的統(tǒng)計部分,用統(tǒng)計的方法驗證出口品技術含量與產業(yè)轉型升級之間的關聯(lián)機制。第四部分為論文的計量估計部分,對我國東中西部各省出口品技術含量進行測度,運用面板數(shù)據(jù)模型進行回歸分析。基于計量分析結果,討論了出口品技術含量的提升與產業(yè)轉型升級之間的關聯(lián)機制。第五部分根據(jù)論文的研究結論提出政策建議。
[Abstract]:Industrial transformation and upgrading is a key issue in China's 12th Five-Year Plan. At this stage, the main types of industries in China are concentrated in secondary industries, and labor-intensive industries account for a large proportion. Located at the low end of the global value chain GVC. according to our previous research results, the technological upgrading of export products steadily promotes the transformation and upgrading of industries, at the same time, it drives the movement of labor force between industries and regions. What is the correlation mechanism between the upgrading of export technology and the upgrading of industry? It can be proved that the theoretical relevance and the reality of our country. It has important theoretical and policy implications to study the correlation mechanism between the upgrading of export technology and the upgrading of industry in China. Based on the theory of new economic geography, this paper extends the cp model and theoretically studies the relationship between the export technology content and the industrial transformation and upgrading. The theoretical analysis shows that the change of export technology content will lead to the change of workers' wages. This paper will discuss the actual situation of industrial upgrading between the eastern, central and western provinces of our country, the influencing factors and the reasons of the differences of the industrial upgrading in each province. There are many reasons that affect the industrial upgrading. This paper focuses on the impact of export technology content on industrial transformation and upgrading. On the basis of the different comparative advantages of China's eastern, central and western regions, 31 provinces and cities in the east, west and west of China are studied. The technical content of the regional exports is calculated. When the technical content of the relative exports changes, a change in the relative employment rate is used to characterize labor mobility. The increase in the relative output value of the secondary industry is lower than the increase in the relative output value of the tertiary industry to characterize the upgrading of the industry. Based on the statistical analysis of the relative employment rate of the eastern and western provinces and the relative output value and the relative employment rate of the secondary and tertiary industries in the eastern and western provinces, it is found that there is an obvious correlation between the two. The data of 31 provinces and autonomous regions in China from 2002 to 2008 are used in this paper. The systematic GMM method is used to measure and analyze the data. To verify the correlation mechanism between export technology content and industrial transformation and upgrading. The empirical results show that there is a clear correlation between the two. When the export technology content increases, the tertiary industry output value also has a significant increase. Based on this, This paper puts forward countermeasures and suggestions to further enhance the technical content of exports and promote industrial upgrading. This paper is divided into five parts: the first part of the introduction mainly describes the background of the topic, research significance and domestic and foreign literature review, the article's research methods, research framework, The second part is the theoretical analysis of the correlation mechanism between the upgrading of export technology content and the industrial transformation and upgrading. The third part is the statistical part of the paper. The correlation mechanism between export technology content and industrial transformation and upgrading is verified by statistical method. Part 4th is the econometric estimation part of the paper, which measures the technical content of export products in the eastern, western and central provinces of China. Based on the results of econometric analysis, this paper discusses the correlation mechanism between the upgrading of export technology content and industrial transformation and upgrading. Part 5th puts forward policy recommendations according to the conclusions of the paper.
【學位授予單位】：浙江工商大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F752.62;F124

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