四川省城鄉(xiāng)收入差距的統(tǒng)計實證分析
本文選題:城鄉(xiāng)收入差距 切入點:消費 出處:《西南財經(jīng)大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文 論文類型:學(xué)位論文
【摘要】:改革開放以來,我國城鄉(xiāng)居民收入差距經(jīng)歷了四個階段,即從開始調(diào)整后的縮小,到中期的擴(kuò)大,隨后再次調(diào)整后的在縮小,再到近年來的加速擴(kuò)大的過程。根據(jù)2011年中國社會科學(xué)院城市發(fā)展與環(huán)境研究所發(fā)布的《中國城市發(fā)展報告No.4聚焦民生》顯示,目前我國城鄉(xiāng)收入差距比為3.23:1,成為世界上城鄉(xiāng)收入差距最大的國家之一。四川省作為西部農(nóng)業(yè)大省,在第二、三產(chǎn)業(yè)的迅速發(fā)展的同時,農(nóng)業(yè)發(fā)展卻相對比較緩慢,城鄉(xiāng)居民收入差距不斷擴(kuò)大。與城鎮(zhèn)居民相比,無論是收入絕對差異還是收入相對差異,農(nóng)村居民都與其有很大差距。2007年6月,成都作為全國統(tǒng)籌城鄉(xiāng)綜合配套改革試驗區(qū)后,在制度創(chuàng)新等方面有了先行先試的優(yōu)先權(quán)以及更大的自主探索主動權(quán)。要更加有效地促進(jìn)城鄉(xiāng)經(jīng)濟(jì)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展,應(yīng)該從研究城鄉(xiāng)收入差距入手。本文的研究主要是:一、分析當(dāng)前四川省的城鄉(xiāng)收入差異現(xiàn)狀;二、建立收入差異與消費的回歸模型;三、用實證的方法,研究收入差異與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的關(guān)系;最后,給出相應(yīng)的政策意見和建議。 本文主要選取的是《四川省統(tǒng)計年鑒》上面的數(shù)據(jù),作為二手資料進(jìn)行實證研究。對收入差距和消費的度量進(jìn)行了定義和計量,通過EXCEL、EVIEWS6.0和R軟件對數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行處理和統(tǒng)計分析。主要運用了相關(guān)性分析,協(xié)整分析,回歸模型估計以及有序聚類等統(tǒng)計方法進(jìn)行了研究。 第一章是緒論,介紹了我國正處一個經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展迅速與不協(xié)調(diào)相并存的時刻,這既是機(jī)遇也是挑戰(zhàn),而四川省也存在著這樣的問題。從研究背景上說明了進(jìn)行研究的意義所在。 第二章是文獻(xiàn)綜述,分別介紹了國外研究所留下的古典和現(xiàn)代的收入分配理論、古典及現(xiàn)代的消費等理論、二元經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)理論的內(nèi)容和意義;介紹了國內(nèi)學(xué)者對于城鄉(xiāng)收入分配的研究,總結(jié)了各主要研究的內(nèi)容和特點。 第三章是度量收入差距與消費方法的介紹。把收入差距分成了絕對和相對的,介紹了極差、平均差、變異系數(shù)等絕對差距和基尼系數(shù)、泰爾系數(shù)等相對差距的度量方法。把消費的研究分成了對消費量、消費需求和消費結(jié)構(gòu)的研究,并對它們的計量方法做了介紹。 第四章利用有序聚類的統(tǒng)計方法,對四川省收入差距和消費的趨勢進(jìn)行分析,主要通過城鄉(xiāng)收入差及收入比的趨勢走向反應(yīng)近年來四川省的城鄉(xiāng)收入情況對比。 第五章是城鄉(xiāng)收入差距的影響因素的研究,主要就城鄉(xiāng)收入差距對于消費的影響情況作出分析,得到收入的差距對整體消費影響顯著這一結(jié)論。 第六章研究了經(jīng)濟(jì)增長對于城鄉(xiāng)收入比的影響情況。構(gòu)造模型后,利用協(xié)整分析的方法,得到在短期和長期中,經(jīng)濟(jì)增長對城鄉(xiāng)收入差都影響顯著,并且長期情況下的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長對其的影響更大。 最后,針對以上分析研究的結(jié)論,本文對于在解決“三農(nóng)”問題,以及轉(zhuǎn)化二元結(jié)構(gòu)的基礎(chǔ)上,發(fā)展農(nóng)村經(jīng)濟(jì),縮小城鄉(xiāng)差異提出了相關(guān)建議。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, the income gap between urban and rural residents in China has experienced four stages, namely, from the beginning of the adjusted shrink, expand to the middle, then again after the adjustment in shrinking in recent years to accelerate the expansion process. According to the Institute China City Academy of social development and environment in 2011 < Chinese city No.4 focus on people's livelihood development report > shows that at present China's urban-rural income gap ratio is 3.23:1, become one of the largest countries in the world. The income gap between urban and rural areas in Sichuan Province as a major agricultural province in the west, the rapid development of the second, third industry at the same time, agricultural development is relatively slow, the income gap between urban and rural residents compared with urban expanding. Residents, regardless of income or income difference absolute relative difference, there is a big gap between the rural residents and its.2007 in June, Chengdu as a national urban and rural comprehensive supporting reform pilot area There is a priority, a pilot in the system innovation, and independently explore greater initiative. To more effectively promote the coordinated development of urban and rural economy, we should start from the income gap between urban and rural areas. This study is mainly: first, analysis of the current situation of income gap between urban and rural residents in Sichuan province; two, to establish the regression model of income the difference and consumption; three, using empirical methods, to study the relationship between income inequality and economic growth; finally, the corresponding policy suggestions and recommendations are given.
This paper selects the "statistical yearbook of Sichuan Province on the above data, as secondary data for empirical research. To measure the income gap and consumption were defined and measured by EXCEL, EVIEWS6.0 and R software for data processing and statistical analysis. The main use of the correlation analysis, cointegration analysis, statistical regression method model estimation and clustering were studied.
The first chapter is the introduction. It introduces the time when our economy is developing rapidly and incompatible. This is both an opportunity and a challenge. There are also such problems in Sichuan province. From the research background, we explained the significance of the research.
The second chapter is literature review, which introduces foreign research left by the classical and modern theory of income distribution, classical and modern consumption theory, the content and significance of two yuan economic structure theory; introduces the research on the income distribution of domestic scholars, summarizes the main research contents and characteristics.
The third chapter is the measure of income gap and consumption method is introduced. The income gap is divided into absolute and relative, the poor, the average deviation, coefficient of variation of the absolute gap and the Gene coefficient, Theil coefficient method to measure the relative gap. The consumer research into research on consumption, consumer demand and consumption structure, and their measurement methods are introduced.
The fourth chapter uses the statistical method of ordinal clustering to analyze the trend of income gap and consumption in Sichuan Province, mainly through the trend of income gap between urban and rural areas and the trend of income ratio to reflect the comparison of urban and rural income in recent years in Sichuan province.
The fifth chapter is the research on the influencing factors of the urban-rural income gap. It mainly analyzes the impact of the income gap between urban and rural areas on consumption, and gets the conclusion that the income gap has a significant impact on the overall consumption.
The sixth chapter studies the impact of economic growth on the income ratio of urban and rural areas. After constructing the model, we use the cointegration analysis method to get that in the short and long term, the economic growth has a significant impact on the income gap between urban and rural areas, and the long-term economic growth has a greater impact on it.
Finally, according to the above conclusions, this paper puts forward some suggestions for developing the rural economy and narrowing the gap between urban and rural areas on the basis of solving the "three rural issues" and transforming the two element structure.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:西南財經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2013
【分類號】:F124.7;F224
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