本文關(guān)鍵詞：軟投入與中國區(qū)域經(jīng)濟發(fā)展比較研究，由筆耕文化傳播整理發(fā)布。

軟投入與中國區(qū)域經(jīng)濟發(fā)展比較研究 A comparative study on soft investment and regional economic development in China

作者：張唯實 作者本人請參看權(quán)利申明

導師姓名：李國璋

學位授予單位：蘭州大學

授予學位：博士

學位年度：2012

專業(yè)：區(qū)域經(jīng)濟學

關(guān)鍵詞：

摘要:

以后中國的經(jīng)濟成長和比擬優(yōu)勢在空間上的散布都是極不屈衡的，東部地域經(jīng)濟成長比擬快，中部地域次之，而寬大西部地域經(jīng)濟和社會成長比擬慢，這類區(qū)域差別景象發(fā)生的內(nèi)涵機理是甚么？本文試圖基于蘭州年夜學經(jīng)濟學院李國璋傳授提出的軟投入實際剖析框架，對中國家當?shù)牟磺�衡散布形式及地域差距的發(fā)生機制供給一種新視角的說明。在對改造開放以來中國家當構(gòu)造、臨盆效力和區(qū)域經(jīng)濟成長差距停止經(jīng)歷描寫的基本上，經(jīng)由過程實際研討和計量剖析相聯(lián)合的辦法對中國家當會聚和區(qū)域比擬優(yōu)勢的影響機制，和經(jīng)濟會聚和區(qū)域比擬優(yōu)勢所帶來的成長差別效應(yīng)停止了考核。應(yīng)用增量投入產(chǎn)出表、DEA，SFA和其他計量模子剖析辦法對中國1995一2008年間的家當構(gòu)造、臨盆效力和區(qū)域經(jīng)濟成長差別身分停止了基于區(qū)域比擬優(yōu)勢和競爭優(yōu)勢的剖析。第一章和第二章是導言和文獻綜述，重要評論辯論以后中國區(qū)域成長差別和西部地域經(jīng)濟成長的前沿研討。在第三章起首對中國的家當構(gòu)造演化及其區(qū)域經(jīng)濟成長停止了扼要描寫，然后采取中國東、中、西部1996年至2008年的面板數(shù)據(jù)，應(yīng)用面板協(xié)整頓論和模子剖析了軌制差別和軟投入質(zhì)量對中國東、中、西三年夜區(qū)域經(jīng)濟增加影響。研討發(fā)明，，東、中、西部地域軌制和軟投入質(zhì)量差別變量與區(qū)域經(jīng)濟增加變量之間都存在歷久平衡關(guān)系；全國和區(qū)域的軌制差別和軟投入質(zhì)量對社會經(jīng)濟成長差別有必定的影響；在分歧的區(qū)域前提束縛下，全國和區(qū)域的人均GDP和開放存在互相因果關(guān)系。研討以為減少區(qū)域經(jīng)濟成長差距，樹立可連續(xù)平衡成長和進步軟投入質(zhì)量的經(jīng)濟增加形式對中國經(jīng)濟久遠成長相當主要。從第四章到第七章，起首基于shift一share辦法、軟投入實際和增量投入產(chǎn)出表剖析了中國家當構(gòu)造與臨盆效力的關(guān)系，然后應(yīng)用1998一2007年的省級面板數(shù)據(jù)，經(jīng)由過程SFA、DEA模子和軟投入實際夾角辦法，應(yīng)用CD函數(shù)和超出對數(shù)函數(shù)預(yù)算了中國各省郊區(qū)和三年夜區(qū)域積年的本錢和休息產(chǎn)出彈性、TFP程度及其效力變更，對臨盆效力和軟投入質(zhì)量與中國區(qū)域經(jīng)濟成長，特殊是西部地域經(jīng)濟成長停止了具體研討，研討發(fā)明東中西部的本錢產(chǎn)出彈性年夜于休息產(chǎn)出彈性。以上研討注解區(qū)域間TFP和軟投入質(zhì)量分歧惹起中國區(qū)域社會經(jīng)濟成長差距擴展。本文以為中西部進步臨盆效力、軟投入質(zhì)量和國度增長對中西部的投資可以減少中國區(qū)域經(jīng)濟成長差別和增進中國區(qū)域經(jīng)濟社會成長。本文以為家當會聚招致的臨盆效力、區(qū)域比擬優(yōu)勢和家當構(gòu)造差別是中國地域差距連續(xù)擴展的別的三個主要緣由，但這類家當會聚對中國以后全體的經(jīng)濟增加倒是有益的。經(jīng)濟會聚是中國經(jīng)濟成長弗成超越的階段，今朝應(yīng)采用持續(xù)推動經(jīng)濟運動空間會聚的政策辦法。本文在實際與實證剖析的基本上，基于軟投入實際，應(yīng)用中國的相干統(tǒng)計數(shù)據(jù)，經(jīng)由過程對中國經(jīng)濟成長的扼要剖析，本文以為中國在家當構(gòu)造變遷和優(yōu)化的成長進程中，家當構(gòu)造優(yōu)化的最優(yōu)途徑就是進步軟投入組合質(zhì)量，削減軟投入組合制約，進步經(jīng)濟和社會成長的質(zhì)量，減小區(qū)域經(jīng)濟成長差距，在區(qū)域經(jīng)濟體內(nèi)和區(qū)域經(jīng)濟體間樹立優(yōu)越的因果積累輪回的經(jīng)濟成長體系體例，特別是在經(jīng)濟和社會成長比擬落伍的西部地域更應(yīng)當如斯，在區(qū)域比擬優(yōu)勢的基本上成長特點優(yōu)勢家當，進步軟投入組合質(zhì)量，樹立更多更好的特點優(yōu)勢家當集群，培養(yǎng)區(qū)域家當集群的焦點競爭力，面向全球協(xié)作競爭。在往后的研討中，本研討重要基于空間靜態(tài)面板計量辦法、非參數(shù)辦法及軟投入實際的靜態(tài)辦法停止相干的研討，更多重點放在區(qū)域經(jīng)濟成長，特殊是西部地域經(jīng)濟和社會成長的基本運用研討上，提出更多有扶植意義的成果，為國度和西部地域經(jīng)濟和社會成長做出本質(zhì)性的建議。

Abstract:

After China's economic growth and comparative advantage in space distribution are very different, the eastern regional economic growth is relatively fast, the central region of the second, and the large economic and social development of the western region is relatively slow, the regional differences in the connotation of the phenomenon of the phenomenon is what? This paper attempts to based on Li Guozhang Lanzhou University School of economics professor soft input of the proposed theoretical analysis framework, on China's belongings imbalance spread instructions form and regional disparities of the supply mechanism of a new perspective. Since the reform and opening up of China's industrial structure, childbirth and the effectiveness of the regional economic growth gap stop experience description on, through the actual research and measurement analysis phase, the United Way of Chinese furniture convergence and regional compare advantage, the impact mechanism, and economic convergence and regional comparative advantage brought about by the differential effects on growth stop the examination. Application of incremental input-output table, DEA, SFA and other measurement model analysis method of China from 1995 to 2008 years industrial structure, childbirth and the effectiveness of the regional economic growth difference identity stopped based on regional comparative advantage and competitive advantage analysis. The first chapter and the second chapter are the introduction and literature review, and the important part of China's regional development and regional economic growth in the western region. In the third chapter of China's industrial structure evolution and regional economic growth stopped briefly described, and then take the panel data of Eastern, middle and Western China from 1996 to 2008, applying panel co consolidation theory and model analysis of the rail system difference and the quality of soft input to China Eastern, central and western big three regional economic increasing impact. Study found that there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between the variables of Eastern, central, western region rail system and soft input quality difference variables and regional economic increasing; national and regional rail system difference and soft input quality of social and economic growth difference has certain effect; in front of the different regions under the yoke, national and regional GDP per capita and open existing mutual causality. It is very important for China's economic growth to reduce the gap of regional economic growth, establish a balanced growth and improve the quality of soft input. From the fourth chapter to the seventh chapter, the first shift share way, the soft input and the actual incremental input-output table analysis of the relationship between industrial structure and labor force China based on provincial panel data, and then apply the 1998 to 2007, through SFA, DEA model and actual angle of soft input way, using the CD function and logarithmic function beyond the budget the change of suburb and the three largest regional China provinces annual cost and output elasticity, the degree of TFP and the rest of the production efficiency, effectiveness and quality of soft input and regional economic growth China, especially economic growth in western region of the detailed research, research present East Midwest output elasticity is greater than the rest of the output elasticity of capital. The above discussion notes the regional TFP and the quality of the soft input to provoke China's regional economic growth gap. This thesis thinks that progress in the Midwest to give birth effect, quality of soft input and state of the central and Western investment growth can reduce the differences of regional economic growth in China and promote China's regional economic and social development. This paper think belongings convergence resulted in the birth of effect, regional comparative advantage and industrial structure difference is Chinese regional gap between the continuous expansion of the other three main reasons, but this kind of belongings convergence of China after all economic increase is beneficial. Economic convergence is the stage of China's economic growth beyond, at present, it should adopt policies to promote economic development. Based on the analysis of actual and empirical basically, soft input based on the actual application of statistical data, coherent China, through a brief analysis of Chinese economic growth, this paper thinks Chinese industrial structure change and Optimization in the growth process, the optimal way of industrial structure optimization is to improve the combination quality of the soft input size, cut the soft investment portfolio restricting the economic and social development and the progress, quality, reduce the gap of regional economic growth, in the regional economy and regional economic bodies to establish a superior economic growth causal accumulation cycle system, especially in the western region is relatively backward in economic and social development should be more so, basically in the growth characteristics of regional comparative advantage of the home advantage progress, the soft investment portfolio quality, the advantages of industry group set up more and better training, focus on the competitiveness of regional industry group, the global cooperation and competition. In future studies, this research is based on the research of spatial static panel method, non parameter method and the static method of soft input. More emphasis is put on the regional economic growth, especially the basic application of regional economic and social development. ...

目錄:

中文摘要7-9Abstract9-12第一章 導言13-22    一、研究背景13-14    二、研究目的、方法和手段14-21        (一) 研究目的和基本思路14-17        (二) 主要研究方法17-18        (三) 結(jié)構(gòu)安排18-19        (四) 預(yù)計的難點和說明19        (五) 主要的創(chuàng)新點19-21    三、本章小結(jié)21-22第二章 文獻綜述22-31    一、引言22    二、產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)與區(qū)域經(jīng)濟發(fā)展：軟投入理論的視角22-24    三、經(jīng)濟增長與區(qū)域經(jīng)濟發(fā)展：新經(jīng)濟增長理論的視角24-28    四、生產(chǎn)效率與區(qū)域經(jīng)濟發(fā)展：產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)理論的視角28-29    五、產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)與生產(chǎn)效率：TFP的視角29-30    六、本章小結(jié)30-31第三章 產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)差異與西部地區(qū)經(jīng)濟發(fā)展31-53    一、產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)變化與經(jīng)濟增長的事實描述31-33        (一) 產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)演變的規(guī)律31        (二) 發(fā)達國家產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)及其演變31-33        (三) 中國產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)演進的目標33    二、全國產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)數(shù)據(jù)計量分析33-42        (一)計量模型的建立33-34        (二) 數(shù)據(jù)和方法說明34-39        (三) 相關(guān)實證及結(jié)果分析39-42    三、中國區(qū)域數(shù)據(jù)、模型及實證分析42-47        (一) 數(shù)據(jù)說明和相關(guān)處理42-44        (二) 全國數(shù)據(jù)回歸分析44        (三) 東部地區(qū)數(shù)據(jù)回歸分析44-45        (四) 中部地區(qū)數(shù)據(jù)回歸分析45        (五) 西部地區(qū)數(shù)據(jù)回歸分析45-47    四、中國區(qū)域經(jīng)濟發(fā)展和生產(chǎn)效率差異的影響因素47-52    五、本章小結(jié)52-53第四章 產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)變遷與生產(chǎn)率增長53-66    一、模型、數(shù)據(jù)及其處理53-63        (一) 數(shù)學模型53-54        (二) 數(shù)據(jù)說明及處理54-59        (三) 中國產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)變動對勞動生產(chǎn)率增長的貢獻59-60        (四) 中國產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)變動對全要素生產(chǎn)率的貢獻分析60-63    二、就業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)均衡性分析63-65    三、本章小結(jié)65-66第五章 中國三大產(chǎn)業(yè)生產(chǎn)效率的軟投入分析66-79    一、引言66    二、增量投入產(chǎn)出模型66-71        (一) 增量投入產(chǎn)出表的結(jié)構(gòu)66-68        (二) 計算結(jié)果及主要分析68-71    三、回歸分析71-77        (一) 指標的選取以及變量的說明71-74        (二) 計量結(jié)果與分析74-77        (三) ECM分析77    四、本章小結(jié)77-79第六章 區(qū)域生產(chǎn)效率與西部經(jīng)濟發(fā)展：SFA和DEA方法79-113    一、導言79-82    二、參數(shù)方法模型：SFA82-92        (一) 模型和數(shù)據(jù)說明82-84        (二) 模型估計與數(shù)據(jù)分析84-86        (四) 生產(chǎn)率增長率分解模型86-89        (五) 中國區(qū)域生產(chǎn)效率的超越對數(shù)估計89-91        (六) 1998-2007年各省的生產(chǎn)效率水平91-92    三、非參數(shù)方法模型：DEA模型92-112        (一) Malmquist指數(shù)92-94        (三) 模型估計與數(shù)據(jù)分析94-112    四、本章小結(jié)112-113第七章 主要結(jié)論和政策建議113-120    一、總結(jié)性評論113-115    二、主要結(jié)論和建議115-118    三、將來研究方向及設(shè)想118-120參考文獻120-129在學期間科研成果129-130致謝130-132

參考文獻

  本文關(guān)鍵詞：軟投入與中國區(qū)域經(jīng)濟發(fā)展比較研究，由筆耕文化傳播整理發(fā)布。