本文關鍵詞：海西經(jīng)濟區(qū)經(jīng)濟差異的空間計量分析，由筆耕文化傳播整理發(fā)布。

海西經(jīng)濟區(qū)經(jīng)濟差異的空間計量分析

Spatial econometric analysis of regional economic disparity in strait economic zone

[1] [2]

XIE Cha-cha, ZHOU Qin （ School of Business, Ningbo University, Ningbo 315211, China）

寧波大學商學院,浙江寧波315211

文章摘要：以海西經(jīng)濟區(qū)152個縣市為基本單元,綜合運用傳統(tǒng)的區(qū)域差異測度方法、ESDA、空間計量經(jīng)濟模型等方法,分析了2000—2013年海西經(jīng)濟區(qū)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟差異的時空動態(tài)演變及其影響因素。結果表明：1海西經(jīng)濟區(qū)經(jīng)濟的絕對差異總體呈不斷擴大趨勢,相對差異呈先增大后減小趨勢,經(jīng)濟極化總體呈上升趨勢。2海西經(jīng)濟區(qū)區(qū)域的空間正相關效應正在逐漸加強;LISA分析表明海西經(jīng)濟區(qū)的空間格局呈現(xiàn)出明顯的“核心——邊緣”結構,HH集聚區(qū)由福建省沿海向內(nèi)陸壯大,LL集聚區(qū)呈片狀穩(wěn)定分布在閩粵和閩贛交界地。3 SEM模型的估計結果表明影響海西經(jīng)濟區(qū)經(jīng)濟發(fā)展差異的主要因素有產(chǎn)業(yè)結構、資本投入水平、城鎮(zhèn)化率、對外開放程度、政府的宏觀調(diào)控能力和交通基礎設施等。

Abstr：Based on the economic development statistics of 152 counties in Strait Economic Zone,this article analyses the temporal dynamic evolution of the regional economy and its influencing factors by using traditional statistic indices, spatial autocorrelation analysis and spatial econometric model. The following results are obtained. First, since 2000, the absolute disparities of counties in Strait Economic Zone has constantly enlarged, the relative disparities have grown first and then decreased, and the trend of the polarization level of county economic development in Strait Economic Zone has slowly strengthened. Second, the space-related effects of Strait Economic Zone are gradually strengthened. The results of LISA reveal that not only the former rich cluster in the coastal region has expanded but also some new rich clusters emerged in inland region. There have long been significant poor areas in the junctions of provinces. Third, it uses spatial error model to find the aspects that affect the economy, that is, industrial structure, the level of capital investment, urbanization rate, the extent of opening, the government＇s macro-control ability and transport infrastructure.

文章關鍵詞：

Keyword：:Strait Economic Zone regional inequality spatial-temporal evolution characteristics spatial regression

  本文關鍵詞：海西經(jīng)濟區(qū)經(jīng)濟差異的空間計量分析，由筆耕文化傳播整理發(fā)布。