發(fā)布時(shí)間：2018-01-08 04:04

  本文關(guān)鍵詞：廣東省城市化時(shí)空演變與經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的耦合研究　出處：《華南理工大學(xué)》2016年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

  更多相關(guān)文章： 城市化 經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展 時(shí)空演變 耦合度 城市化效率

【摘要】：城市化是我國長期經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的動(dòng)力,大量農(nóng)業(yè)人口來到城市,城市空間范圍擴(kuò)大;同時(shí)第二第三產(chǎn)業(yè)得到發(fā)展,經(jīng)濟(jì)增長迅速,社會(huì)文化建設(shè)日益完善。2015年,中國經(jīng)濟(jì)增速放緩,在機(jī)遇與挑戰(zhàn)并存的背景下尋求新的發(fā)展動(dòng)力成為了經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家們關(guān)注的問題。廣東省是中國改革開放的試點(diǎn)與前沿,且省內(nèi)的區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展差異大,是中國經(jīng)濟(jì)藍(lán)圖的一個(gè)縮影。研究廣東省的城市化水平以及經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平的時(shí)空演變,兩者的耦合關(guān)系,結(jié)合城市化效率研究并給出建議是本文選題要解決的問題。本文基于區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)、經(jīng)濟(jì)地理學(xué)、空間經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)、計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)的相關(guān)理論,運(yùn)用熵值法、均方差賦權(quán)法深入研究1985-2014年廣東省城市化水平與經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平時(shí)空演變,借助耦合協(xié)調(diào)度研究兩者相關(guān)性,采用數(shù)據(jù)包絡(luò)法研究城市化效率。得出以下結(jié)論:(1)從人口、經(jīng)濟(jì)、空間、社會(huì)和環(huán)境五個(gè)維度測(cè)算城市化水平,廣東省的空間布局呈現(xiàn)出珠三角地區(qū)遠(yuǎn)高于周邊城市,各市的城市化質(zhì)量差異顯著現(xiàn)象;形成以廣州和深圳為雙中心的結(jié)構(gòu),廣州的溢出效應(yīng)弱于深圳;人口的增加帶來空間的擴(kuò)張,而經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展與社會(huì)進(jìn)步相互推進(jìn)。(2)從經(jīng)濟(jì)規(guī)模、經(jīng)濟(jì)質(zhì)量和經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)三個(gè)維度測(cè)算經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平,研究城市化與經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的耦合,隨著工業(yè)化水平提高,兩者耦合呈現(xiàn)倒“U”型曲線;從可持續(xù)發(fā)展?jié)摿Τ霭l(fā),廣東省內(nèi)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展系統(tǒng)的評(píng)價(jià)結(jié)果表明了顯著的區(qū)域不均衡,出現(xiàn)了大部分城市的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展落后于城市化水平的情況,說明廣東省在發(fā)展進(jìn)程中大多屬于粗放式增長,且城市之間的經(jīng)濟(jì)溢出作用不大。(3)在對(duì)廣東省21個(gè)城市進(jìn)行效率研究時(shí)可以發(fā)現(xiàn),隨著時(shí)間推移,越來越多城市達(dá)到DEA有效,兩翼與山區(qū)的部分不發(fā)達(dá)城市綜合效率為1或者接近1反映其城市化投入不足,加大其城市建設(shè),鼓勵(lì)地區(qū)農(nóng)業(yè)人口轉(zhuǎn)移到城市;在考慮環(huán)境污染這一負(fù)產(chǎn)出之后,除珠海以外的省內(nèi)其他城市的環(huán)境城市化效率相較于傳統(tǒng)城市化效率有所下降;珠三角地區(qū)部分城市存在著要素投入冗余和科技進(jìn)步無效的問題。
[Abstract]:Urbanization is the driving force of our country's long-term economic development, a large number of agricultural people come to the city, the urban space scope expands; At the same time, the second tertiary industry has been developed, economic growth has been rapid, social and cultural construction is increasingly perfect. In 2015, China's economic growth rate slowed down. Under the background of co-existence of opportunities and challenges, it has become a problem that economists pay attention to. Guangdong Province is the pilot and front line of China's reform and opening up, and the regional economic development within the province is different. It is a microcosm of China's economic blueprint. This paper studies the spatial and temporal evolution of the urbanization level and economic development level of Guangdong Province, and the coupling relationship between the two. Based on the relevant theories of regional economics, economic geography, spatial economics and econometrics, entropy method is used in this paper. The mean-variance weighting method is used to study the temporal and spatial evolution of urbanization level and economic development level in Guangdong Province from 1985 to 2014, and the correlation between them is studied with the aid of coupling and coordination degree. Using data envelopment method to study urbanization efficiency. The following conclusion is drawn: 1) the urbanization level is measured from five dimensions: population, economy, space, society and environment. The spatial distribution of Guangdong Province shows that the Pearl River Delta region is far higher than the surrounding cities, and the quality of urbanization in each city is significantly different. With Guangzhou and Shenzhen as the double centers, the spillover effect of Guangzhou is weaker than that of Shenzhen. The increase of population leads to the expansion of space, while economic development and social progress promote each other. 2) the level of economic development is measured from the three dimensions of economic scale, economic quality and economic structure. The paper studies the coupling between urbanization and economic development. With the development of industrialization, the coupling of urbanization and economic development presents an inverted "U" curve. Based on the potential of sustainable development, the evaluation results of the economic development system in Guangdong Province show that there is a significant regional imbalance, and the economic development of most cities lags behind the level of urbanization. It shows that most of Guangdong Province belongs to extensive growth in the process of development, and the economic spillover effect between cities is not significant.) in the study of the efficiency of 21 cities in Guangdong Province, it can be found that, with the passage of time. More and more cities reach DEA efficiency. The comprehensive efficiency of some undeveloped cities in both wings and mountain areas is 1 or close to 1, which reflects the insufficient investment in urbanization and the increase of urban construction. Encourage the transfer of local agricultural population to cities; After considering the negative output of environmental pollution, the environmental urbanization efficiency of other cities except Zhuhai is lower than that of traditional urbanization. Some cities in the Pearl River Delta region have the problems of redundant input of elements and ineffective scientific and technological progress.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：華南理工大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2016
【分類號(hào)】：F299.27;F127

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