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新興大國(guó)債權(quán)型貨幣錯(cuò)配測(cè)度研究

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-10-25 15:39
【摘要】:貨幣錯(cuò)配是經(jīng)濟(jì)全球化下發(fā)展中國(guó)家普遍面臨的經(jīng)濟(jì)金融現(xiàn)象,新興大國(guó)債權(quán)型貨幣錯(cuò)配情況最為典型。本文首先分析既有的貨幣錯(cuò)配指標(biāo)無法準(zhǔn)確衡量甚至?xí)e(cuò)誤衡量債權(quán)型錯(cuò)配、無法深刻認(rèn)識(shí)新興大國(guó)貨幣錯(cuò)配現(xiàn)象的問題,并提出CBCM指標(biāo),據(jù)此測(cè)度和概括出俄羅斯、中國(guó)、巴西、印度錯(cuò)配程度依次遞減,具有線性增長(zhǎng)、官方集中型等特征。在此基礎(chǔ)上指出這種貨幣錯(cuò)配狀況是由新興大國(guó)凈國(guó)外資產(chǎn)、本幣升值預(yù)期以及政府基于本國(guó)及周邊經(jīng)濟(jì)穩(wěn)定性的干預(yù)而造成。
[Abstract]:Currency mismatch is a common economic and financial phenomenon faced by developing countries under the economic globalization. This paper first analyzes that the existing currency mismatch index can not accurately measure or even mismeasure the mismatch of creditor's rights, and can not deeply understand the problem of currency mismatch in emerging powers, and puts forward the CBCM index to measure and generalize Russia and China. The mismatch between Brazil and India decreases in turn, with linear growth and official centralization. On this basis, the paper points out that this mismatch is caused by the net foreign assets of the emerging powers, the expectation of the appreciation of the local currency and the intervention of the government based on the stability of the domestic economy and its surrounding economies.
【作者單位】: 長(zhǎng)沙理工大學(xué)金融制度研究所;
【基金】:國(guó)家社科基金重大項(xiàng)目“大國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展理論研究”(11&ZD144) 國(guó)家軟科學(xué)研究計(jì)劃項(xiàng)目“我國(guó)銀行業(yè)市場(chǎng)退出機(jī)制研究”(2010GXS5D242) 教育部人文社科規(guī)劃基金項(xiàng)目“新興大國(guó)貨幣錯(cuò)配、金融穩(wěn)定與對(duì)策研究”(11YJA790139)的階段性成果
【分類號(hào)】:F832.6

【參考文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前5條

1 李揚(yáng);匯率制度改革必須高度關(guān)注貨幣錯(cuò)配風(fēng)險(xiǎn)[J];財(cái)經(jīng)理論與實(shí)踐;2005年04期

2 歐陽\,

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