發(fā)布時間：2018-06-03 07:49

  本文選題：西部能源 + 二氧化碳��； 參考：《華中科技大學(xué)》2016年碩士論文

【摘要】：近年來我國經(jīng)濟(jì)突飛猛進(jìn),伴隨著巨大的能源消耗,同時也帶來一些列的環(huán)境問題。西部地區(qū)能源資源豐富,為我國能源供應(yīng)提供了保障,對社會經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展意義重大。對西部地區(qū)而言,高能耗和高排放的第二產(chǎn)業(yè)所占比重很大,伴隨著能源消耗必然產(chǎn)生大量的二氧化碳排放,減排的形勢十分嚴(yán)峻。同時由于西部地區(qū)氣候干旱,水資源不足制約著能源產(chǎn)業(yè)的健康發(fā)展。如何協(xié)調(diào)能源、經(jīng)濟(jì)與環(huán)境三者的關(guān)系,在水資源約束下實(shí)現(xiàn)低碳可持續(xù)發(fā)展,是西部地區(qū)面臨的嚴(yán)峻挑戰(zhàn)。本文對西部地區(qū)能源產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展進(jìn)行了簡要概述,對西部五省能源消費(fèi)與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長進(jìn)行了協(xié)整分析和格蘭杰因果檢驗(yàn),結(jié)果表明對西部五省而言兩者之間存在某種線性組合達(dá)到一定的均衡關(guān)系,同時表明西部五省經(jīng)濟(jì)增長直接帶動了能源消耗的增加。利用LMDI分解法對西部五省單位GDP二氧化碳排放和水資源消耗進(jìn)行了分解分析,結(jié)果表明對單位GDP二氧化碳排放量而言,能源強(qiáng)度因子和能源消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)因子對其表現(xiàn)為抑制作用,產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)因子對其表現(xiàn)為促進(jìn)作用;對西部五省水資源消耗影響較大的是產(chǎn)業(yè)水耗強(qiáng)度因子和人均GDP因子,產(chǎn)業(yè)水耗強(qiáng)度降低意味著用水效率提高,可以有效減少水資源消耗。建立了基于投入產(chǎn)出模型的混合能源經(jīng)濟(jì)模型,在不同情景下對西部五省的能源消耗、二氧化碳排放和水資源消耗進(jìn)行了預(yù)測,結(jié)果表明西部地區(qū)應(yīng)該加快推行節(jié)能和節(jié)水工作才能較好的協(xié)調(diào)能源、經(jīng)濟(jì)與環(huán)境三者的關(guān)系。對比分析了西方發(fā)達(dá)國家的能源政策,結(jié)合西部地區(qū)的特點(diǎn)以及本文的研究成果,從經(jīng)濟(jì)與能源協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展、提高能源使用過程中的效率、加快產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整、優(yōu)化能源使用結(jié)構(gòu)、提高用水效率、健全相應(yīng)政策法規(guī)等多個方面提出了西部地區(qū)能源產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展建議。
[Abstract]:In recent years, China's economy has developed rapidly, with huge energy consumption and some environmental problems. The western region is rich in energy resources and provides a guarantee for China's energy supply, which is of great significance to the development of the social economy. For the western region, the second industries with high energy consumption and high emission account for a large proportion, accompanied by energy. Consumption inevitably produces a large amount of carbon dioxide emissions, the situation is very severe. At the same time, due to the drought in the western region, the lack of water resources restricts the healthy development of the energy industry. How to coordinate the energy, the relationship between the three economy and the environment and the sustainable development of low carbon under the constraint of water resources is a severe challenge for the western region. This paper gives a brief overview of the development of energy industry in the western region. The cointegration analysis and Grainger causality test are carried out on the energy consumption and economic growth of the five western provinces in Western China. The results show that there is a certain linear combination between the five provinces of the west to achieve a certain equilibrium relationship, and that the economic growth of the five provinces in the west is directly driven by the same time. The LMDI decomposition method was used to analyze the carbon dioxide emissions and water consumption of five western provinces in Western China. The results showed that the energy intensity factor and energy consumption structure factor were inhibited by the unit GDP carbon dioxide emissions, and the industrial structure factors promoted the carbon dioxide emissions. The water consumption intensity factor and per capita GDP factor are the most influential factors in the water consumption of the five provinces in the West. The decrease of industrial water consumption means that the water consumption can be improved and the consumption of water resources can be reduced effectively. A mixed energy economic model based on input-output model is established, and the energy consumption and carbon dioxide emission of the five provinces in the western regions are in different circumstances. The result shows that the western region should accelerate the implementation of energy saving and water saving work in order to better coordinate energy and the relationship between the three people of the economy and the environment. The development of energy industry in the western region is proposed by the efficiency of the high energy use, the adjustment of the industrial structure, the optimization of the structure of energy use, the improvement of the efficiency of water use, and the improvement of the relevant policies and regulations.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：華中科技大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2016
【分類號】：F426.2

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