發(fā)布時間：2018-06-25 08:10

  本文選題：旅游目的地 + 生命周期��； 參考：《天津財經(jīng)大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文

【摘要】：旅游業(yè)作為世界上最大的產(chǎn)業(yè),旅游活動給目的地帶來了巨大的環(huán)境影響、經(jīng)濟(jì)影響、社會影響以及政治影響。這些旅游影響深刻的改變著旅游承載力可持續(xù)發(fā)展的狀況。生命周期理論與旅游承載力理論為旅游業(yè)的可持續(xù)發(fā)展提供了評價工具、管理工具以及治理工具。因此,通過深化對旅游承載力的生命周期的認(rèn)識,可以為旅游承載力的可持續(xù)發(fā)展提供價值判斷的依據(jù)以及規(guī)劃工具,辨明旅游承載力所處的時空環(huán)境,在旅游承載力出現(xiàn)衰退前提供預(yù)警服務(wù)并對其進(jìn)行治理,改善并提升旅游承載力的演化路徑,從而實現(xiàn)旅游承載力的可持續(xù)發(fā)展。同時,通過旅游承載力垂直演化機(jī)制(路徑依賴機(jī)制)與水平演化機(jī)制(協(xié)同演化機(jī)制)的研究,可以打開旅游承載力演化的“黑箱”,彌補(bǔ)承載力的生命周期的研究缺陷。具體研究內(nèi)容包括：首先,進(jìn)行文獻(xiàn)回顧,梳理旅游承載力、旅游生命周期、路徑依賴與協(xié)同演化的研究現(xiàn)狀；其次,通過對相關(guān)理論的探討,為本研究從系統(tǒng)論、系統(tǒng)動力學(xué)以及演化經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)等角度提供理論基礎(chǔ)；再次,從路徑依賴?yán)碚撆c協(xié)同演化理論的角度,利用系統(tǒng)動力學(xué)的思想,研究旅游承載力周期性演化機(jī)制,由于旅游承載力存在著各種路徑依賴,旅游承載力各個子系統(tǒng)存在著鎖定效應(yīng),最終導(dǎo)致了旅游承載力垂直演化的機(jī)制產(chǎn)生與發(fā)展；并且由于旅游承載力各個子系統(tǒng)的相互影響與相互作用,使得旅游承載力各個子系統(tǒng)之間具有協(xié)同演化的關(guān)系,這種協(xié)同演化體現(xiàn)了旅游承載力的非線性成長機(jī)制,同時這種協(xié)同演化導(dǎo)致了旅游承載力各個子系統(tǒng)的生命周期之間的水平演化機(jī)制的產(chǎn)生與發(fā)展；最后,以旅游目的地天津五大道地區(qū)為例,綜合運(yùn)用問卷調(diào)查獲得的一手資料與獨秀數(shù)據(jù)庫獲得的二手資料,對旅游承載力的垂直演化機(jī)制中的影響因素進(jìn)行因子分析以及對旅游承載力水平演化機(jī)制中的協(xié)同演化關(guān)系進(jìn)行假設(shè)檢驗,并且提出改善天津五大道旅游承載力水平的對策與建議。
[Abstract]:As the largest industry in the world, tourism activities have brought great environmental, economic, social and political impacts to destinations. These tourism influences profoundly change the sustainable development of tourism carrying capacity. Life cycle theory and tourism carrying capacity theory provide evaluation tools, management tools and governance tools for the sustainable development of tourism. Therefore, by deepening the understanding of the life cycle of tourism carrying capacity, we can provide the basis of value judgment and planning tools for the sustainable development of tourism carrying capacity, and identify the spatio-temporal environment of tourism carrying capacity. In order to realize the sustainable development of tourism carrying capacity, we can provide early warning service and manage it before the decline of tourism carrying capacity, improve and enhance the evolution path of tourism carrying capacity. At the same time, through the research of vertical evolution mechanism (path dependence mechanism) and horizontal evolution mechanism (co-evolution mechanism) of tourism carrying capacity, the "black box" of tourism carrying capacity evolution can be opened, and the research defect of carrying capacity life cycle can be made up. The specific research contents include: first, literature review, combing the tourism carrying capacity, tourism life cycle, path dependence and collaborative evolution of the research status; secondly, through the discussion of relevant theories, this study from the system theory, System dynamics and evolutionary economics provide theoretical basis. Thirdly, from the perspective of path dependence theory and co-evolution theory, using the idea of system dynamics, the periodic evolution mechanism of tourism carrying capacity is studied. Because of the path dependence of tourism carrying capacity and the lock effect of each subsystem of tourism bearing capacity, the vertical evolution mechanism of tourism bearing capacity is produced and developed. And because of the interaction and interaction of each subsystem of tourism bearing capacity, there is a cooperative evolution relationship among the subsystems of tourism bearing capacity, which reflects the nonlinear growth mechanism of tourism bearing capacity. At the same time, this kind of co-evolution leads to the generation and development of the horizontal evolution mechanism between the life cycle of tourism carrying capacity subsystems. Finally, taking the tourism destination Tianjin Fifth Avenue area as an example, Comprehensive use of questionnaire survey obtained primary data and Duxiu database to obtain second-hand information, The factors influencing the vertical evolution mechanism of tourism carrying capacity are analyzed, and the co-evolution relationship in the horizontal evolution mechanism of tourism bearing capacity is tested. And put forward the countermeasures and suggestions to improve the level of tourism carrying capacity of the five major roads in Tianjin.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：天津財經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F592.7

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