發(fā)布時間：2018-03-06 13:32

  本文選題：電信產業(yè)　切入點：國民經濟　出處：《北京郵電大學》2013年博士論文　論文類型：學位論文

【摘要】：電信產業(yè)是我國國民經濟系統(tǒng)中重要的基礎產業(yè),在促進經濟增長、社會轉型中具有重要的戰(zhàn)略意義,我國政府在“十二五”規(guī)劃中將其列為重點發(fā)展的戰(zhàn)略性新興產業(yè)。但是,用戶需求的變化、移動互聯(lián)網的發(fā)展給我國電信產業(yè)帶來了新的機遇與挑戰(zhàn),對我國電信產業(yè)的可持續(xù)發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略提出了新的要求。 在新的形勢下,我國電信產業(yè)的發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀是什么?電信產業(yè)對國民經濟增長的影響是什么?電信產業(yè)與國民經濟發(fā)展之間是否協(xié)調?如何確保電信產業(yè)持續(xù)健康發(fā)展以持續(xù)支撐國民經濟增長?這正是本文要解決的問題。 基于此,本文重點研究以下內容并取得如下成果： 首先,評價我國電信產業(yè)的發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀。用HHI指數分析、描述性統(tǒng)計分析、數據包絡分析方法對我國電信產業(yè)的市場結構、投資效益、業(yè)務發(fā)展、通信能力建設、生產效率等進行了分析,結果表明近年來我國電信市場競爭格局失衡狀況有所好轉,服務水平快速提高,資費水平繼續(xù)下降,生產效率整體水平較高,有力的支撐了國民經濟發(fā)展的需要。 其次,分析電信產業(yè)在我國國民經濟增長中的作用,把握電信產業(yè)在我國國民經濟系統(tǒng)中的產業(yè)地位。利用投入產出分析方法,分析了我國電信產業(yè)發(fā)展的結構效應和增長效應。利用面板數據模型,分析了電信基礎設施對全要素生產率的影響,結果表明我國電信基礎設施對全要素生產率有著顯著的正向促進作用。綜合來看,我國電信產業(yè)對國民經濟增長具有正向的積極效應。 再次,評價我國電信產業(yè)與國民經濟發(fā)展之間的協(xié)調性,以使電信產業(yè)能夠更合理地支撐我國國民經濟發(fā)展的需要�；�于最優(yōu)化理論,構建了動態(tài)評價模型,對我國電信產業(yè)與國民經濟發(fā)展之間的協(xié)調性進行了評價,結果表明,整體上我國電信產業(yè)與國民經濟發(fā)展之間是不協(xié)調的,且存在區(qū)域差異,東部區(qū)域的協(xié)調水平最高,中部地區(qū)次之,西部地區(qū)最差,而電信投入冗余是導致發(fā)展不協(xié)調的重要原因。并針對性的提出了以轉型平臺化運營及發(fā)展云計算為契機,盤活資源利用效率等政策建議。 最后,制定我國電信產業(yè)未來可持續(xù)發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略,確保電信產業(yè)可持續(xù)發(fā)展,并持續(xù)地支撐我國國民經濟發(fā)展的需要。在全面分析我國電信產業(yè)所面臨的新的競爭層次、產業(yè)格局、產業(yè)發(fā)展的驅動力、產業(yè)利潤源泉等基礎上,并結合大數據發(fā)展趨勢,提出了我國電信產業(yè)全業(yè)務平臺化運營的戰(zhàn)略轉型目標,構建了全業(yè)務平臺模型及生態(tài)系統(tǒng)模型,并對平臺成員間的協(xié)同競爭關系進行了演化博弈分析,結果表明,利益分配機制、平臺使用成本和激勵機制都將對博弈過程的演化方向及最終穩(wěn)定狀態(tài)的形成產生影響,并基于此,提出了平臺生態(tài)圈的協(xié)同成長機制。
[Abstract]:Telecommunication industry is an important basic industry in the national economic system of our country. It has important strategic significance in promoting economic growth and social transformation. Our government has listed it as a strategic emerging industry in the 12th Five-Year Plan. However, the change of customer demand and the development of mobile Internet have brought new opportunities and challenges to China's telecommunications industry. Put forward the new request to the sustainable development strategy of the telecommunication industry of our country. In the new situation, what is the current situation of the development of China's telecommunications industry? What is the impact of the telecommunications industry on the growth of the national economy? Is the telecommunication industry coordinated with the development of the national economy? How to ensure the sustainable and healthy development of the telecommunications industry in order to sustain the growth of the national economy? This is exactly the problem to be solved in this paper. Based on this, this paper focuses on the following contents and obtains the following results:. First of all, the paper evaluates the present situation of the telecom industry in China. Using HHI index analysis, descriptive statistical analysis and data envelopment analysis, the paper analyzes the market structure, investment benefit, business development and communication ability construction of China's telecom industry. The results show that in recent years, the unbalanced situation of the competition pattern in China's telecom market has been improved, the service level has been raised rapidly, the tariff level has continued to decline, and the overall production efficiency has been relatively high. A strong support for the development of the national economy needs. Secondly, it analyzes the role of telecommunication industry in the growth of our national economy, grasps the industrial position of telecommunication industry in our national economic system, and makes use of the input-output analysis method. This paper analyzes the structural effect and growth effect of telecom industry development in China, and analyzes the effect of telecom infrastructure on total factor productivity by using panel data model. The results show that the telecom infrastructure has a significant positive effect on the total factor productivity, and the telecom industry has a positive effect on the growth of the national economy. Thirdly, the paper evaluates the coordination between the telecommunication industry and the national economy development, so that the telecommunication industry can support the needs of the national economy development more reasonably. Based on the optimization theory, a dynamic evaluation model is constructed. This paper evaluates the coordination between the telecommunication industry and the national economic development in China. The results show that the coordination between the telecommunication industry and the national economy is not coordinated, and there are regional differences, and the coordination level in the eastern region is the highest. The central region takes second place, the western region is the worst, and the redundancy of telecom investment is the important reason for the uncoordinated development. The paper puts forward some policy suggestions such as taking the opportunity of transforming platform operation and developing cloud computing as an opportunity to revitalize the efficiency of resource utilization. Finally, we should formulate the sustainable development strategy of our telecom industry in the future, ensure the sustainable development of the telecommunication industry, and sustain the needs of the development of our national economy. On the basis of industrial pattern, driving force of industry development, headspring of industry profit and so on, combined with big data's development trend, this paper puts forward the strategic transformation target of the whole service platform operation of China's telecommunication industry. The whole business platform model and ecosystem model are constructed, and the evolutionary game analysis of the cooperative competition relationship among the platform members is carried out. The results show that the benefit distribution mechanism, Both platform cost and incentive mechanism will affect the evolution direction of the game process and the formation of the final stable state. Based on this, the cooperative growth mechanism of the platform ecological circle is proposed.
【學位授予單位】：北京郵電大學
【學位級別】：博士
【學位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F626;F124

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