發(fā)布時(shí)間：2018-03-05 13:09

  本文選題：第三產(chǎn)業(yè)　切入點(diǎn)：城市化　出處：《河南大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：城市化進(jìn)程與第三產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展是國(guó)內(nèi)外相關(guān)學(xué)者所探討的熱門話題。為了增強(qiáng)工、農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)，提高社會(huì)化和專業(yè)化水平，促進(jìn)市場(chǎng)充分發(fā)育，優(yōu)化生產(chǎn)結(jié)構(gòu)，緩解就業(yè)壓力，進(jìn)而促進(jìn)整個(gè)經(jīng)濟(jì)持續(xù)、快速和健康地發(fā)展，必須推動(dòng)城市化進(jìn)程、大力發(fā)展第三產(chǎn)業(yè)。第三產(chǎn)業(yè)的興旺發(fā)達(dá)和城市化水平的高低已成為衡量經(jīng)濟(jì)現(xiàn)代化的重要特征指標(biāo)。本文利用了產(chǎn)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)、區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)、計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)和統(tǒng)計(jì)學(xué)的相關(guān)理論和方法對(duì)城市化進(jìn)程和第三產(chǎn)業(yè)區(qū)域發(fā)展問題進(jìn)行了研究。 全文分為六章，分別從國(guó)內(nèi)外相關(guān)研究、城市化與第三產(chǎn)業(yè)的現(xiàn)狀與關(guān)系、城市化背景下的第三產(chǎn)業(yè)區(qū)域競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力研究和結(jié)論與政策建議等方面進(jìn)行探討。第一章為緒論，主要介紹研究背景、意義、研究方法和創(chuàng)新與不足之處。本文2-3章為研究現(xiàn)狀和發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀，據(jù)國(guó)內(nèi)外研究文獻(xiàn)表明，第三產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展對(duì)一國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)的影響至關(guān)重要，第三產(chǎn)業(yè)有著吸納就業(yè)、優(yōu)化產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)和促進(jìn)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)等功能，而城市化和第三產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展互為充要條件。本文主體部分為4-5章。第四章，在《2012年中國(guó)統(tǒng)計(jì)年鑒》最新數(shù)據(jù)資料的基礎(chǔ)上，收集了中國(guó)1978-2011年城市化率和第三產(chǎn)業(yè)就業(yè)人數(shù)數(shù)據(jù)，運(yùn)用VAR模型和Granger因果關(guān)系對(duì)城市化率和第三產(chǎn)業(yè)就業(yè)人數(shù)之間的關(guān)系進(jìn)行了探討。第五章，收集了2011年第三產(chǎn)業(yè)相關(guān)指標(biāo)，運(yùn)用莫蘭指數(shù)、RCA指標(biāo)法和因子分析法對(duì)第三產(chǎn)業(yè)空間集聚和區(qū)域競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力進(jìn)行了分析，并得出省市的排名。在以上理論分析與實(shí)證分析的基礎(chǔ)上，本文最后一章為結(jié)論和對(duì)策建議部分。得出的基本結(jié)論是：第一，與我國(guó)整體經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平相比，我國(guó)第三產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展相對(duì)滯后，尤其滯后于第二產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展；第二，東部地區(qū)新興服務(wù)行業(yè)所占的比重較大，而傳統(tǒng)服務(wù)業(yè)所占比重在西部地區(qū)較大；第三，我國(guó)第三產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展水平和城市化發(fā)展水平呈正相關(guān)，城市化率越高的地方，第三產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展?fàn)顩r越好，反之，城市化率低的區(qū)域，第三產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展緩慢，中、西部地區(qū)城市化率偏低，影響了第三產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展；第四,就城市化進(jìn)程與第三產(chǎn)業(yè)的關(guān)系來看，它們是相互影響和相互制約的，但是這種影響并不是立即就表現(xiàn)出來的，城市化對(duì)于第三產(chǎn)業(yè)的影響是滯后的，同樣，第三產(chǎn)業(yè)對(duì)城市化的影響也是滯后的；最后，從我國(guó)區(qū)域第三產(chǎn)業(yè)競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力方面來看，東部發(fā)展勢(shì)頭良好，競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力要優(yōu)于中、西部地區(qū)，而中部地區(qū)又要比西部地區(qū)的第三產(chǎn)業(yè)更具備競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力。運(yùn)用空間統(tǒng)計(jì)學(xué)的方法，從空間集聚的角度來看，，東部地區(qū)呈高值-高值集聚；而西部地區(qū)呈低值-低值集聚，說明東西部地區(qū)呈現(xiàn)出不平衡性，而且這種不平衡性有繼續(xù)擴(kuò)大的趨勢(shì)。本文對(duì)策建議是：為了促進(jìn)第三產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展，消除東西部差異，扭轉(zhuǎn)不平衡局面，本文筆者從國(guó)家政策扶持，改善外部環(huán)境，提升城市化進(jìn)程，加大教育、醫(yī)療衛(wèi)生、科學(xué)研究的投入以提高勞動(dòng)力素質(zhì)等方面來改善第三產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展環(huán)境。 本文立足于統(tǒng)計(jì)分析的角度，在大量實(shí)證分析的基礎(chǔ)上，采取定性分析與定量分析相結(jié)合的方法來圍繞城市化背景下的中國(guó)第三產(chǎn)業(yè)區(qū)域競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力進(jìn)行研究。本文運(yùn)用了大量的圖表進(jìn)行描述分析，旨在揭示城市化與第三產(chǎn)業(yè)的關(guān)系以及第三產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀與不足。本篇論文還存在一些不足之處，如并沒有充分利用空間統(tǒng)計(jì)學(xué)的方法對(duì)第三產(chǎn)業(yè)區(qū)域競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力和城市化進(jìn)行研究，本想引入空間誤差、空間滯后和地理加權(quán)回歸模型，但回歸結(jié)果并不顯著，此處不再詳述。此外，在數(shù)據(jù)收集方面也遇到一些困難之處，如大樣本的采集等。這些都有待進(jìn)一步完善研究。
[Abstract]:The development of city urbanization and the third industry is a hot topic of domestic and foreign scholars discussed. In order to strengthen the work of agricultural production, improve social and professional level, to promote the full development of the market, optimize the production structure, ease the employment pressure, and promote the whole economy sustained, rapid and healthy development, we must promote the city. The process, developing the third industry. The third industry and the prosperity of the city level has become an important feature indicator of economic modernization. The use of industrial economics, regional economics, the theory of economics and Econometrics and statistics method on the development of city urbanization and the third industrial area were studied.
This paper is divided into six chapters, respectively, from the domestic and foreign related research, the status quo and relationship between the city and the third industry, the city under the background of the regional competitiveness of the third industry research conclusions and policy recommendations and other aspects. The first chapter is the introduction, mainly introduces the research background, significance, research methods and innovation of this paper. The 2-3 chapter is the status quo of the research and development, according to the domestic and foreign research literature shows that the important development of the third industry influence on a country's economy, the third industry has to absorb employment, optimize industrial structure and promote economic growth, and the development of city and the third industry are necessary and sufficient conditions for the main part of this paper is the 4-5 chapter. In the fourth chapter, based on China statistical yearbook > the latest data of <2012 years, collected 1978-2011 years Chinese city rate and employment data of third industries, the use of VAR model and Granger Effect on the relationship between the city and the third industry employment rate is discussed. The fifth chapter, collect the relevant indicators in 2011 third industry, using Moran's index, RCA index method and factor analysis method the third industrial agglomeration and regional competitiveness are analyzed, and the provinces and cities ranked based on the above theoretical analysis. With the empirical analysis, the last chapter is the conclusion and suggestion part. The basic conclusion is: first, compared with the development level of China's overall economic development, the third industry of our country is relatively backward, especially the development of the second industry lags behind; second, the emerging service industry in eastern region accounted for a large proportion, and the proportion of traditional service industry in the western region is relatively large; third, the level of China's third industry development and city development level was positively related to the higher rate of city areas, the development of the third industry The better, on the other hand, the low rate of city area, slow development of the third industry in western region, city rate low, affecting the development of the third industry; fourth, the relationship between city urbanization and the third industry point of view, they are mutual influence and mutual restriction, but this effect is not immediately on the performance the city is also lagging behind for the impact of the third industry, the third industry is lagging behind, the influence on the city; finally, the competitiveness of China's third regional industry perspective, the eastern good momentum of development, the competition is better than that in the western region, and the central region and the western region of the third industry is more than competitive. Using the method of spatial statistics, spatial agglomeration from the point of view, the eastern region has high high value agglomeration; while the western region is low value and low value of agglomeration, the western region showed that the East is not Balance, and the imbalance of the trend has continued to expand. The countermeasures are: to promote the development of the third industry, eliminate the differences between East and West, reversing the unbalanced situation, this article from the national policy support, improve the external environment, enhance the city urbanization, increase education, health care, scientific research investment to improve the labor force quality and so on to improve the environment for the development of the third industry.
This paper is based on the statistical analysis, based on a large number of empirical analysis on the methods of qualitative analysis and quantitative analysis to the competitiveness of regional China around third industrial city under the background of the research. In this paper, the use of a large number of charts to describe and analyze the relationship between the city and to reveal the shortcomings and the third industry and development status of the third industry. This paper also has some shortcomings, such as not making full use of spatial statistical methods to study the third industry competitiveness and regional city, wanted to introduce spatial error, spatial lag and geographically weighted regression model, but the regression results are not significant, not detailed here. In addition, in terms of data collection also encountered some difficulties, such as large sample collection. These are to be further studied.

【學(xué)位授予單位】：河南大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號(hào)】：F124;F224;F121.3

【參考文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前2條

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本文編號(hào)：1570372